Realized P&L
-$21
Unrealized P&L
+$21
Hit rate
70.4%
Resolved
117
Trades
200
lifetime
Volume
$1.03K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$126
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 07-26 04:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 61 days
Categories
Other
48% 67% +$30
Politics
31% 49% -$89
Crypto
15% 72% +$32
Tech
5% 71% +$7
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-26).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -35 -$33 96¢ $-34 -$1 07-09 06:06
Discord IPO before 2027? No +10 $4 94¢ $9 +$6 06-11 12:37
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026? Yes +15 $5 54¢ $8 +$3 07-18 04:05
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? No +8 $5 91¢ $7 +$3 05-08 08:23
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No +8 $5 90¢ $7 +$3 07-16 14:34
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +7 $5 95¢ $7 +$1 07-25 04:04
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +7 $5 92¢ $6 +$1 06-09 16:28
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +6 $5 95¢ $6 +$1 07-23 14:36
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +6 $4 94¢ $6 +$1 07-08 04:05
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026? No +6 $3 84¢ $5 +$2 07-26 04:05
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -5 -$1 96¢ $-5 -$3 05-20 23:10
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 95¢ $5 +$1 06-11 04:11
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No +5 $2 91¢ $5 +$3 06-16 04:09
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -4 -$1 97¢ $-4 -$3 05-20 23:10
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 72¢ $4 +$1 07-10 06:04
Rippling IPO before 2027? No +3 $2 93¢ $3 +$1 06-14 04:09
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +3 $2 78¢ $2 +$1 05-04 06:08
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -16 -$7 15¢ $-2 +$5 05-08 08:16
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +7 $3 12¢ $1 -$2 06-13 12:10
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -14 -$3 4¢ $-1 +$2 05-06 16:20
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 05-11 08:07
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 06-13 22:06
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 No +5 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 06-17 11:25