Puny-Trapdoor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$480

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

Trades

679

lifetime

Volume

$12.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-03 14:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

55% 100% +$520

Other

41% 0% $-40

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	82	$2.0K	2,058	2,151	-93	Yes	+$479	05-09 16:06
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	25	$1.8K	1,162	1,226	-64	open	—	04-12 18:11
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	59	$1.6K	3,141	3,786	-645	open	—	06-26 19:28
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	28	$875	558	578	-20	open	—	04-12 18:12
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	27	$524	424	514	-90	open	—	02-15 09:09
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	10	$309	181	181	-0	open	—	05-12 13:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	16	$302	570	0	+570	open	—	08-03 13:52
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?	13	$270	91	247	-156	open	—	01-03 09:54
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	15	$261	427	474	-47	Yes	+$42	05-09 11:39
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	18	$240	949	863	+86	open	—	02-11 10:30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	13	$229	258	180	+78	open	—	06-14 19:10
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	5	$203	129	129	+0	open	—	04-24 11:10
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	7	$198	150	484	-334	open	—	08-03 14:32
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	1	$180	0	200	-200	open	—	05-27 20:01
netanyahu out by march 31 854	4	$164	85	85	+0	open	—	03-22 15:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	11	$151	1,685	0	+1,685	open	—	05-25 04:49
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	7	$140	104	104	+0	open	—	01-20 16:24
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	9	$130	129	69	+60	open	—	02-24 20:12
will another country recognize somaliland by march 31	12	$129	159	159	+0	open	—	01-10 17:57
will turkey qualify for the 2026 fifa world cup	8	$126	95	154	-60	open	—	03-25 07:57
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	14	$122	414	428	-14	open	—	05-19 14:02
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	7	$115	129	129	+0	open	—	01-27 06:10
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	4	$102	114	164	-50	open	—	05-23 11:05
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?	2	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	05-27 10:22
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	9	$95	97	97	+0	open	—	05-21 18:21
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?	2	$94	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 10:46
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?	2	$93	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 10:44
us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	28	$90	1,241	1,299	-58	open	—	01-20 16:26
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	9	$81	94	94	+0	open	—	01-19 19:02
will elon musk unfollow grimes by january 31	8	$80	0	83	-83	open	—	01-21 20:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 14:32:27	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xf0dc25…
08-03 13:52:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0xad35f4…
08-01 18:05:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x7a06ad…
08-01 13:35:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xaae736…
07-31 17:24:39	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x01c1af…
07-31 17:23:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0xd089fc…
07-28 22:59:22	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x842bc3…
07-28 20:33:28	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x324af0…
07-28 20:33:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x867d49…
07-28 20:26:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x2550da…
07-22 10:50:07	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0xac711d…
07-22 10:41:09	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$4	0x300128…
07-21 20:20:33	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0x3e5c2d…
07-20 18:50:31	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x9327d4…
07-20 17:18:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	55¢	$22	0x175d47…
07-19 20:05:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x33d8bd…
07-19 07:50:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x58cad3…
07-18 23:30:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x23a08a…
07-18 22:34:13	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0xda1a02…
07-18 21:58:24	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x29516c…
07-18 18:20:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x7351f6…
07-18 18:04:48	putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$5	0xf7df01…
07-18 16:23:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x752646…
07-17 19:37:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x8e4710…
07-17 18:32:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xc56947…
07-17 12:59:19	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	54	18¢	$10	0xa157a3…
07-17 09:55:21	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd28fec…
07-17 09:16:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0x1df937…
07-17 00:43:17	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x85c8a0…
07-16 21:14:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x2fd753…
07-16 21:07:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	55¢	$7	0xb9ce96…
07-16 18:59:52	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0xd44f8c…
07-16 18:53:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x796956…
