(anonymous) 0x5efe3c…eb5f55 Create alert
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Realized P&L (30d)
+$55
Unrealized P&L
-$44
Hit rate
88.5%
Resolved (30d)
3
Trades (30d)
0
315 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$0
$9.50K lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$2.64K
23 positions
First seen
2026-06-13
last 07-21 05:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Tech
68% 46% -$200
Other
24% 29% +$138
Politics
9% 100% +$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +860 $702 92¢ $793 +$91 07-12 01:05
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +844 $109 30¢ $254 +$145 07-11 04:33
Trump out as President before 2027? No +232 $216 97¢ $225 +$9 07-07 06:31
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +400 $60 55¢ $221 +$161 07-08 15:53
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +200 $174 98¢ $196 +$22 07-08 15:56
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026 No +200 $182 97¢ $195 +$13 07-21 05:46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +289 $99 64¢ $186 +$87 07-14 15:37
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +400 $258 42¢ $166 -$92 07-11 15:20
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +642 $258 20¢ $132 -$126 07-15 14:34
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +200 $28 32¢ $64 +$36 06-24 12:20
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +49 $41 97¢ $47 +$6 07-01 06:44
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +83 $69 42¢ $35 -$34 07-07 11:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +260 $37 11¢ $27 -$10 07-08 04:56
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +400 $48 5¢ $21 -$27 07-07 01:35
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +200 $30 8¢ $16 -$14 06-13 04:31
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes +48 $24 32¢ $15 -$9 07-08 04:38
Databricks IPO before 2027? Yes +693 $147 2¢ $15 -$132 06-26 21:35
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +11 $4 80¢ $9 +$4 07-12 10:28
anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31 OpenAI +100 $38 8¢ $8 -$30 06-13 07:13
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +874 $40 1¢ $7 -$32 07-06 00:51
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +3,663 $79 0¢ $5 -$74 07-11 04:26
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +2,969 $29 0¢ $4 -$25 07-11 04:25
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +60 $15 2¢ $1 -$14 06-25 09:37