Realized P&L
+$145
Unrealized P&L
-$215
Hit rate
72.6%
Resolved
4
Trades
147
lifetime
Volume
$13.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$91
Open exposure
$495
8 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 06-29 14:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
63% 100% +$315
Crypto
17% 0% $-100
Other
17% 0% $-70
Tech
3%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
34 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +446 $400 90¢ $399 $-1 06-01 16:00
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +77 $40 40¢ $31 $-9 06-04 14:03
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +81 $20 26¢ $21 +$1 06-16 10:54
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +62 $10 16¢ $10 +$0 06-25 08:07
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year? No +791 $10 $10 $-0 06-24 14:27
Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +36 $20 25¢ $9 $-11 06-16 10:54
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +1,116 $200 $8 $-192 06-09 13:45
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +40 $10 16¢ $6 $-4 06-15 15:25