Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$27.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$1.40K

Hit rate

74.3%

Resolved

Trades

843

lifetime

Volume

$333.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$396

Open exposure

$3.98K

16 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 11-05 12:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Politics

76% 75% +$5,938

Other

24% 72% +$21,556

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+10,000	$1,520	12¢	$1.2K	-$275	10-13 07:29
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	-1,000	-$854	97¢	$-967	-$113	07-14 19:35
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	+1,000	$230	96¢	$964	+$734	10-31 22:11
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+14,000	$182	1¢	$175	-$7	08-02 02:28
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	-2,000	-$398	9¢	$-175	+$223	07-14 19:35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	+250	$158	46¢	$114	-$44	10-01 00:40
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+100	$91	92¢	$92	+$0	08-02 02:26
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+1,000	$82	7¢	$72	-$10	09-25 23:51
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$59	43¢	$43	-$16	10-01 00:50
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	-12,498	-$284	0¢	$-37	+$246	07-14 19:34
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+1,000	$325	3¢	$33	-$292	07-20 23:23
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?	No	+25	$21	92¢	$23	+$2	08-02 00:24
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+100	$70	21¢	$21	-$49	08-02 02:23
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	-274	-$110	4¢	$-10	+$100	07-14 19:35
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?	No	+10	$9	34¢	$3	-$6	10-16 04:10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+0	-$909	88¢	$0	+$909	11-04 18:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$28.2K	15,000	15,000	+0	No	+$768	04-17 18:38
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	10	$22.0K	14,600	14,600	+0	No	-$1,149	01-15 02:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	19	$19.6K	12,000	12,000	+0	open	—	11-04 18:59
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	8	$19.5K	10,446	10,446	+0	Yes	+$1,378	04-11 15:26
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	8	$16.1K	20,000	10,000	+10,000	No	-$766	01-15 14:51
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$12.7K	13,000	0	+13,000	No	+$341	02-06 01:08
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	45	$12.5K	10,425	12,892	-2,468	No	-$2,646	01-16 22:16
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	10	$12.2K	10,153	10,153	+0	Yes	+$3,097	04-12 23:38
will the us invade iran by march 31	17	$10.8K	6,153	6,153	+0	No	+$307	03-23 13:04
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	33	$10.8K	7,150	7,150	+0	No	+$560	01-15 14:51
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?	9	$9.8K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$60	10-12 21:37
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	60	$9.4K	11,426	11,500	-73	Yes	+$831	04-12 14:29
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$8.3K	9,000	0	+9,000	Yes	+$740	11-04 01:07
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	6	$8.1K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$1,825	04-07 23:18
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	30	$7.7K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$40	03-19 02:04
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	63	$7.7K	25,744	34	+25,710	No	-$7,649	01-12 15:29
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	4	$6.4K	7,030	0	+7,030	No	+$670	01-12 22:06
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	4	$5.7K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$86	08-02 00:07
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	2	$5.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$417	04-17 18:39
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	47	$5.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$200	01-17 09:34
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	35	$5.3K	5,000	3,950	+1,050	No	-$2,616	11-04 01:05
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	5	$5.2K	3,392	3,392	+0	Yes	+$72	01-17 01:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$5.2K	4,000	4,000	+0	No	+$1,053	04-17 18:39
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	4	$4.7K	3,000	2,999	+1	Yes	+$792	11-04 01:09
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	32	$4.4K	6,141	6,141	+0	Yes	+$1,495	04-12 13:23
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	18	$4.2K	7,833	0	+7,833	No	-$4,231	01-14 23:25
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	7	$4.1K	2,856	2,856	+0	Yes	+$1,342	04-07 22:53
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$3.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$60	03-19 22:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$3.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$220	02-05 23:39
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	4	$3.4K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	-$3,428	03-27 22:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 12:08:22	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5,003	4¢	$175	0x96a5c1…
11-05 06:19:54	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	500	3¢	$17	0x3b0df5…
11-05 01:21:18	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	143	3¢	$5	0x35893c…
11-04 22:34:54	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xee962e…
11-04 19:08:54	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0xbfa917…
11-04 19:08:40	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0x55a5b6…
11-04 19:08:18	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	300	4¢	$11	0xdd10e0…
11-04 19:08:04	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5,000	4¢	$175	0xdfb189…
11-04 18:59:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	827	90¢	$744	0xc83062…
11-04 18:58:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x0b06df…
11-04 18:58:00	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	111	90¢	$100	0x971d62…
11-04 18:56:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x6f408a…
11-04 18:52:28	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x2de985…
11-04 18:43:48	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	3,000	90¢	$2,700	0x561bc2…
11-04 18:42:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0xb61e77…
11-04 18:41:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x860bbf…
11-04 18:35:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	38	90¢	$34	0x5de2f3…
11-04 18:35:18	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	32	3¢	$1	0xf1f7c4…
11-04 18:34:45	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3,858	4¢	$138	0x142362…
11-04 06:31:07	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xe5e7ca…
11-04 06:29:07	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xb65050…
