Realized P&L
-$3.36K
Unrealized P&L
+$904
Hit rate
48.5%
Resolved
194
Trades
2,181
lifetime
Volume
$49.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$4.01K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 13:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Other
63% 35% -$3,943
Politics
34% 40% +$621
Sports
2% 42% -$94
Crypto
1% 53% +$25
Tech
0% 50% +$28
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +22,800 $1,812 13¢ $2.9K +$1,072 10-27 18:24
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +9,416 $76 3¢ $315 +$240 10-27 10:00
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,786 $498 16¢ $295 -$203 10-26 14:05
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +445 $236 33¢ $148 -$88 10-27 22:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1,000 $210 11¢ $105 -$105 09-24 19:16
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? Yes +369 $69 28¢ $101 +$33 10-26 09:56
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +100 $66 83¢ $83 +$17 10-26 04:44
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027 Yes +350 $56 8¢ $30 -$26 10-26 21:01
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $15 85¢ $17 +$2 10-21 16:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +106 $23 12¢ $12 -$11 10-22 19:24
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +505 $13 2¢ $10 -$3 10-26 21:51
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +300 $7 3¢ $8 +$1 10-29 13:50
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +20 $21 14¢ $3 -$19 07-19 08:44
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +0 $3 6¢ $0 -$3 05-08 17:40
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? Yes +0 $3 2¢ $0 -$3 06-03 17:16