Realized P&L (90d)
-$5.22K
Unrealized P&L
+$534
Hit rate
67.3%
Resolved (90d)
51,623
Trades (90d)
657,744
703,636 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$3.76M
$4.23M lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$29.9K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-18
last 11-11 04:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 115 days
Categories
Other
76% 60% -$3,183
Politics
15% 53% -$1,447
Sports
9% 48% -$2,334
Crypto
0% 46% +$972
Tech
0% 48% +$50
Pop-Culture
0% 44% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 12246 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,425 $1,857 92¢ $2.2K +$387 11-09 11:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2,282 $1,313 92¢ $2.1K +$775 11-11 02:37
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,894 $1,810 99¢ $1.9K +$57 11-03 21:53
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,910 $1,727 92¢ $1.8K +$30 10-29 17:51
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,674 $1,666 100¢ $1.7K +$2 10-18 18:50
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes -2,455 -$985 62¢ $-1535 -$549 11-09 01:53
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes -3,159 -$539 38¢ $-1193 -$653 11-10 11:03
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,140 $1,103 100¢ $1.1K +$33 10-30 18:39
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +960 $953 99¢ $952 -$1 10-15 01:02
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +939 $934 99¢ $926 -$8 10-14 20:44
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +924 $915 98¢ $906 -$8 10-14 11:07
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +965 $782 94¢ $902 +$121 11-10 05:37
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +908 $888 98¢ $887 -$1 11-09 16:08
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +900 $889 98¢ $884 -$6 10-26 13:28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +963 $843 91¢ $874 +$31 09-18 12:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +919 $676 89¢ $818 +$142 11-05 11:22
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +752 $739 99¢ $741 +$3 08-17 20:42
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +755 $732 97¢ $736 +$4 11-04 00:38
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +724 $721 100¢ $723 +$1 10-15 01:09
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +733 $622 97¢ $713 +$92 09-30 13:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +767 $744 89¢ $682 -$61 11-10 19:46
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +685 $680 99¢ $681 +$1 10-28 14:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +682 $653 99¢ $673 +$20 11-06 04:32
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +681 $596 96¢ $651 +$55 11-03 08:51
Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +646 $642 100¢ $644 +$2 10-17 06:36
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +640 $631 99¢ $631 +$1 10-04 09:40
Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +613 $609 100¢ $611 +$2 10-20 21:00
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +601 $595 99¢ $597 +$1 10-17 12:06
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +592 $573 100¢ $589 +$16 10-07 09:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +607 $540 97¢ $587 +$47 11-09 20:30