(anonymous) 0x5efe3c…eb5f55 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$180
Unrealized P&L
+$87
Hit rate
72.6%
Resolved
37
Trades
315
lifetime
Volume
$9.50K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$3.02K
24 positions
First seen
2026-06-13
last 07-21 05:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Tech
68% 46% -$200
Other
24% 29% +$138
Politics
9% 50% -$118
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +860 $702 92¢ $787 +$85 07-12 01:05
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? Yes +574 $242 90¢ $519 +$277 07-06 00:28
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +400 $60 67¢ $268 +$208 07-08 15:53
Trump out as President before 2027? No +232 $216 97¢ $224 +$9 07-07 06:31
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +289 $99 69¢ $199 +$100 07-14 15:37
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +200 $174 98¢ $196 +$22 07-08 15:56
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026 No +200 $182 98¢ $196 +$14 07-21 05:46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +400 $258 32¢ $126 -$132 07-11 15:20
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +844 $109 14¢ $120 +$12 07-11 04:33
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +642 $258 18¢ $119 -$139 07-15 14:34
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +49 $41 98¢ $47 +$6 07-01 06:44
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +200 $28 18¢ $37 +$9 06-24 12:20
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +83 $69 40¢ $33 -$36 07-07 11:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +260 $37 12¢ $32 -$4 07-08 04:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +200 $30 14¢ $27 -$3 06-13 04:31
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +400 $48 4¢ $18 -$30 07-07 01:35
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes +48 $24 32¢ $15 -$9 07-08 04:38
Databricks IPO before 2027? Yes +693 $147 2¢ $15 -$132 06-26 21:35
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +11 $4 82¢ $9 +$5 07-12 10:28
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +874 $40 1¢ $7 -$32 07-06 00:51
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +3,663 $79 0¢ $7 -$72 07-11 04:26
anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31 OpenAI +100 $38 6¢ $6 -$32 06-13 07:13
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +2,969 $29 0¢ $4 -$25 07-11 04:25
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +60 $15 2¢ $1 -$14 06-25 09:37