Realized P&L (30d)
-$4.44K
Unrealized P&L
+$608
Hit rate
30.3%
Resolved (30d)
24
Trades (30d)
154
2,181 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$4.88K
$49.9K lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$3.71K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 13:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Other
63% 35% -$3,943
Politics
34% 40% +$621
Sports
2% 42% -$94
Crypto
1% 53% +$25
Tech
0% 50% +$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +22,800 $1,812 12¢ $2.7K +$879 10-27 18:24
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +9,416 $76 3¢ $273 +$198 10-27 10:00
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,786 $498 14¢ $241 -$257 10-26 14:05
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +445 $236 32¢ $144 -$92 10-27 22:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,000 $210 12¢ $115 -$95 09-24 19:16
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +369 $69 28¢ $101 +$33 10-26 09:56
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +100 $66 66¢ $66 +$0 10-26 04:44
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 Yes +350 $56 8¢ $30 -$26 10-26 21:01
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $15 82¢ $16 +$1 10-21 16:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +106 $23 12¢ $13 -$10 10-22 19:24
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +300 $7 4¢ $11 +$4 10-29 13:50
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +505 $13 2¢ $10 -$3 10-26 21:51
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +20 $21 14¢ $3 -$18 07-19 08:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +0 $3 7¢ $0 -$3 05-08 17:40
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +0 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 06-03 17:16