Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
174
lifetime
Volume
$5.45K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$1.35K
9 positions
First seen
2026-06-13
last 07-06 01:11
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Tech
73%
Other
26%
Politics
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +758 $619 85¢ $643 +$24 07-04 14:51
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? Yes +397 $242 61¢ $241 $-1 07-03 07:02
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? No +400 $137 39¢ $157 +$20 06-29 04:04
Databricks IPO before 2027? Yes +693 $147 19¢ $132 $-15 06-26 21:35
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +376 $120 20¢ $77 $-43 07-02 06:19
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +49 $41 88¢ $43 +$2 07-01 06:44
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +84 $28 34¢ $29 +$0 06-27 22:52
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? No +20 $18 98¢ $19 +$2 06-13 07:26
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +60 $15 15¢ $9 $-6 06-25 09:37