Realized P&L (30d)
+$55
Unrealized P&L
+$63
Hit rate
88.5%
Resolved (30d)
3
Trades (30d)
0
315 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$0
$9.50K lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$2.87K
24 positions
First seen
2026-06-13
last 07-21 05:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Tech
68% 46% -$200
Other
24% 29% +$138
Politics
9% 100% +$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +860 $702 90¢ $778 +$76 07-12 01:05
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +844 $109 45¢ $379 +$270 07-11 04:33
Trump out as President before 2027? No +232 $216 97¢ $225 +$9 07-07 06:31
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +400 $258 56¢ $222 -$36 07-11 15:20
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +200 $174 98¢ $196 +$22 07-08 15:56
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026 No +200 $182 96¢ $193 +$11 07-21 05:46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +289 $99 64¢ $184 +$84 07-14 15:37
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +400 $60 44¢ $176 +$116 07-08 15:53
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +642 $258 19¢ $122 -$136 07-15 14:34
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +200 $28 44¢ $87 +$59 06-24 12:20
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +300 $120 22¢ $68 -$52 07-18 18:38
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +49 $41 98¢ $47 +$6 07-01 06:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +260 $37 18¢ $46 +$8 07-08 04:56
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +83 $69 46¢ $38 -$30 07-07 11:41
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +400 $48 6¢ $22 -$26 07-07 01:35
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes +48 $24 44¢ $21 -$4 07-08 04:38
Databricks IPO before 2027? Yes +693 $147 3¢ $19 -$127 06-26 21:35
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +200 $30 6¢ $12 -$18 06-13 04:31
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +11 $4 81¢ $9 +$5 07-12 10:28
anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31 OpenAI +100 $38 8¢ $8 -$30 06-13 07:13
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +874 $40 1¢ $7 -$32 07-06 00:51
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +3,663 $79 0¢ $5 -$74 07-11 04:26
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +2,969 $29 0¢ $4 -$25 07-11 04:25
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +60 $15 2¢ $1 -$14 06-25 09:37