(anonymous) 0x5efe3c…eb5f55 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$180
Unrealized P&L
-$49
Hit rate
72.6%
Resolved
37
Trades
315
lifetime
Volume
$9.50K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$2.64K
23 positions
First seen
2026-06-13
last 07-21 05:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 20 days
Categories
Tech
68% 46% -$200
Other
24% 29% +$138
Politics
9% 50% -$118
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-21).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +860 $702 92¢ $792 +$89 07-12 01:05
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +400 $60 62¢ $250 +$190 07-08 15:53
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +844 $109 28¢ $235 +$126 07-11 04:33
Trump out as President before 2027? No +232 $216 96¢ $223 +$7 07-07 06:31
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +200 $174 98¢ $196 +$22 07-08 15:56
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026 No +200 $182 98¢ $195 +$13 07-21 05:46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +289 $99 68¢ $195 +$96 07-14 15:37
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +400 $258 36¢ $144 -$114 07-11 15:20
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +642 $258 21¢ $135 -$123 07-15 14:34
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +200 $28 29¢ $57 +$29 06-24 12:20
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +49 $41 98¢ $47 +$6 07-01 06:44
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +83 $69 40¢ $34 -$35 07-07 11:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +260 $37 11¢ $27 -$10 07-08 04:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +200 $30 12¢ $23 -$7 06-13 04:31
Databricks IPO before 2027? Yes +693 $147 3¢ $18 -$129 06-26 21:35
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +400 $48 4¢ $16 -$32 07-07 01:35
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes +48 $24 33¢ $16 -$9 07-08 04:38
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +11 $4 79¢ $9 +$4 07-12 10:28
anthropic vs openai higher valuation on december 31 OpenAI +100 $38 8¢ $8 -$30 06-13 07:13
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +874 $40 1¢ $7 -$32 07-06 00:51
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +3,663 $79 0¢ $5 -$74 07-11 04:26
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +2,969 $29 0¢ $4 -$25 07-11 04:25
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +60 $15 2¢ $1 -$14 06-25 09:37