07-16 18:34:55	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xd3a94a…
07-16 15:14:16	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x57422e…
07-11 06:43:43	Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x2bb7e3…
07-11 04:29:11	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa826e5…
07-10 20:57:01	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x85f2db…
07-10 18:00:38	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	24	74¢	$18	0x0a1631…
07-07 16:55:17	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	SELL	36	38¢	$14	0x955098…
07-07 16:16:34	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xc1dc4b…
07-07 15:58:55	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Egypt	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x438d5f…
06-26 19:28:52	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	45	1¢	$0	0x824418…
06-26 19:28:14	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0xa40011…
06-26 19:27:20	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x923060…
06-26 13:54:07	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x953ee5…
06-23 15:10:26	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	490	0¢	$2	0x22b93a…
06-23 13:08:25	Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0xcf2fa0…
06-17 05:18:56	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x0c1d3e…
06-17 05:17:01	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	80	16¢	$13	0x9b05b6…
06-17 05:13:02	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	290	16¢	$46	0xa2e4a2…
06-17 05:08:23	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	500	16¢	$80	0x47ea47…
06-17 05:05:59	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	850	16¢	$136	0x3baef9…
06-17 05:03:50	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0xfef0aa…
06-17 04:59:32	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	500	17¢	$85	0xf07403…
06-17 04:55:32	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	1,230	17¢	$209	0x6888e5…
06-16 19:31:32	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$3	0xd26a8a…
06-16 10:53:45	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0x5d1235…
06-16 10:50:12	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0x8ef6ae…
06-15 19:58:13	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x6cb758…
06-15 19:54:28	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x5e4f00…
06-15 17:58:04	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x2f742b…
06-15 17:46:27	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xa522f0…
06-15 17:38:01	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x2efced…
06-15 17:36:52	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	SELL	6,000	0¢	$12	0x532881…
06-15 16:59:28	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	35	30¢	$10	0x78acb9…
06-15 16:58:40	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	3,000	1¢	$18	0x79598b…
06-15 16:58:06	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	BUY	3,000	1¢	$18	0x47aeee…
06-15 06:38:57	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x4bd300…
06-15 06:38:36	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xd7ec91…
06-15 06:38:15	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	40	33¢	$13	0x6da87b…
06-15 06:37:55	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xaf7942…
06-15 06:35:36	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	45	34¢	$15	0x45804b…
06-15 06:11:01	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	140	36¢	$50	0x8ee3b2…
06-15 06:03:04	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0xb35e4c…
06-15 04:32:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	150	33¢	$49	0xf54360…
06-14 20:22:51	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	90	35¢	$31	0xae1f1e…
06-14 19:53:55	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	25	34¢	$8	0x4eea91…
06-14 19:41:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	34	35¢	$12	0x553eb9…
06-14 19:40:24	will trump agree to iranian oil sanction relief by june 30	Yes	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0xa13dfb…
06-14 19:10:55	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	70	35¢	$24	0xd8212d…
06-14 19:10:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0xd9f606…
06-14 19:09:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0x463e5f…
06-14 15:57:34	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x4edbb8…
06-14 15:32:45	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x54e84f…
06-14 15:30:57	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	114	27¢	$31	0xf5240e…
06-14 15:28:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x34362f…
06-14 08:04:07	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x25b3d5…
06-14 07:04:30	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	60	37¢	$22	0xfff931…
06-14 07:02:51	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	35	37¢	$13	0x0c3066…
06-14 07:00:09	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	60	36¢	$22	0xa1eaf6…
06-14 06:53:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x766a58…
06-14 06:45:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x53a2e0…
06-14 06:36:16	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x96e1b9…
06-14 06:35:36	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	130	31¢	$40	0x32cf39…
06-14 06:35:36	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x100956…
06-14 06:29:33	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xaae1e4…
06-14 06:26:06	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0xe545e5…
06-14 06:15:18	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	188	29¢	$55	0xadb19d…
06-14 06:14:28	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	62	29¢	$18	0xc86025…