11-04 03:26:33	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	830	90¢	$747	0x3dd633…
11-04 03:26:15	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xf41080…
11-04 03:22:58	Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	70	90¢	$63	0x037ca1…
11-04 02:33:13	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	950	93¢	$884	0xd880fb…
11-04 02:33:12	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xd8223f…
11-04 02:13:58	Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	79¢	$790	0x36a2bf…
11-04 02:11:30	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xdd3a14…
11-04 01:13:15	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	850	75¢	$638	0x7dc5d5…
11-04 01:13:15	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	75¢	$112	0x2f5ca1…
11-04 01:09:16	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,999	92¢	$2,761	0x9f5f1b…
11-04 01:07:21	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	8,000	95¢	$7,600	0x4ce42d…
11-04 01:05:42	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	950	27¢	$253	0xf235d5…
11-04 01:01:57	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	900	38¢	$342	0x1c04e4…
11-04 01:01:15	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	38¢	$38	0xa798e6…
11-04 00:57:01	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	149	33¢	$49	0x9b5398…
11-04 00:57:01	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	851	34¢	$292	0x2f5c7a…
11-04 00:54:19	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	36¢	$360	0xfccd57…
11-03 21:40:09	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	65¢	$650	0x129ab1…
11-03 12:40:45	Blue wave in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,500	92¢	$1,380	0xf15a30…
11-03 04:51:00	Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	38¢	$190	0xae6361…
11-03 04:45:01	Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?	Yes	BUY	25,000	2¢	$472	0x371d78…
11-01 02:57:03	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	66¢	$660	0x001214…
11-01 02:44:10	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	66¢	$660	0xc81b72…
10-31 22:11:46	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	1,000	23¢	$230	0x640722…
10-29 12:45:17	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xe9932f…
10-28 09:20:02	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	514	79¢	$406	0xcb0533…
10-28 08:13:07	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xeb1667…
10-28 08:04:43	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	189	79¢	$149	0xe6e3f3…
10-28 07:50:47	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0xc0cf55…
10-28 05:44:40	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	79¢	$32	0xcb2f89…
10-28 05:41:07	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	79¢	$45	0x45e0e1…
10-28 04:39:47	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	79¢	$47	0xfd7e0f…
10-28 04:31:34	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x88542b…
10-28 04:30:07	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x3ee426…
10-28 03:57:19	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xa92e55…
10-28 03:03:23	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0xf551a2…
10-28 02:53:02	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	103	79¢	$81	0x3223be…
10-28 02:20:33	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x94dccd…
10-28 01:55:36	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x4aebc2…
10-28 01:55:09	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	396	79¢	$313	0xe6e99c…
10-28 01:55:06	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	367	79¢	$290	0x268690…
10-28 01:48:24	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	79¢	$553	0x1bb7c9…
10-27 22:57:20	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x177837…
10-27 22:54:57	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0xe143d1…
10-27 22:50:35	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0xd86ad0…
10-27 22:19:48	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	79¢	$45	0xc49ab4…
10-27 21:15:29	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x9baf0e…
10-27 20:55:33	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xde8e3f…
10-27 18:47:08	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	79¢	$38	0xc8e0ba…
10-27 16:41:30	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	66¢	$660	0xd6f49e…
10-27 16:32:38	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	439	79¢	$347	0x95de9a…
10-27 16:32:32	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	455	79¢	$360	0x11b460…
10-27 16:32:21	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	79¢	$86	0xb298cd…
10-27 16:32:21	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	79¢	$74	0xa658e6…
10-27 16:30:20	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	79¢	$790	0xb89fa1…
10-26 19:03:41	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x026d09…
10-26 16:45:18	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x549276…
10-25 18:41:44	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,168	22¢	$257	0x70ec99…
10-25 18:41:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	227	22¢	$50	0x066f8b…
10-25 18:40:57	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	3,604	22¢	$793	0xa3cf7f…
10-25 17:22:09	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5,000	19¢	$950	0xc8fcf4…
10-24 19:22:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?	No	BUY	2,000	63¢	$1,260	0x443822…
10-24 19:22:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	No	BUY	450	51¢	$230	0xb270d4…
10-24 19:21:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	500	64¢	$320	0x95f940…
10-23 21:37:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?	No	BUY	1,000	66¢	$660	0x91ffe8…
10-22 20:56:53	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	2,000	84¢	$1,680	0x4db266…
10-21 21:14:15	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	900	20¢	$180	0xa5a4eb…
10-21 13:51:50	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x83e3bc…
10-16 13:42:36	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3defa6…
10-16 13:40:45	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc7bdfa…
10-16 13:38:55	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2fb739…
10-16 13:30:18	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x822482…
10-16 13:28:27	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xaed5dc…
10-16 05:28:57	Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb4abad…
10-16 04:10:18	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 12% and 14%?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x1ae99a…
10-15 17:10:55	Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x097604…
10-15 15:44:01	Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by 16% or more?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1447ff…
10-13 19:41:55	Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0x3c2ea4…
10-13 19:39:37	Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xcc388b…