Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved

1,864

Trades

2,380

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 07-23 18:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 73% +$39

Politics

7% 0% -$19

Other

5% 40% -$44

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	38	$439	538	538	+0	No	-$3	07-11 23:03
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	24	$171	174	174	+0	open	—	07-10 16:32
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	11	$97	131	131	+0	No	-$3	07-04 02:57
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	4	$74	57	57	+0	open	—	07-09 15:11
moscow air traffic suspended by july 31 20260702184246099	2	$60	64	64	+0	Yes	-$22	07-04 02:57
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	13	$45	50	50	+0	open	—	07-23 18:39
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	10	$40	35	35	+0	No	-$1	07-06 12:20
will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	5	$37	66	66	+0	open	—	07-08 10:03
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	3	$34	20	20	+0	open	—	07-16 17:57
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	4	$30	48	48	+0	open	—	07-16 00:54
iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	5	$24	81	81	-0	No	-$5	07-12 00:31
israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	2	$21	20	20	+0	No	+$0	07-11 22:50
iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	5	$18	46	46	+0	Yes	-$3	07-11 23:57
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128	2	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	07-09 14:36
will russia enter novooleksandrivka by july 31 2026	2	$16	27	27	+0	Yes	$0	07-06 03:39
will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	3	$16	15	15	+0	No	-$2	07-23 18:38
will graham platner drop out by july 7	2	$16	20	20	+0	No	-$14	07-06 22:16
iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	3	$14	22	22	+0	No	-$1	07-09 11:03
will turkey rejoin the f 35 program by june 30 2027 20260708215836391	2	$14	19	19	+0	open	—	07-15 20:49
iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	3	$13	24	24	+0	Yes	-$2	07-09 16:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 23:10 UTC	1	$12	15	0	+15	Down	-$12	06-28 23:13
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 23:10 UTC	2	$12	15	0	+15	Up	+$3	06-28 23:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 00:05 UTC	1	$12	18	0	+18	Up	-$12	06-29 00:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 23:10 UTC	1	$12	16	0	+16	Down	-$12	06-28 23:13
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$12	13	0	+13	Up	+$1	06-28 23:18
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	6	$12	15	15	+0	No	+$0	07-11 10:35
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 22:45 UTC	2	$12	17	0	+17	Up	-$12	06-28 22:49
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 00:05 UTC	1	$12	14	0	+14	Down	+$2	06-29 00:08
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$12	13	0	+13	Up	+$1	06-28 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$12	15	0	+15	Up	+$3	06-28 22:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 18:39:10	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x4efa54…
07-23 18:39:04	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x82ccf3…
07-23 18:38:58	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xdccb65…
07-23 18:38:52	will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	No	SELL	7	39¢	$3	0x3a364d…
07-21 09:52:58	will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	No	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x51d669…
07-21 09:49:10	will trump speak to elon musk in july 20260626154217440	No	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x71ce6e…
07-19 12:13:34	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	36	7¢	$3	0x7f7803…
07-19 12:10:06	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x077186…
07-19 11:04:34	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xd8df22…
07-19 03:12:42	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x97662b…
07-16 17:57:52	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x54b7d2…
07-16 09:35:53	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xaf79e4…
07-16 09:32:20	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x01730e…
07-16 00:54:13	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	24	28¢	$7	0x8d62c5…
07-16 00:50:25	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0x5cd5a4…
07-15 20:49:34	will turkey rejoin the f 35 program by june 30 2027 20260708215836391	No	SELL	19	35¢	$7	0xa21c55…
07-15 20:46:11	will turkey rejoin the f 35 program by june 30 2027 20260708215836391	No	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0x1c1f25…
07-15 07:47:47	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	16¢	$1	0xad7b01…
07-15 04:47:10	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x5c90fc…
07-15 04:43:59	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x1b3fb6…
07-15 04:17:19	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xcad315…
07-15 04:13:50	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xc31709…
07-14 17:26:07	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	SELL	24	29¢	$7	0x20a5b9…
07-14 17:22:56	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x3777d9…
07-14 17:22:44	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?	Yes	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0xc25bca…
07-14 13:23:31	Will 220-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x1313fb…
07-14 13:23:25	Will 220-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 20-July 26?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x148be5…
07-14 04:37:32	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0xb3ec10…
07-14 04:34:17	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0x23300b…
07-14 04:30:56	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x672b2a…
07-14 04:30:55	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0x537c78…
07-13 23:09:49	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	39¢	$4	0x0658df…
07-13 23:06:29	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0xec2b51…
