Popular-Code — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.42K

Unrealized P&L

+$228

Hit rate

28.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,991

lifetime

Volume

$9.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$576

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-28 19:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 42 days

Categories

Other

49% 15% -$1,232

Politics

46% 20% +$109

Sports

2% 20% +$39

Tech

2% 0% -$197

Crypto

2% 0% -$138

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+12,250	$61	2¢	$239	+$178	10-03 14:26
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	+4,076	$100	5¢	$204	+$104	07-10 16:36
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-16,666	$30	0¢	$-58	-$88	10-28 19:01
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	+5,000	-$5	1¢	$42	+$48	10-14 08:14
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	+500	$45	6¢	$32	-$12	10-19 04:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	13	$1.3K	6,249	4,964	+1,285	No	-$296	02-08 16:03
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$1.0K	0	1,443	-1,443	Yes	-$419	02-05 11:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	17	$590	1,352	1,352	+0	Yes	+$469	03-02 11:42
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	8	$577	1,500	785	+715	Yes	+$552	02-07 05:51
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	11	$483	639	639	+0	No	+$184	03-20 14:58
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	5	$360	1,600	0	+1,600	Yes	-$360	01-26 17:08
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	224	$330	33,333	49,999	-16,666	open	—	10-28 19:01
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	14	$319	1,331	1,331	+0	No	-$79	03-23 11:14
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	14	$277	1,000	1,000	-0	open	—	10-16 04:38
iran leadership change by march 31	4	$272	1,000	700	+300	No	-$48	03-19 20:00
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	16	$239	1,024	622	+402	No	+$28	05-19 01:27
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	9	$221	720	720	+0	No	-$5	03-17 18:26
will ldp win a majority in the 2026 japanese snap election	5	$199	4,667	0	+4,667	Yes	-$199	02-07 05:17
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	12	$197	986	0	+986	No	-$197	06-12 10:58
will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	68	$188	4,455	2,333	+2,122	No	-$86	03-04 10:10
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	13	$186	3,540	3,540	+0	No	-$16	03-23 11:16
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3	$167	500	400	+100	No	-$23	01-09 16:04
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	4	$165	1,016	1,016	+0	No	-$37	03-23 11:15
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	7	$157	675	400	+275	No	+$81	04-05 04:51
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	4	$153	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$153	03-05 02:14
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	7	$152	560	0	+560	No	-$152	02-15 11:14
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	131	$147	29,661	0	+29,661	No	-$147	02-25 12:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	5	$144	300	300	+0	No	+$42	10-16 07:57
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	218	$141	44,874	0	+44,874	No	-$141	02-08 08:10
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	6	$125	10,000	5,000	+5,000	open	—	10-14 08:14
Will Republicans win Latino men in the midterms?	2	$124	979	0	+979	open	—	10-04 22:26
will bitcoin reach 76k april 6 12	4	$117	1,086	0	+1,086	No	-$117	04-10 16:16
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	1	$113	3,004	0	+3,004	No	-$113	08-26 14:01
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$100	500	0	+500	Yes	+$400	02-23 15:07
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	92	$100	4,076	0	+4,076	open	—	07-10 16:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 19:01:31	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	49,999	0¢	$150	0x3fc037…
10-19 04:54:15	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0x209f5d…
10-16 07:57:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	13¢	$13	0x14e1ee…
10-16 04:38:16	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	165	12¢	$21	0xa8d33b…
10-16 04:37:51	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	12¢	$12	0x240e37…
10-16 04:37:30	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	12¢	$11	0xb38f24…
10-16 04:37:28	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x92b969…
10-15 14:44:53	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	25¢	$9	0x194a2c…
10-15 14:42:28	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	25¢	$20	0xaad8be…
10-15 14:42:28	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x869461…
10-15 14:35:58	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	162	28¢	$45	0xb78feb…
10-15 14:34:31	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x457235…
10-15 14:31:38	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xb870d8…
10-15 14:30:28	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0x840a3d…
10-15 13:41:14	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x6c910d…
10-15 13:41:05	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	108	30¢	$32	0xd04934…
10-14 22:05:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xcbe8c3…
10-14 22:05:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	94	32¢	$30	0xad8e86…
10-14 12:59:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	48¢	$48	0x94839f…
10-14 12:39:41	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$55	0xc4082e…
10-14 08:14:02	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	1,000	2¢	$15	0x2e9ebc…
10-14 00:30:24	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$14	0x849102…
10-13 04:39:59	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	1,304	1¢	$16	0xfbfb25…
10-13 04:31:30	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	696	1¢	$8	0x5c9904…
10-12 12:26:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0x150668…
