Enchanting-Dividend — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$918

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$296

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 10-15 04:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

58% 50% -$1

Other

41% 60% -$2

Crypto

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	-172	-$151	96¢	$-165	-$14	09-14 01:46
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	-90	-$84	96¢	$-86	-$3	09-01 02:35
US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	-22	-$21	98¢	$-21	$0	09-14 01:46
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	+23	$20	90¢	$20	+$0	08-07 02:15
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	-4	-$3	94¢	$-3	$0	09-14 01:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President before 2027?	4	$341	106	277	-172	open	—	09-14 01:46
trump out as president by march 31	2	$160	82	82	+0	No	+$0	02-12 16:06
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$160	82	82	+0	No	$0	01-26 03:16
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	1	$84	0	90	-90	open	—	09-01 02:35
US x China Military clash before 2027?	1	$21	0	22	-22	open	—	09-14 01:46
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	2	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	08-07 02:15
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	08-07 02:14
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	10-15 04:37
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	10-15 04:37
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	08-07 02:14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	08-07 02:14
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	10-15 04:37
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	10-15 04:36
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	10-15 04:36
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	10-15 04:35
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	03-31 02:58
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	06-09 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-25 05:13
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	10-15 04:35
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	1	$3	0	4	-4	open	—	09-14 01:46
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	1	$3	0	3	-3	No	$0	05-25 05:10
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 60 79	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	02-25 08:19
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	-$2	05-25 05:10
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$1	4	4	+0	Yes	-$1	02-28 07:33
lol wb ig1 2026 02 25	1	$1	1	0	+1	Weibo Gaming	+$0	02-25 08:21
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	02-12 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-25 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	05-25 05:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-25 05:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 04:37:56	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	No	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xd7099e…
10-15 04:37:46	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2078f9…
10-15 04:37:34	Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?	No	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x7c4b2a…
10-15 04:36:17	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x5558ba…
10-15 04:36:08	Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0x31a847…
10-15 04:35:58	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	73¢	$5	0xf32640…
10-15 04:35:50	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x353487…
09-14 01:46:43	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	106	93¢	$98	0x2f84f4…
09-14 01:46:28	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0x444488…
09-14 01:46:12	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0xc30ff1…
09-01 02:35:40	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	90	93¢	$84	0x99c904…
08-07 02:15:03	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x93acdb…
08-07 02:14:36	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	SELL	7	77¢	$5	0xea782c…
08-07 02:14:27	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x3aa871…
08-07 02:14:18	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0x363c70…
07-07 03:12:38	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xb88b3a…
06-23 07:11:52	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x03d7ca…
06-09 01:01:00	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x7b1337…
06-09 00:59:49	Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xf6dd0d…
06-09 00:59:37	Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xfe7189…
06-09 00:59:16	Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xee9c41…
06-09 00:59:06	Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa72c2d…
06-09 00:58:30	Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xa4ffbc…
06-09 00:58:10	Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7d77ff…
06-09 00:57:43	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x307455…
06-09 00:57:16	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x7062c6…
06-09 00:57:00	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9e45d4…
05-25 05:50:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf969fe…
05-25 05:50:12	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x0ec8bb…
05-25 05:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x6d45bf…
05-25 05:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4b8363…
05-25 05:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x51ddf7…
05-25 05:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xd1a1e6…
05-25 05:10:48	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xb8b24d…
05-25 05:10:36	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x8e8a69…
05-25 05:10:22	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x795260…
05-06 07:43:58	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	172	86¢	$148	0x5ee86e…
03-31 02:58:59	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x906a64…
02-28 07:33:17	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x5cb276…
02-28 06:23:27	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x595243…
02-25 08:21:34	lol wb ig1 2026 02 25	Weibo Gaming	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xaa89fb…
02-25 08:19:08	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 60 79	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9451b6…
02-21 05:53:20	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 60 79	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x99e52d…
02-12 16:07:49	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1e67cf…
02-12 16:06:45	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	82	98¢	$80	0x83918e…
01-26 03:16:36	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	82	98¢	$80	0xac71dd…
01-19 07:07:54	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	82	98¢	$80	0x67d40b…
01-19 07:07:36	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0xbbcf24…