07-12 00:31:29	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	14¢	$0	0x270019…
07-12 00:31:22	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	4	12¢	$1	0xb38945…
07-12 00:07:41	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x467266…
07-12 00:04:28	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x8db45c…
07-12 00:01:17	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	SELL	37	14¢	$5	0xa87e7e…
07-11 23:57:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	Yes	BUY	81	18¢	$15	0xe9310b…
07-11 23:57:23	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0xf9618d…
07-11 23:54:11	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x9e4710…
07-11 23:50:56	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x2289b7…
07-11 23:47:43	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x36457c…
07-11 23:44:14	iran military action against a gulf state on july 30 20260708212322955	Yes	BUY	46	23¢	$11	0x066550…
07-11 23:03:22	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0x140e04…
07-11 22:56:50	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0x2dfa7b…
07-11 22:50:55	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x8dce81…
07-11 22:47:37	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xf70297…
07-11 20:44:10	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xfca799…
07-11 20:30:19	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x925fcd…
07-11 20:17:02	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x2b8c1f…
07-11 18:16:35	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xe670b2…
07-11 18:12:56	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x5c9bc9…
07-11 16:11:02	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xf47457…
07-11 16:07:58	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x0c1da9…
07-11 10:35:38	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x2d6da4…
07-11 10:35:08	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa36ca0…
07-11 10:06:55	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x56bd0c…
07-11 10:06:17	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x1bfb76…
07-11 09:24:31	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	No	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0x82666a…
07-11 09:24:16	Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xafbc18…
07-10 16:32:38	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	No	SELL	43	61¢	$26	0x905b39…
07-10 16:32:31	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	37¢	$20	0xfdfac3…
07-09 20:51:19	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	No	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xe589f8…
07-09 20:50:58	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xfd3ba8…
07-09 20:50:58	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x342ffa…
07-09 20:48:10	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x67909b…
07-09 20:10:41	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	No	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x966d7c…
07-09 20:10:35	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x0e19d5…
07-09 19:45:13	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	No	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x9b0233…
07-09 17:11:31	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x02c5fc…
07-09 17:08:59	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0x7b6dfc…
07-09 17:03:17	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x4195b2…
07-09 17:01:11	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5d81ef…
07-09 16:42:01	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0xb2a1ef…
07-09 16:41:52	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0xf6e09d…
07-09 16:41:46	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xf1ebca…
07-09 16:41:40	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xc4c2cc…
07-09 16:02:20	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	No	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0x87b855…
07-09 15:55:50	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	No	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x317c0e…
07-09 15:52:32	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x30e388…
07-09 15:52:28	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	No	BUY	19	61¢	$12	0xc07508…
07-09 15:46:14	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x2a0ea2…
07-09 15:11:46	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	SELL	37	59¢	$22	0x897fd9…
07-09 15:07:58	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	No	BUY	37	60¢	$22	0x1d3e9b…
07-09 14:36:25	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128	Yes	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x3521f3…
07-09 14:32:44	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by december 31 128	Yes	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xcadb96…
07-09 12:20:22	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xcda6a2…
07-09 12:16:28	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xdcd5d0…
07-09 11:03:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0x0d852f…
07-09 10:53:20	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0x03b2bb…
07-09 10:21:08	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa58c45…
07-09 10:14:11	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x5d0364…
07-09 08:41:20	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x8834d8…
07-09 08:37:50	iran military action against a gulf state on july 17 20260708212322942	Yes	BUY	24	32¢	$8	0x4bd12c…
07-09 08:34:44	iran military action against a gulf state on july 13 20260708212322938	Yes	BUY	22	35¢	$8	0x2dc44e…
07-08 14:28:29	Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?	Yes	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x8c56d2…
07-08 10:03:22	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	SELL	26	23¢	$6	0x3654e1…
07-08 09:23:04	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x12b3c6…
07-08 08:51:52	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	BUY	46	24¢	$11	0x42f585…