Colorless-Fantasy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$34.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$178

Hit rate

86.1%

Resolved

297

Trades

662

lifetime

Volume

$295.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$446

Open exposure

$529

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-21 03:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Other

69% 86% +$34,672

Crypto

14% 88% -$450

Politics

11% 90% +$262

Sports

4% 83% +$51

Tech

2% 50% -$159

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?	No	-103	-$102	99¢	$-102	$0	10-20 18:19
StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	-104	-$101	97¢	$-102	$0	10-20 18:18
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	-104	-$100	97¢	$-101	-$1	10-20 18:19
StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	-101	-$100	99¢	$-100	$0	10-20 18:19
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	-102	-$100	98¢	$-100	+$0	10-20 18:18
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	+212	$200	11¢	$24	-$176	08-12 16:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Over $40M committed to the Printr public sale?	8	$19.2K	13,024	12,625	+399	No	+$6,356	04-30 10:29
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?	16	$15.5K	9,128	9,896	-769	Yes	+$3,327	01-06 00:08
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	5	$12.0K	7,289	7,289	-0	Yes	-$962	02-18 15:29
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	36	$11.5K	11,162	11,162	+0	Yes	+$6,285	01-09 23:39
Over $60M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$10.8K	6,696	6,590	+106	No	+$2,348	04-30 10:04
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$10.1K	5,076	5,076	+0	No	+$71	04-30 10:18
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	8	$8.7K	6,814	6,690	+125	No	+$4,667	04-30 10:04
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$8.4K	6,250	5,980	+270	No	+$3,702	04-30 10:05
Over $3M committed to the Infinex public sale?	13	$8.1K	6,008	6,089	-81	Yes	+$3,974	01-08 14:57
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	7	$7.4K	4,613	4,613	+0	No	+$506	02-03 05:08
Over $40M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$6.3K	3,306	3,306	+0	No	+$269	02-03 23:57
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$6.0K	3,024	3,024	+0	No	+$6	03-05 10:31
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?	26	$4.1K	14,404	13,110	+1,294	Yes	-$19	01-26 12:14
USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	3	$4.0K	2,006	2,006	+0	No	+$1	04-11 11:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	1	$4.0K	4,053	0	+4,053	Yes	+$53	04-16 13:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$4.0K	4,036	0	+4,036	Yes	+$36	04-16 13:33
over 40m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325654	3	$4.0K	5,276	0	+5,276	No	+$1,276	07-13 18:11
Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?	10	$3.4K	4,601	5,509	-908	Yes	-$160	01-10 05:12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	1	$3.1K	0	3,158	-3,158	No	-$9	06-25 11:46
will megaeth perform an airdrop by march 15	1	$3.0K	3,031	0	+3,031	No	+$31	03-02 10:57
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$3.0K	3,150	0	+3,150	No	+$150	04-20 19:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	1	$3.0K	3,203	0	+3,203	No	+$203	04-23 15:19
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	16	$2.8K	1,501	1,501	+0	Yes	-$5	01-30 10:57
Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?	4	$2.7K	2,619	2,454	+165	No	+$2,171	04-30 10:05
Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-07-13?	2	$2.4K	1,268	1,268	+0	No	+$87	07-13 19:08
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$2.4K	2,221	2,085	+136	No	+$1,865	04-30 10:05
Will Arthur Fery be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$2.3K	1,180	1,180	+0	No	+$27	07-10 17:17
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?	11	$2.3K	4,958	1	+4,957	No	+$194	01-23 18:56
over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	5	$2.2K	1,275	1,275	+0	No	+$224	07-23 16:17
USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	3	$2.2K	1,105	1,105	+0	No	+$2	04-11 11:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 03:39:33	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	SELL	922	90¢	$830	0x5e8ea9…
10-21 03:38:09	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	Yes	SELL	1,078	90¢	$970	0x9e1213…
10-20 18:19:20	Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	104	97¢	$100	0x918533…
10-20 18:19:11	StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?	No	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x224001…
10-20 18:19:03	StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	No	SELL	101	99¢	$100	0xed4e2c…
10-20 18:18:56	StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x6d618f…
10-20 18:18:44	StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	104	97¢	$101	0x186817…
09-14 16:36:45	Mike Johnson out as Speaker by September 30?	No	SELL	105	99¢	$105	0x73c513…
