Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$3
Hit rate
56.7%
Resolved
4
Trades
128
lifetime
Volume
$583
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$32
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 06-18 02:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
44% 100% +$0
Other
31% 0% $-6
Crypto
21% 50% +$0
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +11 $7 70¢ $8 +$1 06-11 20:07
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +7 $5 81¢ $6 +$0 06-09 16:28
Discord IPO before 2027? No +10 $4 48¢ $5 +$1 06-11 12:37
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 76¢ $4 +$0 06-11 04:11
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +5 $2 75¢ $4 +$2 06-15 11:59
Rippling IPO before 2027? No +3 $2 88¢ $3 +$0 06-14 04:09
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No +4 $2 50¢ $2 $-0 06-14 16:11
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +7 $3 20¢ $1 $-1 06-13 12:10