Realized P&L
+$13.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$28.0K
Hit rate
66.5%
Resolved
256
Trades
176,398
lifetime
Volume
$872.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$245.7K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 10-29 11:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Politics
52% 91% +$1,712
Sports
35% 97% +$5,669
Other
12% 95% +$5,865
Crypto
0% 50% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 2297 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -151,368 -$47,993 46¢ $-70386 -$22,394 10-27 22:46
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -151,134 -$71,348 24¢ $-37028 +$34,320 10-27 22:46
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -67,126 -$24,070 38¢ $-25709 -$1,639 07-02 01:26
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -42,875 -$14,252 43¢ $-18415 -$4,162 10-29 10:29
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -16,955 -$13,880 86¢ $-14505 -$625 10-25 22:01
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -67,160 -$16,333 18¢ $-11787 +$4,547 07-02 01:26
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -13,444 -$9,589 82¢ $-10964 -$1,375 10-27 12:19
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -42,909 -$8,306 16¢ $-7080 +$1,226 10-29 10:29
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -42,856 -$3,625 16¢ $-6664 -$3,039 10-29 10:29
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -151,428 -$21,705 4¢ $-5300 +$16,406 10-27 22:46
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -42,909 -$4,997 11¢ $-4505 +$492 10-29 10:29
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20,311 -$3,914 18¢ $-3686 +$228 08-13 02:17
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -151,365 -$3,910 2¢ $-3481 +$428 10-27 22:46
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20,311 -$1,207 13¢ $-2651 -$1,444 08-13 02:17
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -66,918 -$2,463 4¢ $-2409 +$54 07-02 01:26
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20,307 -$3,250 11¢ $-2142 +$1,107 08-13 02:17
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -67,158 -$4,204 3¢ $-2015 +$2,189 07-02 01:26
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20,305 -$853 10¢ $-1980 -$1,127 08-13 02:17
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -13,439 -$3,273 14¢ $-1881 +$1,392 10-27 12:19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20,314 -$2,851 9¢ $-1838 +$1,013 08-13 02:17
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -67,062 -$572 3¢ $-1710 -$1,138 07-02 01:26
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -42,909 -$844 4¢ $-1545 -$701 10-29 10:29
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -67,140 -$1,618 2¢ $-1343 +$276 07-02 01:26
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -67,110 -$1,939 2¢ $-1208 +$731 07-02 01:26
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes -2,972 -$712 36¢ $-1061 -$349 10-28 00:06
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -67,091 -$638 2¢ $-1006 -$368 07-02 01:26
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -42,909 -$3,401 2¢ $-880 +$2,521 10-29 10:29
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -144,209 -$252 1¢ $-865 -$613 10-27 22:46
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -20,307 -$1,133 4¢ $-863 +$270 08-13 02:17
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? Yes -16,955 -$606 5¢ $-822 -$217 10-25 22:01