09-09 09:19:51	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?	Yes	BUY	1,215	4¢	$50	0x284fc3…
09-09 09:18:28	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?	Yes	BUY	1,152	9¢	$100	0x27c489…
09-09 09:18:18	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?	Yes	BUY	535	19¢	$100	0xa70f49…
08-29 14:38:13	cs2 upgrad xcity 2026 08 29	UPGRADE	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x25fc8e…
08-29 14:37:31	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xd25f54…
08-29 14:36:10	NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x9d5949…
08-29 14:34:40	Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena \| WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	216	92¢	$200	0x066b3d…
08-29 14:34:15	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	207	96¢	$200	0xdb3771…
08-29 14:33:45	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0xea52a6…
08-29 14:33:10	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by August 31?	No	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x0b67e7…
08-29 14:32:46	Will Richard Neal be the MA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	216	92¢	$200	0xc94c85…
08-29 14:32:31	Will there be fewer than 4 North Korea tests in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x254d10…
08-29 14:32:09	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x02957b…
08-27 18:37:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	SELL	311	100¢	$310	0xeb9682…
08-26 08:07:48	will umia launch a token by march 31 2027	Yes	BUY	140	95¢	$132	0xe34079…
08-26 08:07:33	will umia launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	41	95¢	$39	0x87a6ab…
08-26 08:07:27	will umia launch a token by november 30 2026	Yes	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x20f031…
08-26 08:07:01	will umia launch a token by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x8157dc…
08-26 08:06:55	will umia launch a token by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x958ab8…
08-26 08:06:51	will umia launch a token by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	220	92¢	$202	0x6860e9…
08-26 08:06:15	will umia launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x24c76c…
08-26 08:06:00	will umia launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0xa625b9…
08-20 10:40:12	Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	208	99¢	$207	0x22fcee…
08-20 10:38:48	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	SELL	220	99¢	$218	0xc606ef…
08-20 10:38:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	SELL	568	100¢	$565	0x50a341…
08-20 10:38:22	Will James Fishback win 20–25% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	SELL	307	100¢	$307	0x5a06dd…
08-19 20:48:43	over 2m committed to the multipli public sale	Yes	BUY	227	31¢	$71	0x8168c4…
08-19 01:22:54	over 2m committed to the multipli public sale	Yes	BUY	300	55¢	$165	0x426148…
08-18 19:57:39	over 6m committed to the multipli public sale	No	BUY	93	91¢	$85	0x371c3c…
08-18 19:57:19	over 8m committed to the multipli public sale	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x22f622…
08-18 19:56:55	over 10m committed to the multipli public sale	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x8593f0…
08-18 19:56:46	over 10m committed to the multipli public sale	No	BUY	82	94¢	$77	0x22d39f…
08-18 15:03:27	Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x8b3038…
08-18 15:02:46	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x91d455…
08-18 15:02:21	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 31 286	No	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x9dd8e2…
08-18 15:01:52	Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	BUY	212	94¢	$200	0xd8d6b0…
08-18 15:01:10	Will John Rutherford be the FL-05 Republican nominee?	Yes	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x888cb9…
08-18 15:00:37	Will James Fishback win 20–25% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	No	BUY	307	98¢	$300	0x8b16b4…
08-18 14:59:36	Will David Burck be the FL-22 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0x067a07…
08-18 14:44:51	Will the Republican Party win the FL-06 House seat?	Yes	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x06de30…
08-18 14:44:30	Will George Moraitis be the FL-25 Republican nominee?	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x355720…
08-16 15:06:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x814855…
08-16 15:04:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on August 17?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x218ff4…
08-16 15:02:57	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xe36b64…
08-16 14:52:33	Will Nic Zateslo be the FL-02 Democratic nominee?	No	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x041212…
08-16 14:48:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 17?	No	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x01d234…
