Jumbo-Altar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

54.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$96

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-28 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Crypto

41% 47% -$8

Other

35% 52% -$3

Politics

20% 75% +$2

Sports

4% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+337	$2	2¢	$7	+$5	10-28 17:18
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+83	$1	1¢	$1	$0	10-28 14:43
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	+2	$0	4¢	$0	$0	09-08 22:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$15	852	4	+848	No	-$7	06-02 12:19
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$6	37	0	+37	Yes	-$6	03-01 01:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 16:20 UTC	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	02-22 16:22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$3	3	1	+1	No	+$0	05-27 22:39
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	3	$3	10	0	+10	Yes	+$7	04-13 13:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	2	$3	3	3	+0	Yes	+$1	06-14 22:19
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	5	$3	367	30	+337	open	—	10-28 17:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 14:20 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	03-02 14:26
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	2	$3	3	3	+0	No	+$1	02-28 17:37
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$3	14	14	+0	No	+$1	09-16 14:43
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	09-14 15:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:05 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	03-14 18:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	05-31 19:17
will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	+$1	02-22 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 14:25 UTC	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	03-01 14:26
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-30 18:04
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2	5	2	+2	No	+$0	07-16 00:18
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	05-27 22:54
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	2	$2	7	5	+2	open	—	09-08 22:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 13:25 UTC	2	$1	2	2	+0	Down	-$1	02-24 13:28
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	2	$1	15	15	+0	No	-$1	06-17 12:32
fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	2	$1	2	2	+0	Spain	-$1	07-14 20:41
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	2	$1	3	3	+0	No	-$1	06-18 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 15:20 UTC	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	08-28 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	-$1	09-20 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	09-04 15:23
state of the union bingo card 3	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	02-24 13:18
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	1	$1	83	0	+83	open	—	10-28 14:43
state of the union bingo card 1	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	02-24 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	+$1	09-05 18:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:18:58	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x60729f…
10-28 14:43:44	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x030a95…
10-25 00:11:56	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2b7327…
10-25 00:08:53	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x182ab9…
10-24 23:28:20	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x4c8622…
10-20 12:28:21	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x355003…
09-20 19:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x096a2b…
09-16 14:43:19	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0x7c76cb…
09-14 15:12:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x0c7eb3…
09-11 20:24:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0x700643…
09-08 22:49:55	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x7e3f59…
09-08 22:46:51	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x09f3eb…
09-05 18:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfe154a…
09-05 17:59:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfd52b2…
09-04 15:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x519644…
09-03 14:59:25	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6a4480…
08-28 15:18:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-28 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7a79b7…
08-28 15:16:43	Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xd9f436…
08-14 21:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xefaaa1…
07-16 00:18:13	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x6e27fb…
07-14 20:41:01	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0x926986…
07-13 14:14:32	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3a61b2…
07-08 01:00:49	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x43d855…
07-08 00:55:17	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x620e82…
07-07 00:04:46	fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x15e5e4…
06-29 20:58:49	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4d88b3…
06-29 17:59:47	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x82cc65…
06-18 16:09:14	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x8f58a1…
06-17 12:32:49	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0x29cf28…
06-14 22:19:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xd375ff…
06-02 12:19:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	148	1¢	$1	0xabb29c…
06-02 12:10:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	1¢	$7	0x17171c…
06-02 12:02:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x939786…
05-31 19:17:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf02df7…
05-31 13:39:43	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x90d5f3…
05-30 18:04:57	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x481f02…
05-30 17:58:00	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8e3d89…
05-30 16:57:05	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xefb599…
05-29 23:39:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdc877f…
05-29 23:37:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x55f51a…
05-29 18:49:49	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x25352e…
05-27 22:54:35	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x71b490…
05-27 22:47:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x10e2ca…
05-27 22:42:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x376984…
05-27 22:39:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xce98aa…
05-27 13:48:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x01a356…
05-25 13:13:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf5794d…
05-07 23:22:52	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xd42236…
04-13 13:14:43	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4e7c94…
04-07 18:38:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3d06c0…
03-25 13:23:27	will gold gc settle over 4600 on the final trading day of march 2026	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x95c99d…
03-25 13:12:43	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x14b179…
03-14 18:09:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x0b4351…
03-14 18:08:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x78ce0c…
03-14 17:56:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 17:55 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x550fd2…
03-02 14:45:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xb0d148…
03-02 14:38:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x8540f3…
03-02 14:26:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 14:20 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x3bf003…
03-02 14:19:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9f92ef…
03-01 18:49:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x8532dc…
03-01 14:26:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 14:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x7238b1…
03-01 14:24:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x36bdf2…
03-01 01:17:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x5fa7f0…
02-28 17:37:03	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xb53644…
02-28 17:29:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x27fbe4…
02-28 17:25:59	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8d0c10…
02-24 13:28:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 13:25 UTC	Up	SELL	2	24¢	$0	0x2b423f…
02-24 13:25:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 13:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x79ce67…
02-24 13:20:58	state of the union bingo card 1	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa699bf…
02-24 13:19:08	state of the union bingo card 2	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xcd181e…
02-24 13:18:02	state of the union bingo card 3	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfc66b5…
02-23 00:06:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe1850d…
02-22 16:22:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 16:20 UTC	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0x2af9ca…
02-22 16:21:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc0204d…
02-22 16:12:28	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1be781…
02-22 15:59:30	will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x54666f…
02-04 13:44:48	will gold gc hit low 4600 by end of february 292 259 212 256 398 758 656 625 549 536	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9c8b28…
02-04 13:44:30	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa4c7cd…
01-08 23:07:26	amzn above 245 on january 9 2026	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x73385a…