Realized P&L
-$3.48K
Unrealized P&L
+$251
Hit rate
47.8%
Resolved
193
Trades
2,180
lifetime
Volume
$49.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$3.35K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 22:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Other
63% 35% -$4,059
Politics
34% 40% +$621
Sports
2% 42% -$94
Crypto
1% 53% +$25
Tech
0% 50% +$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +22,800 $1,812 11¢ $2.4K +$594 10-27 18:24
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,786 $498 18¢ $312 -$185 10-26 14:05
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +9,416 $76 2¢ $184 +$108 10-27 10:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,000 $210 12¢ $115 -$95 09-24 19:16
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +445 $236 25¢ $113 -$123 10-27 22:10
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +369 $69 20¢ $76 +$7 10-26 09:56
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +100 $66 74¢ $74 +$8 10-26 04:44
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes +350 $56 8¢ $30 -$26 10-26 21:01
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $15 87¢ $17 +$3 10-21 16:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +106 $23 12¢ $13 -$10 10-22 19:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +505 $13 2¢ $9 -$4 10-26 21:51
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +20 $21 14¢ $3 -$19 07-19 08:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +0 $3 8¢ $0 -$3 05-08 17:40
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +0 $3 3¢ $0 -$3 06-03 17:16