Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
45
lifetime
Volume
$431
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$98
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 06-08 03:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
67% 0% $-5
Other
30%
Crypto
2%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +22 $20 90¢ $20 $-0 06-08 03:21
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +21 $20 94¢ $20 $-0 06-08 03:23
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 92¢ $15 $-0 06-08 03:20
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -11 $-11 99¢ $-11 $-0 06-08 03:19
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +8 $6 80¢ $6 $-0 06-08 03:22
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No -6 $-6 99¢ $-6 $-0 06-08 03:20
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30? No -6 $-6 98¢ $-6 $-0 06-08 03:20
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 $-0 06-08 03:21
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $-0 06-08 03:24
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? No +6 $5 84¢ $5 $-0 06-08 03:21
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +2 $1 50¢ $1 $-0 06-08 03:24