(anonymous) 0xb5d19b…ff6e35
whale cold 3L streak
3Unusual bets: 2 positions →
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$93.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$59.1K
Hit rate
0.1%
Resolved
8
Trades
9,505
lifetime
Volume
$1.44M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$151
Open exposure
$1.16M
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-02
last 10-31 15:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
95% 0% -$83,953
Other
5% 17% -$9,944
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 593 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +182,589 $143,688 82¢ $148.9K +$5,214 10-29 17:51
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +118,825 $92,666 86¢ $102.8K +$10,118 10-26 21:00
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +78,368 $68,706 88¢ $69.4K +$650 10-22 22:45
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +84,421 $57,797 82¢ $68.8K +$11,006 10-25 20:11
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +77,168 $69,509 88¢ $68.1K -$1,446 10-31 02:36
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +84,314 $52,011 74¢ $62.0K +$9,960 10-29 19:03
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +63,005 $60,392 96¢ $60.5K +$62 10-31 09:55
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +81,587 $51,515 72¢ $58.3K +$6,819 10-25 22:46
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +55,948 $51,900 94¢ $52.7K +$775 10-23 07:32
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? No +55,000 $48,355 84¢ $46.1K -$2,237 10-22 21:22
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +82,090 $30,206 52¢ $42.3K +$12,071 10-24 17:59
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +48,672 $39,709 81¢ $39.4K -$284 10-31 10:13
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +41,528 $36,429 94¢ $39.2K +$2,815 09-15 10:34
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +91,048 $36,450 41¢ $37.3K +$834 10-29 17:49
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +41,242 $35,882 88¢ $36.1K +$246 10-26 15:11
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +47,511 $32,930 68¢ $32.5K -$385 10-09 08:37
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +29,638 $26,795 90¢ $26.8K -$17 10-31 15:45
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +40,000 $28,800 57¢ $23.0K -$5,800 10-27 08:43
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +43,361 $18,678 44¢ $19.3K +$618 10-23 18:42
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +22,092 $18,508 84¢ $18.5K -$40 10-30 21:41
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +67,838 $11,073 26¢ $18.0K +$6,904 10-26 14:24
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes +66,819 $19,739 24¢ $16.4K -$3,369 10-25 05:43
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +20,143 $14,701 72¢ $14.4K -$299 10-31 15:36
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +17,967 $9,343 72¢ $12.8K +$3,504 09-11 00:01
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +57,719 $9,824 20¢ $11.6K +$1,749 10-29 09:00
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +70,000 $9,200 16¢ $11.5K +$2,350 09-21 23:43
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? Yes +56,133 $9,636 12¢ $7.0K -$2,619 10-31 02:58
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +56,909 $7,060 12¢ $6.8K -$231 10-28 15:14
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +10,000 $6,100 62¢ $6.2K +$120 10-28 18:25
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +92,619 $4,666 5¢ $4.7K +$58 10-23 02:01