Realized P&L
+$1
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
22
lifetime
Volume
$299
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$78
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 06-08 02:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
52%
Politics
47%
Crypto
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -35 $-34 96¢ $-34 $-0 07-06 02:08
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +11 $10 88¢ $10 $-0 07-06 02:09
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +6 $5 86¢ $5 +$0 06-08 02:04
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 +$0 06-08 02:04
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +6 $5 90¢ $5 $-0 07-06 02:09
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +6 $5 78¢ $5 $-0 07-06 02:11
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? No +5 $5 89¢ $5 $-0 07-06 02:11
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31? No +4 $4 89¢ $4 +$0 07-06 02:13
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +4 $3 86¢ $3 +$0 07-06 02:11
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +3 $2 66¢ $2 +$0 07-06 02:12