Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$945.2K

Unrealized P&L

-$54.6K

Hit rate

38.7%

Resolved

Trades

3,990

lifetime

Volume

$2.71M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$678

Open exposure

$58.4K

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 10-25 17:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

53% 52% -$677,339

Other

45% 38% -$228,976

Crypto

2% 0% -$47,135

Tech

1% 100% +$8,250

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-146,779	-$62,172	38¢	$-56290	+$5,882	10-25 17:40
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	+80,932	$62,480	2¢	$2.0K	-$60,457	10-25 17:41
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	-4,241	-$25	2¢	$-78	-$53	10-25 17:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	84	$551.0K	692,260	0	+692,260	Yes	-$551,020	02-27 20:49
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	154	$499.6K	299,654	299,654	+0	Yes	+$86,319	04-13 01:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	176	$359.1K	378,471	281,599	+96,872	Yes	-$149,549	04-29 15:52
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	97	$117.6K	420,705	0	+420,705	No	-$117,566	02-09 18:22
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	2	$110.0K	200,000	0	+200,000	Yes	-$110,000	02-19 15:19
will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	3	$100.0K	118,083	0	+118,083	No	+$18,083	06-16 23:10
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$96.4K	57,656	57,656	+0	No	+$18,037	04-13 01:04
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	5	$83.1K	107,825	0	+107,825	No	+$24,677	02-22 13:50
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	28	$80.2K	123,303	123,303	+0	Yes	-$2,522	04-07 14:55
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	69	$64.1K	103,237	0	+103,237	No	-$64,091	10-25 17:37
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	2	$62.5K	80,932	0	+80,932	open	—	10-25 17:41
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$62.2K	0	146,779	-146,779	open	—	10-25 17:40
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	4	$62.0K	100,000	0	+100,000	Yes	-$62,000	10-25 17:34
Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	185	$62.0K	100,000	0	+100,000	No	-$61,986	05-01 21:27
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	11	$49.5K	52,443	0	+52,443	No	+$2,964	02-22 13:52
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	9	$48.0K	61,430	0	+61,430	No	+$13,390	02-22 13:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 15:05 UTC	2,414	$47.1K	90,643	0	+90,643	Down	-$47,135	02-19 15:08
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	83	$42.0K	100,000	0	+100,000	Yes	-$42,000	02-19 19:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	33	$41.1K	88,883	88,830	+53	No	-$38,878	04-28 15:24
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	11	$38.2K	196,162	0	+196,162	Yes	+$157,961	04-07 14:57
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	5	$30.1K	38,352	0	+38,352	Yes	+$8,250	05-01 21:25
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	11	$27.1K	32,648	0	+32,648	No	+$5,550	02-20 21:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	19	$24.7K	40,823	40,790	+33	No	-$24,430	04-28 15:35
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	91	$21.0K	28,225	0	+28,225	Yes	+$7,265	04-08 17:19
will the us not strike iran by february 28 2026	43	$12.1K	16,826	0	+16,826	No	-$12,115	02-20 10:23
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	3	$4.0K	5,091	0	+5,091	No	+$1,069	02-20 05:44
Will Trump say "China" at The Villages on May 1?	24	$2.7K	3,977	0	+3,977	No	-$2,705	05-01 21:19
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	10	$2.2K	2,360	0	+2,360	Yes	+$142	02-20 15:29
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	36	$2.0K	2,800	3,387	-588	No	-$120	04-08 17:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	4	$1.8K	2,472	0	+2,472	No	-$1,780	05-01 21:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 17:41:29	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	43,121	72¢	$31,084	0xd794e2…
10-25 17:41:29	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	37,811	83¢	$31,396	0xad80e9…
10-25 17:40:45	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	114,688	43¢	$48,920	0x035aa8…
10-25 17:40:44	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	32,091	41¢	$13,252	0x1960b3…
10-25 17:40:27	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4,241	1¢	$25	0x415279…
10-25 17:37:20	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20,736	63¢	$13,000	0xf87fec…
10-25 17:35:09	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0xbd7d21…
10-25 17:35:09	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	55	65¢	$36	0xa4021a…
10-25 17:35:09	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	65¢	$650	0x39cc72…
10-25 17:35:08	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	295	65¢	$192	0xfa3f8b…
10-25 17:35:08	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	24	65¢	$15	0xe84731…
10-25 17:35:08	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	280	65¢	$182	0xae1cbb…
10-25 17:35:08	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	41	65¢	$27	0x6f912f…
10-25 17:35:08	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	255	65¢	$166	0x6b5991…
10-25 17:35:08	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	29	65¢	$19	0x5b0577…
10-25 17:35:08	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	559	65¢	$364	0x3de83f…
10-25 17:35:08	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	270	65¢	$176	0x319342…
10-25 17:35:08	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	267	65¢	$174	0x0ee24f…
10-25 17:35:06	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xe59683…
10-25 17:35:06	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	509	65¢	$331	0xdfa91d…
10-25 17:35:06	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	622	65¢	$404	0xacee84…
10-25 17:35:06	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	108	65¢	$70	0x354559…
10-25 17:35:06	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0x1a65b9…
10-25 17:35:05	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0xacf1ab…
10-25 17:35:05	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	773	65¢	$503	0x9117ff…
10-25 17:35:05	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8a8475…
10-25 17:35:05	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	902	65¢	$586	0x544285…
