Realized P&L
-$60
Unrealized P&L
+$136
Hit rate
74.1%
Resolved
36
Trades
315
lifetime
Volume
$9.50K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$2.94K
24 positions
First seen
2026-06-13
last 07-21 05:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Tech
68% 46% -$200
Other
24% 29% +$138
Politics
9% 100% +$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +860 $702 92¢ $793 +$91 07-12 01:05
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +844 $109 45¢ $381 +$273 07-11 04:33
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +400 $258 72¢ $286 +$28 07-11 15:20
Trump out as President before 2027? No +232 $216 96¢ $222 +$6 07-07 06:31
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +200 $174 97¢ $194 +$20 07-08 15:56
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026 No +200 $182 96¢ $192 +$10 07-21 05:46
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +642 $258 29¢ $186 -$71 07-15 14:34
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +289 $99 56¢ $163 +$64 07-14 15:37
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +200 $28 50¢ $101 +$73 06-24 12:20
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +400 $60 23¢ $91 +$31 07-08 15:53
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +300 $120 26¢ $80 -$40 07-18 18:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +260 $37 20¢ $53 +$16 07-08 04:56
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +49 $41 97¢ $47 +$6 07-01 06:44
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +83 $69 52¢ $43 -$25 07-07 11:41
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +400 $48 6¢ $23 -$25 07-07 01:35
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes +48 $24 35¢ $17 -$8 07-08 04:38
Databricks IPO before 2027? Yes +693 $147 2¢ $14 -$133 06-26 21:35
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +3,663 $79 0¢ $13 -$66 07-11 04:26
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +2,969 $29 0¢ $10 -$19 07-11 04:25
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +874 $40 1¢ $9 -$31 07-06 00:51
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +200 $30 4¢ $8 -$22 06-13 04:31
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +11 $4 71¢ $8 +$4 07-12 10:28
anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31 OpenAI +100 $38 7¢ $7 -$31 06-13 07:13
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +60 $15 3¢ $2 -$13 06-25 09:37