10-07 18:16:48	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$12	0x3e9dd1…
10-04 22:26:40	Will Republicans win Latino men in the midterms?	Yes	BUY	231	15¢	$35	0x232922…
10-04 02:16:43	Will Republicans win Latino men in the midterms?	Yes	BUY	748	12¢	$90	0x834103…
10-03 14:35:03	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House	Yes	BUY	10,000	1¢	$60	0x885f6a…
10-03 14:26:51	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	12,250	0¢	$61	0xd34707…
09-12 14:35:09	Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	113	2¢	$2	0x6c5216…
08-26 14:01:46	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	3,004	4¢	$113	0xd1482f…
08-24 06:35:54	Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$17	0xc52d7e…
08-12 19:56:04	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$30	0x10520b…
08-12 14:34:39	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xe0dc5a…
08-12 14:06:40	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0xf53cb0…
08-12 13:42:31	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xdd19b6…
08-12 13:39:43	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xc4f5bc…
08-12 13:36:54	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xa52409…
08-12 10:11:19	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x601eaf…
08-12 09:01:52	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x1bc89c…
08-12 08:51:57	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xdb17f8…
08-12 08:48:28	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x848550…
08-12 04:04:12	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xa29b74…
08-12 00:46:09	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x7bab18…
08-12 00:43:09	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xb73cab…
08-11 15:12:55	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x0e81ce…
08-11 10:36:03	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xce80ac…
08-11 10:34:25	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb04725…
08-11 09:10:51	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7c82ef…
08-11 08:49:00	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xe02360…
08-11 08:44:46	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xb03ab5…
08-11 06:40:46	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x4f9519…
08-11 03:30:34	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x8f0191…
08-11 03:12:30	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x8daf99…
08-11 03:04:00	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x0a3080…
08-10 19:36:12	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xbe7503…
08-10 15:45:52	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	15	0¢	$0	0x8cd3f1…
08-10 15:31:40	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xbe820b…
08-10 14:56:45	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x36b087…
08-10 13:58:31	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xde9beb…
08-10 13:55:31	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x6f2243…
08-10 13:53:43	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd1a2db…
08-10 09:23:27	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xcc87d6…
08-10 08:57:01	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xba189d…
08-10 07:30:27	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x65790d…
08-10 06:56:33	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x60ace8…
08-10 06:51:34	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7eaf7f…
08-10 06:14:25	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x63eb2a…
08-10 05:55:13	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xdadb90…
08-10 04:59:39	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xc2c471…
08-10 04:07:37	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	22	0¢	$0	0x5ec467…
08-10 00:20:55	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x5afffe…
08-10 00:08:42	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x21ceca…
08-09 23:01:18	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xff96d1…
08-09 21:56:31	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x322e22…
08-09 21:43:18	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x3d39ca…
08-09 17:23:22	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xa867e4…
08-09 15:38:22	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xd3f33c…
08-09 13:39:40	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x98fd4c…
08-09 12:53:22	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xad19b6…
08-09 12:50:33	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x4fc105…
08-09 12:48:28	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xb1b8b1…
08-09 12:45:22	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x329428…
08-09 12:44:01	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xc0dcd9…
08-09 04:46:37	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xd6aed9…
08-09 02:17:48	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1,531	0¢	$5	0xac62f6…
08-08 23:04:49	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xde5c68…
08-08 22:32:18	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xb4f65c…
08-08 22:10:51	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x25c0c4…
08-08 21:59:39	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xec7d50…
08-08 21:11:57	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xa55856…
08-08 16:17:40	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xae7aa5…
08-08 15:02:31	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x5efa4b…
08-08 12:26:03	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xdab2e9…
08-08 12:00:57	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xdb261f…
08-08 11:59:21	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x870a0c…
08-08 03:04:03	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	714	0¢	$2	0x0a60fe…
08-07 20:27:04	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x821e94…
08-07 20:10:22	Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x417ae5…