Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
56.7%
Resolved
4
Trades
111
lifetime
Volume
$546
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$37
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 06-11 06:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
45% 100% +$0
Other
30% 0% $-6
Crypto
22% 50% +$0
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +10 $7 66¢ $7 $-1 06-09 18:10
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +7 $5 74¢ $5 $-0 06-09 16:28
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +6 $4 82¢ $5 +$1 06-03 11:08
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? No +8 $5 58¢ $5 $-0 06-11 04:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +6 $4 74¢ $4 +$0 06-10 18:08
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? No +5 $3 76¢ $4 +$1 06-02 20:09
Discord IPO before 2027? No +10 $4 36¢ $4 $-0 06-11 12:37
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 72¢ $4 $-0 06-11 04:11