Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
50
lifetime
Volume
$599
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$242
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 07-06 03:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
50%
Politics
48% 0% $-5
Crypto
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +127 $120 94¢ $120 $-0 06-22 08:06
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +59 $55 96¢ $56 +$1 06-22 08:06
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +22 $20 94¢ $21 +$1 06-08 03:21
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 90¢ $15 $-0 06-08 03:20
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +9 $8 90¢ $8 +$0 07-06 03:23
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +8 $6 86¢ $6 +$0 06-08 03:22
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? No +6 $5 89¢ $5 +$0 06-08 03:21
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 06-08 03:24
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -5 $-5 97¢ $-5 $-0 07-06 03:23
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +2 $1 62¢ $1 +$0 06-08 03:24