Realized P&L
-$152
Unrealized P&L
-$213
Hit rate
1.8%
Resolved
36
Trades
2,840
lifetime
Volume
$149.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$53
Open exposure
$92.5K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-20 10:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
76% 0% -$22
Politics
16% — —
Sports
8% 51% -$131
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 131 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +31,900 $30,792 98¢ $31.3K +$518 10-16 23:35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +22,027 $21,201 97¢ $21.4K +$198 10-19 10:38
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +11,044 $10,097 90¢ $10.0K -$114 10-18 14:49
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +8,394 $7,783 95¢ $8.0K +$204 09-27 21:10
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +8,429 $7,345 86¢ $7.3K -$53 10-19 11:09
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +3,163 $3,103 98¢ $3.1K +$7 09-26 10:53
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1,913 $1,810 96¢ $1.8K +$16 10-20 01:00
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +1,767 $1,731 97¢ $1.7K -$12 10-08 16:21
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +1,409 $1,352 92¢ $1.3K -$50 10-18 03:10
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,429 $1,148 14¢ $1.1K -$10 10-18 19:19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +11,044 $1,005 10¢ $1.1K +$55 10-20 10:36
New pandemic in 2026? No +945 $892 97¢ $917 +$25 09-18 13:16
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +868 $825 95¢ $824 -$1 09-03 00:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +22,027 $877 3¢ $628 -$249 10-18 17:13
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +31,900 $1,101 2¢ $590 -$510 10-19 11:07
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +594 $526 94¢ $561 +$35 09-04 08:30
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +8,394 $648 5¢ $407 -$241 09-30 20:25
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +1,409 $58 8¢ $106 +$48 10-19 17:11
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +1,913 $102 4¢ $86 -$16 10-18 11:21
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +3,163 $67 2¢ $52 -$15 09-23 00:43
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +1,767 $37 3¢ $49 +$12 10-10 09:02
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +868 $43 5¢ $44 +$0 09-04 13:45
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +594 $65 6¢ $33 -$33 08-31 20:40
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +945 $56 3¢ $28 -$28 09-16 21:03