Realized P&L
-$2.78K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.40K
Hit rate
45.5%
Resolved
39
Trades
2,613
lifetime
Volume
$43.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$10.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 10-29 10:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Politics
69% 57% -$202
Other
18% 62% -$2,493
Sports
13% 40% -$91
Crypto
0% 100% +$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 394 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +6,000 $1,310 22¢ $1.3K +$40 10-28 22:56
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,035 $370 100¢ $1.0K +$663 05-13 14:18
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2,306 $412 43¢ $989 +$578 09-15 00:11
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +25,000 $194 3¢ $712 +$518 10-25 02:57
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +3,620 $858 18¢ $635 -$223 05-20 19:03
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +26,122 $62 2¢ $588 +$526 10-28 11:34
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +13,292 $451 4¢ $498 +$47 10-29 05:48
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +452 $389 97¢ $440 +$51 06-03 19:35
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +23,000 $489 2¢ $402 -$86 10-23 17:52
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +20,662 $366 2¢ $382 +$16 10-29 02:47
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,500 $203 15¢ $371 +$168 09-27 22:28
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +20,000 $531 2¢ $350 -$181 10-28 14:49
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? No +3,862 $309 8¢ $328 +$19 10-29 08:08
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +17,494 $299 2¢ $289 -$10 10-26 17:20
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +23,393 $216 1¢ $246 +$30 10-26 20:31
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +5,196 $134 4¢ $184 +$51 10-11 06:32
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,000 $120 4¢ $182 +$62 09-08 01:23
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +2,875 $100 6¢ $171 +$71 10-23 11:23
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +11,216 $145 1¢ $163 +$18 10-26 12:44
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +35,000 $205 0¢ $157 -$47 10-25 18:40
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -75,477 -$755 0¢ $-113 +$642 05-08 23:49
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +6,276 $116 2¢ $113 -$3 10-28 22:46
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +31,252 $94 0¢ $109 +$16 10-29 09:14
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -1,598 -$166 6¢ $-97 +$69 05-18 20:05
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,536 $80 2¢ $91 +$11 10-29 08:00
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +4,873 -$82 2¢ $80 +$162 10-29 09:28
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +1,916 $52 2¢ $35 -$16 10-25 16:49
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +9,020 $27 0¢ $32 +$5 10-29 10:47
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +20,716 $21 0¢ $31 +$10 10-29 10:22
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5,000 -$165 1¢ $28 +$192 10-24 04:17