Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
33
lifetime
Volume
$396
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$163
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-22
last 06-23 07:20
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
75%
Other
20%
Crypto
6%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +107 $96 92¢ $98 +$2 06-09 01:13
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +12 $10 89¢ $10 +$0 06-09 01:12
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? No +12 $10 87¢ $10 +$0 06-09 01:11
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +14 $10 74¢ $10 +$0 06-09 01:11
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No +11 $10 89¢ $10 $-0 06-09 01:12
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +6 $6 92¢ $6 +$0 06-09 01:17
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-09 01:06
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +6 $5 80¢ $5 $-0 06-09 01:06
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +8 $5 58¢ $5 $-0 06-09 01:07
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 $-0 06-23 07:20