Playful-Manservant 0x5ce3c4…33f779 Create alert
whale hot 14W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$6.94K
Unrealized P&L
+$508
Hit rate
79.7%
Resolved
400
Trades
3,039
lifetime
Volume
$155.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$3.59K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-24
last 11-06 19:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 113 days
Categories
Politics
47% 76% +$4,158
Other
45% 68% +$2,644
Sports
7% 71% +$152
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 50% -$17
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? No +1,631 $1,232 94¢ $1.5K +$293 11-06 00:04
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +605 $592 99¢ $601 +$9 07-25 03:21
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +362 $207 91¢ $329 +$122 09-10 17:39
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +250 $240 96¢ $241 +$1 06-30 02:24
Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? No +253 $212 77¢ $195 -$17 07-07 22:02
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +200 $28 97¢ $194 +$166 07-24 18:19
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +120 $49 100¢ $120 +$71 06-18 02:06
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +53 -$14 98¢ $52 +$66 06-25 23:16
Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes -253 -$43 18¢ $-46 -$3 07-15 00:55
Will the Boston Celtics be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes -253 -$35 16¢ $-42 -$6 10-31 18:41
Will the Detroit Pistons be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes -253 -$20 11¢ $-27 -$6 07-19 22:18
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +266 $59 9¢ $24 -$36 11-03 01:42
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -856 -$15 3¢ $-24 -$8 11-04 13:49
Will the Toronto Raptors be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes -253 -$33 9¢ $-23 +$10 07-10 00:37
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -605 -$11 4¢ $-23 -$12 07-28 07:30
chuck edwards out as us rep before december 31 2026 20260722142249984 No +20 $6 82¢ $16 +$10 07-23 22:46
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes -253 -$27 6¢ $-14 +$12 09-17 03:38
Will the Atlanta Hawks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes -253 -$6 5¢ $-13 -$8 07-12 18:46
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -856 -$15 2¢ $-13 +$1 11-04 15:15
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +450 $170 3¢ $13 -$157 07-24 19:47
Will the Miami Heat be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes -253 -$25 4¢ $-11 +$14 07-17 14:00
Will the Indiana Pacers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes -253 -$11 4¢ $-10 +$0 10-04 16:07
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -856 -$5 1¢ $-6 -$1 08-14 16:15
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -856 -$3 1¢ $-6 -$3 11-04 15:51
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -856 -$4 1¢ $-5 $0 08-14 03:35
Will the Washington Wizards be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes -253 -$18 2¢ $-4 +$14 07-22 02:07
Will the Orlando Magic be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes -253 -$5 2¢ $-4 +$1 09-17 03:38
Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $30 18¢ $4 -$26 10-24 05:16
Will the Charlotte Hornets be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? Yes -253 -$3 1¢ $-3 +$0 09-17 03:38
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -856 -$3 0¢ $-3 +$0 08-14 03:34