Realized P&L (90d)
-$6.73K
Unrealized P&L
+$886
Hit rate
67.6%
Resolved (90d)
50,360
Trades (90d)
652,642
688,781 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$3.78M
$4.16M lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$29.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-18
last 11-08 20:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 112 days
Categories
Other
76% 60% -$3,857
Politics
15% 54% -$1,461
Sports
9% 48% -$2,163
Tech
0% 48% +$50
Crypto
0% 47% +$360
Pop-Culture
0% 44% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 12246 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,401 $1,836 90¢ $2.2K +$337 11-04 09:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2,265 $1,304 92¢ $2.1K +$791 11-08 17:59
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,894 $1,810 98¢ $1.9K +$52 11-03 21:53
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,910 $1,727 93¢ $1.8K +$44 10-29 17:51
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,674 $1,666 100¢ $1.7K +$2 10-18 18:50
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes -2,446 -$980 66¢ $-1602 -$623 11-08 17:44
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B Spirit +1,610 $1,190 76¢ $1.2K +$26 11-08 16:37
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,140 $1,103 99¢ $1.1K +$28 10-30 18:39
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +960 $953 99¢ $952 -$1 10-15 01:02
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +958 $938 98¢ $937 -$1 11-01 14:57
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +939 $934 99¢ $927 -$7 10-14 20:44
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +924 $915 98¢ $904 -$11 10-14 11:07
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +900 $889 98¢ $884 -$6 10-26 13:28
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +944 $762 92¢ $873 +$111 11-08 18:14
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +963 $843 91¢ $873 +$30 09-18 12:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +919 $676 88¢ $813 +$137 11-05 11:22
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +752 $739 99¢ $741 +$3 08-17 20:42
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +755 $732 97¢ $732 +$0 11-04 00:38
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +724 $721 100¢ $722 +$0 10-15 01:09
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +733 $622 98¢ $716 +$94 09-30 13:48
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +685 $680 99¢ $681 +$1 10-28 14:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +682 $653 98¢ $670 +$18 11-06 04:32
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +784 $732 83¢ $648 -$83 11-08 17:18
Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +646 $642 100¢ $645 +$3 10-17 06:36
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +640 $631 99¢ $631 +$1 10-04 09:40
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +681 $596 92¢ $630 +$35 11-03 08:51
Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +613 $609 100¢ $611 +$2 10-20 21:00
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes -3,042 -$495 20¢ $-610 -$115 11-08 10:12
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +601 $595 100¢ $598 +$3 10-17 12:06
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +592 $573 100¢ $589 +$16 10-07 09:38