Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
open
Total volume
$139
Trades
26
Unique wallets
14
Liquidity
$140
Latest YES mid
41¢
Latest NO mid
59¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 08-16 16:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-18.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $18
vs crowd: 18% YES on $129)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $4 | $18 | $14 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $15 | $9 | +$6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $3 | $79 | $76 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $18 | $18 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| Median | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| unranked | 5 | $5 | $79 | $74 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Poor-Scene 0x5960…d692 | Yes | +67 | $7 | $7 | 3 | 08-16 16:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x08ef…e466 | No | +45 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 08-16 16:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xf331…7e96 | No | +44 | $39 | $39 | 1 | 08-05 22:44 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +36 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 05-30 11:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | +28 | $4 | $7 | 3 | 08-05 22:44 |
| Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 08-05 09:10 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 05-30 11:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x248f…187c | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 08-16 16:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-05 09:10 |
| Vivacious-Fondue 0x51b1…7865 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 08-05 08:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-05 08:37 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-16 16:08:43 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd0e32a… |
| 08-16 16:08:43 | Poor-Scene 0x5960…d692 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd0e32a… |
| 08-16 16:08:40 | (anonymous) 0x248f…187c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xef5053… |
| 08-16 16:08:40 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xef5053… |
| 08-16 16:08:39 | (anonymous) 0x248f…187c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x7659f9… |
| 08-16 16:08:39 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x7659f9… |
| 08-16 16:08:13 | Poor-Scene 0x5960…d692 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x44473d… |
| 08-16 16:08:13 | (anonymous) 0x321e…9292 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x44473d… |
| 08-16 16:08:13 | (anonymous) 0x08ef…e466 | No | BUY | 45 | 89¢ | $40 | 0x44473d… |
| 08-05 22:44:48 | (anonymous) 0xf331…7e96 | No | BUY | 44 | 87¢ | $39 | 0xea8d5f… |
| 08-05 22:44:48 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 13¢ | $6 | 0xea8d5f… |
| 08-05 09:10:02 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 11¢ | $3 | 0x6a7fce… |
| 08-05 09:10:02 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6a7fce… |
| 08-05 09:10:02 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x6a7fce… |
| 08-05 08:37:27 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x84d296… |
| 08-05 08:37:27 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x84d296… |
| 08-05 08:37:27 | Vivacious-Fondue 0x51b1…7865 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0x84d296… |
| 05-30 11:02:39 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xefdfc7… |
| 05-30 11:02:39 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xefdfc7… |
| 05-30 11:02:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xefdfc7… |
| 05-30 11:02:18 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x78c845… |
| 05-30 11:02:18 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x78c845… |
| 05-28 04:28:34 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x1860ba… |
| 05-28 04:28:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x1860ba… |
| 05-27 21:37:17 | Joyful-Monsoon 0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x797cb2… |
| 05-27 21:37:17 | Poor-Scene 0x5960…d692 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x797cb2… |