Realized P&L
-$1.75K
Unrealized P&L
-$97
Hit rate
50.7%
Resolved
45
Trades
1,532
lifetime
Volume
$89.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$58
Open exposure
$79.3K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-20 14:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Politics
46% — —
Other
35% — —
Sports
19% 51% -$1,752
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +30,383 $29,322 98¢ $29.8K +$438 10-16 19:46
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +12,686 $11,188 96¢ $12.2K +$991 10-16 11:49
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +9,946 $8,713 86¢ $8.6K -$110 10-18 01:05
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +7,841 $7,540 96¢ $7.5K -$32 10-18 03:04
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +5,278 $5,029 97¢ $5.1K +$85 10-20 14:38
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +5,520 $4,928 88¢ $4.9K -$43 10-10 09:50
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3,245 $3,183 98¢ $3.2K -$5 09-26 13:16
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,898 $1,691 87¢ $1.7K -$38 09-04 23:24
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +9,613 $1,192 14¢ $1.3K +$105 10-19 12:52
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +989 $872 92¢ $915 +$42 10-13 05:31
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +5,520 $579 12¢ $635 +$55 10-06 14:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +30,383 $1,057 2¢ $623 -$434 10-19 11:07
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +12,686 $1,553 4¢ $507 -$1,046 10-17 02:46
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +522 $485 96¢ $501 +$16 09-10 09:01
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +7,841 $310 4¢ $333 +$23 10-20 14:20
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +281 $273 98¢ $275 +$2 08-28 00:48
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? No +273 $245 92¢ $250 +$4 10-18 16:02
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +253 $245 98¢ $247 +$2 10-12 07:04
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +1,898 $235 13¢ $246 +$11 09-11 09:52
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +268 $235 90¢ $240 +$6 09-04 14:04
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +5,278 $263 3¢ $164 -$99 10-18 08:55
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +989 $112 8¢ $74 -$37 10-17 16:42
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3,245 $69 2¢ $67 -$2 09-23 00:43
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +268 $34 10¢ $27 -$7 08-28 20:54
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? Yes +271 $27 8¢ $23 -$4 10-17 10:17
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes +522 $36 4¢ $21 -$16 09-30 06:58
Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +258 $8 2¢ $6 -$2 10-12 03:54
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +281 $8 2¢ $6 -$2 08-29 09:09