Realized P&L
+$349
Unrealized P&L
+$685
Hit rate
97.9%
Resolved
9
Trades
396
lifetime
Volume
$4.58K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$393
15 positions
First seen
2026-06-15
last 10-30 16:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
80% 100% +$12
Crypto
12% 62% +$337
Tech
4% — —
Other
4% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? Yes +23,572 $54 0¢ $94 +$40 10-29 21:06
Will Solana dip to $90 in October? Yes +222 $17 23¢ $52 +$34 10-08 09:37
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? Yes +5,167 $85 1¢ $49 -$36 10-30 13:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? Yes +3,880 $113 1¢ $37 -$76 10-29 13:52
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? Yes +6,000 $71 1¢ $33 -$38 10-29 01:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? Yes +200 $23 15¢ $31 +$7 10-30 16:13
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +1,000 $36 3¢ $30 -$6 10-25 06:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? Yes +1,035 $36 3¢ $29 -$7 10-29 01:01
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +300 $29 8¢ $23 -$6 10-26 17:59
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +540 $17 1¢ $7 -$9 10-08 05:35
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +200 $3 2¢ $4 +$0 10-27 05:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? Yes +3,000 $13 0¢ $3 -$10 10-28 01:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? Yes +1,300 $6 0¢ $2 -$4 10-28 09:10
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +0 -$720 16¢ $0 +$720 10-28 04:15
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +0 -$75 2¢ $0 +$75 10-28 14:50