Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
26
lifetime
Volume
$483
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$148
11 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 07-07 03:12
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
54%
Other
45%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No +106 $95 92¢ $98 +$3 06-23 07:11
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 78¢ $6 +$1 06-09 00:57
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026? No +6 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-09 00:59
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +6 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-09 00:59
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +7 $5 78¢ $5 +$0 06-09 00:57
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-09 00:59
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? No +7 $5 77¢ $5 +$0 06-09 00:58
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $-0 06-09 00:57
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 06-09 00:59
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 06-09 00:58
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +4 $4 88¢ $4 $-0 07-07 03:12