10-25 17:35:05	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	286	65¢	$186	0x2ad1ce…
10-25 17:35:03	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	571	65¢	$371	0xf7c340…
10-25 17:35:02	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xfb9706…
10-25 17:35:02	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	212	65¢	$138	0xbf9373…
10-25 17:35:02	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x3022e1…
10-25 17:35:02	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,961	65¢	$1,275	0x0e856e…
10-25 17:35:00	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	408	65¢	$265	0xf8478c…
10-25 17:35:00	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	408	65¢	$265	0xee249e…
10-25 17:35:00	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,466	65¢	$953	0xd0824f…
10-25 17:35:00	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xc0a557…
10-25 17:35:00	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,504	65¢	$978	0x972769…
10-25 17:35:00	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	25	65¢	$16	0x69fcd4…
10-25 17:35:00	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	410	65¢	$266	0x412ffe…
10-25 17:35:00	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	23,601	64¢	$15,097	0x2b3db7…
10-25 17:34:09	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	99,444	62¢	$61,655	0x916894…
10-25 17:32:44	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xaafd76…
10-25 17:32:38	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xd12908…
10-25 17:32:36	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	546	62¢	$338	0x78dada…
10-25 17:32:32	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4233e0…
10-25 17:32:30	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	224	60¢	$135	0x2576d9…
10-25 17:32:26	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x094cd6…
10-25 17:32:23	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0x8f2336…
10-25 17:32:21	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	61	60¢	$37	0x8d3adb…
10-25 17:32:21	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	15,000	60¢	$9,000	0x289250…
10-25 17:32:20	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x05b0f9…
10-25 17:32:14	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf77376…
10-25 17:32:12	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xcf8afc…
10-25 17:32:08	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf4a060…
10-25 17:32:08	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	125	60¢	$75	0xa872b0…
10-25 17:32:00	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xe9a5a6…
10-25 17:32:00	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	75	60¢	$45	0xdf7603…
10-25 17:32:00	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	25,000	60¢	$15,000	0xb4cd72…
10-25 17:31:59	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	45	60¢	$27	0x57d1f2…
10-25 17:31:56	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	71	60¢	$42	0x033753…
10-25 17:31:54	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xdb348a…
10-25 17:31:54	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	221	60¢	$133	0x220515…
10-25 17:31:26	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x92ab88…
10-25 17:31:21	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xe89160…
10-25 17:31:21	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x1139a0…
10-25 17:31:20	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0x78b84b…
10-25 17:31:17	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	51	60¢	$31	0xf7f92a…
10-25 17:31:17	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0xf17d5a…
10-25 17:31:17	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0xd5690b…
10-25 17:31:17	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	699	60¢	$419	0xc579e0…
10-25 17:31:17	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	213	60¢	$128	0x99b1f4…
10-25 17:31:17	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x8a46c5…
10-25 17:31:17	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	754	60¢	$452	0x841e4b…
10-25 17:31:17	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x7e3617…
10-25 17:31:17	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0x72d817…
10-25 17:31:17	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	738	60¢	$443	0x62211a…
10-25 17:31:17	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	1,308	59¢	$770	0x5b899f…
06-16 23:10:59	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	38,647	88¢	$34,072	0xed0e20…
06-16 23:10:59	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	22,753	99¢	$22,444	0xa9f254…
06-16 23:10:59	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	56,682	77¢	$43,485	0x386377…
05-01 21:27:10	Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	14,478	62¢	$8,976	0x291edb…
05-01 21:27:08	Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	300	62¢	$186	0x736154…
05-01 21:27:06	Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	655	62¢	$406	0xfad29d…
05-01 21:27:06	Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	300	62¢	$186	0xd14b88…
05-01 21:27:04	Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	10,000	62¢	$6,200	0x6fc4b1…
05-01 21:27:04	Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	658	62¢	$408	0x1eaa5e…
05-01 21:27:02	Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x13ec75…
05-01 21:27:00	Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	2,051	62¢	$1,272	0xa10a54…
05-01 21:27:00	Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	658	62¢	$408	0x29a0c1…
05-01 21:26:56	Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x05ad02…
05-01 21:26:52	Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	150	62¢	$93	0xdbce37…
05-01 21:26:52	Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	250	62¢	$155	0x393ef6…
05-01 21:26:50	Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	1,316	62¢	$816	0x5ef19b…
05-01 21:26:48	Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	10,000	62¢	$6,200	0xf9d163…
05-01 21:26:42	Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x37063b…
05-01 21:26:40	Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	1,111	62¢	$689	0x36e66c…
05-01 21:26:40	Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x30321b…
05-01 21:26:36	Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf586d1…
05-01 21:26:36	Will Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	250	62¢	$155	0xb4ad0b…