Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
36
lifetime
Volume
$428
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$161
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-22
last 07-20 02:10
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
69%
Other
26%
Crypto
5%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +107 $96 92¢ $99 +$3 06-09 01:13
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +18 $16 90¢ $16 $-0 07-20 02:10
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +14 $10 78¢ $11 +$1 06-09 01:11
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +12 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 06-09 01:12
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? No +12 $10 90¢ $10 +$0 06-09 01:11
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +6 $6 92¢ $6 +$0 06-09 01:17
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +6 $5 78¢ $5 $-0 06-09 01:06
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 $-0 06-23 07:20