Realized P&L (7d)
-$1.26K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.88K
Hit rate
68.5%
Resolved (7d)
5,601
Trades (7d)
61,517
765,126 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$368.9K
$4.61M lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$34.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-18
last 11-02 12:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Other
75% 60% -$4,305
Politics
15% 49% -$1,230
Sports
9% 48% -$1,621
Tech
0% 50% +$52
Crypto
0% 76% +$38
Pop-Culture
0% 67% +$33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 12246 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +3,044 $2,893 93¢ $2.8K -$49 11-02 08:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2,351 $1,380 88¢ $2.1K +$701 11-01 16:05
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,367 $1,808 84¢ $2.0K +$169 11-02 09:19
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,969 $1,883 98¢ $1.9K +$44 11-02 12:40
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,910 $1,727 88¢ $1.7K -$49 10-29 17:51
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,674 $1,666 100¢ $1.7K +$4 10-18 18:50
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House No +1,562 $1,546 99¢ $1.6K +$7 11-02 08:42
Will Karmine Corp win Worlds 2026? No +1,410 $1,398 98¢ $1.4K -$13 11-01 14:43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +1,374 $1,253 94¢ $1.3K +$46 10-23 09:17
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,140 $1,103 99¢ $1.1K +$30 10-30 18:39
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,417 $844 76¢ $1.1K +$226 11-02 12:50
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +960 $953 99¢ $952 -$1 10-15 01:02
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +958 $938 98¢ $941 +$4 11-01 14:57
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +939 $934 99¢ $929 -$5 10-14 20:44
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,014 $919 90¢ $908 -$10 11-01 17:13
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +924 $915 98¢ $903 -$12 10-14 11:07
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +900 $889 99¢ $893 +$3 10-26 13:28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +963 $843 90¢ $868 +$25 09-18 12:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +970 $721 89¢ $863 +$142 11-01 10:38
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? No +830 $825 99¢ $824 -$1 10-21 13:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +820 $692 100¢ $819 +$127 10-28 07:01
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +1,076 $714 74¢ $802 +$88 11-02 07:35
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026? No +797 $786 97¢ $774 -$11 10-28 11:56
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +806 $715 96¢ $770 +$56 11-02 06:50
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +772 $638 99¢ $765 +$127 11-01 22:47
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +752 $739 99¢ $743 +$4 08-17 20:42
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +913 $603 80¢ $735 +$132 11-02 12:17
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +724 $721 100¢ $722 +$0 10-15 01:09
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +733 $622 96¢ $707 +$85 09-30 13:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +698 $668 98¢ $684 +$16 11-01 23:56