08-16 14:47:15	Will Republicans win the Alaska Governor election and Democrats win the Alaska Senate election?	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x2bf411…
08-16 14:46:09	Will the Republican Party win the FL-03 House seat?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x3728f8…
08-16 14:45:57	Will the Democratic Party win the FL-23 House seat?	Yes	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0xe979c8…
08-16 14:45:48	Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?	Yes	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x659f5e…
08-16 14:45:10	Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?	Yes	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xdef704…
08-16 14:44:06	Will "My Life With the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	207	96¢	$200	0x30b82c…
08-16 14:41:34	Will the Republican Party win the FL-08 House seat?	Yes	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0xeba937…
08-16 14:41:12	Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	No	BUY	218	92¢	$200	0x2d3285…
08-16 14:40:30	Will the Republican Party win the FL-19 House seat?	Yes	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x97a67e…
08-16 14:38:12	Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0x9722e8…
08-16 14:36:31	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0xd1a73a…
08-16 14:35:51	Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x19c03b…
08-14 16:37:58	Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	SELL	511	100¢	$510	0xd863b8…
08-12 16:29:40	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0xf21a5f…
08-12 16:29:15	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x8d31d0…
08-12 16:16:45	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 15	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0xd00478…
08-12 16:16:07	Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x60e1b1…
08-12 16:15:24	Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	No	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x0a5515…
08-12 16:14:22	Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x566c1e…
08-12 16:08:33	Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x3e44a1…
08-12 16:07:39	Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0xfd94cf…
08-12 16:05:52	Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?	No	BUY	212	94¢	$200	0x5e79d1…
08-12 16:04:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	205	97¢	$200	0x828551…
08-12 16:02:24	dota2 vsn2 tr7 2026 08 12	TEAM VISION	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0xd326bd…
08-12 16:01:04	Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?	No	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x89a18d…
08-12 16:00:28	Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?	No	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x11f1c9…
08-07 14:14:34	over 5m committed to the ryvo public sale 20260804200831374	Yes	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x04b394…
08-07 11:03:37	over 7m committed to the ryvo public sale 20260804200831376	Yes	SELL	150	35¢	$52	0x72245d…
08-06 15:32:56	over 8m committed to the ryvo public sale 20260804200831377	Yes	BUY	454	22¢	$100	0x2228ee…
08-06 15:32:21	over 5m committed to the ryvo public sale 20260804200831374	Yes	BUY	408	25¢	$100	0xaad9ac…
08-06 15:32:11	over 6m committed to the ryvo public sale 20260804200831375	Yes	BUY	340	29¢	$100	0xf95442…
08-06 15:31:56	over 7m committed to the ryvo public sale 20260804200831376	Yes	BUY	328	15¢	$50	0xec393e…
08-03 16:03:59	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	594	84¢	$500	0x1a02af…
08-03 16:03:06	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 7 2026	No	BUY	313	96¢	$300	0x3f0b6e…
08-03 15:47:32	Will Dundee FC win on 2026-08-03?	No	BUY	316	95¢	$300	0xab970e…
08-03 15:46:33	Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	310	97¢	$300	0xa18475…
08-03 15:46:05	Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	527	95¢	$500	0x2ac73c…
08-03 15:45:17	Will Shannon Taylor be the VA-01 Democratic nominee?	Yes	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xf1be52…
08-03 15:21:20	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	311	97¢	$300	0xc84755…
08-03 15:19:50	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x4c8f67…
08-03 15:11:41	Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	No	BUY	511	98¢	$500	0x0d1353…
08-03 15:11:00	Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0x7ab968…
08-03 14:12:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	568	88¢	$500	0xaef3c1…
08-02 16:09:41	Will Marsha Blackburn win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0xff597b…
08-02 16:08:59	Will Count Binface win 30–40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?	No	BUY	214	94¢	$200	0x38da10…
08-02 16:07:51	foxa quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 06 2026 1pt38	Yes	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0xc6a441…