Realized P&L (24h)
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$386
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (24h)
1
Trades (24h)
12
2,224 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$123
$50.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$2.74K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-08 04:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Other
62% 35% -$3,952
Politics
34% 40% +$655
Sports
2% 42% -$94
Crypto
1% 53% +$25
Tech
0% 50% +$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +24,026 $1,903 7¢ $1.7K -$185 11-08 04:34
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +815 $400 67¢ $549 +$149 11-03 14:31
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +7,516 $34 2¢ $154 +$120 11-07 18:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +800 $192 8¢ $68 -$124 11-06 11:13
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +701 $380 10¢ $67 -$314 11-07 21:37
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +567 $29 7¢ $42 +$13 11-02 15:09
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +151 $19 24¢ $35 +$17 11-07 23:23
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes +350 $56 10¢ $33 -$22 10-26 21:01
Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026? Yes +70 $28 44¢ $31 +$3 11-07 23:31
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +39 $17 45¢ $17 +$0 11-07 21:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +106 $23 11¢ $11 -$12 10-22 19:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +505 $13 2¢ $9 -$4 10-26 21:51
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +20 $21 6¢ $1 -$20 07-19 08:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +0 $3 4¢ $0 -$3 05-08 17:40
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +0 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 06-03 17:16