Realized P&L (30d)
-$8.88K
Unrealized P&L
+$854
Hit rate
66.2%
Resolved (30d)
24,672
Trades (30d)
250,217
823,989 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.45M
$4.93M lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$29.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-18
last 11-08 15:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 112 days
Categories
Other
76% 60% -$3,487
Politics
15% 54% -$1,481
Sports
9% 48% -$2,180
Tech
0% 48% +$50
Crypto
0% 44% -$50
Pop-Culture
0% 44% +$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 12246 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +2,401 $1,836 90¢ $2.1K +$313 11-04 09:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2,270 $1,308 92¢ $2.1K +$769 11-03 13:57
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +1,894 $1,810 98¢ $1.9K +$52 11-03 21:53
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +1,910 $1,727 93¢ $1.8K +$45 10-29 17:51
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +1,674 $1,666 100¢ $1.7K +$2 10-18 18:50
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? Yes -2,439 -$975 66¢ $-1597 -$623 11-08 00:42
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B Spirit +1,619 $1,196 76¢ $1.2K +$26 11-08 15:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +1,140 $1,103 99¢ $1.1K +$30 10-30 18:39
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +960 $953 99¢ $952 -$1 10-15 01:02
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? No +958 $938 98¢ $938 $0 11-01 14:57
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +939 $934 99¢ $928 -$6 10-14 20:44
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +924 $915 98¢ $904 -$11 10-14 11:07
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? No +900 $889 98¢ $883 -$7 10-26 13:28
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +963 $843 90¢ $871 +$28 09-18 12:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +919 $676 88¢ $813 +$137 11-05 11:22
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +834 $661 94¢ $788 +$127 11-02 19:27
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +752 $739 99¢ $741 +$3 08-17 20:42
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +755 $732 97¢ $732 +$0 11-04 00:38
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +724 $721 100¢ $723 +$1 10-15 01:09
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +733 $622 98¢ $716 +$94 09-30 13:48
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +685 $680 99¢ $681 +$1 10-28 14:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +682 $653 98¢ $670 +$18 11-06 04:32
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +809 $752 83¢ $668 -$84 11-08 13:35
Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +646 $642 100¢ $645 +$3 10-17 06:36
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +640 $631 99¢ $631 +$1 10-04 09:40
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +681 $596 92¢ $630 +$35 11-03 08:51
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? Yes -3,042 -$495 20¢ $-613 -$118 11-08 10:12
Will Sporting CP win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +613 $609 100¢ $611 +$2 10-20 21:00
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +601 $595 100¢ $598 +$3 10-17 12:06
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? No +592 $573 100¢ $589 +$16 10-07 09:38