Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3c4…33f779 Create alert
whale hot 12W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$6.95K
Unrealized P&L
+$518
Hit rate
79.7%
Resolved
402
Trades
3,165
lifetime
Volume
$162.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$11.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 11-11 13:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Politics
49% 76% +$4,158
Other
43% 69% +$2,648
Sports
6% 71% +$152
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 125 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +4,292 $4,244 99¢ $4.2K +$5 11-11 00:48
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,834 $1,768 96¢ $1.8K -$1 11-11 01:59
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +1,605 $1,584 99¢ $1.6K +$9 11-11 05:22
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? No +1,631 $1,232 94¢ $1.5K +$293 11-06 00:04
DeSantis's Republican nomination odds hit 25% by December 31? No +500 $435 84¢ $422 -$12 11-11 07:06
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +362 $207 97¢ $352 +$144 09-10 17:39
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +250 $240 96¢ $241 +$1 06-30 02:24
Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? No +253 $212 77¢ $196 -$16 07-07 22:02
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +200 $28 97¢ $194 +$166 07-24 18:19
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +120 $49 100¢ $120 +$71 06-18 02:06
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +53 -$14 98¢ $52 +$66 06-25 23:16
Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes -253 -$43 18¢ $-46 -$3 07-15 00:55
Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes -253 -$35 18¢ $-44 -$9 10-31 18:41
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +39 $39 99¢ $39 +$0 11-11 05:19
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -856 -$31 4¢ $-31 $0 11-11 01:59
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -856 -$15 3¢ $-29 -$13 11-04 13:49
Will the Detroit Pistons be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes -253 -$20 11¢ $-27 -$6 07-19 22:18
Will the Toronto Raptors be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes -253 -$33 9¢ $-23 +$10 07-10 00:37
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -605 -$11 4¢ $-23 -$12 07-28 07:30
chuck edwards out as us rep before december 31 2026 20260722142249984 No +20 $6 82¢ $16 +$10 07-23 22:46
Will the Atlanta Hawks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes -253 -$6 5¢ $-13 -$8 07-12 18:46
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -856 -$15 2¢ $-13 +$1 11-04 15:15
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +450 $170 3¢ $13 -$157 07-24 19:47
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes -253 -$27 5¢ $-13 +$14 09-17 03:38
Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes -253 -$25 4¢ $-11 +$14 07-17 14:00
Will the Indiana Pacers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes -253 -$11 4¢ $-10 +$0 10-04 16:07
Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina? No — +10 $6 98¢ $10 +$4 07-05 00:12
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +266 $59 3¢ $7 -$52 11-03 01:42
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -1,081 -$6 1¢ $-6 $0 11-11 08:16
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -856 -$5 1¢ $-6 $0 08-14 16:15