Traumatic-Rostrum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

146

lifetime

Volume

$2.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$24

1 position

First seen

2026-02-13

last 07-22 11:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

36% — —

Other

32% 0% $-0

Politics

15% — —

Tech

11% — —

Sports

7% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+25	$24	98¢	$24	$-0	07-22 11:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1771605000	4	$107	84	83	+1	open	—	02-20 16:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$106	53	53	+0	open	—	04-26 00:35
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	04-17 07:09
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	03-31 11:23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$70	35	35	+0	open	—	04-17 07:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?	2	$69	34	34	+0	open	—	04-17 07:10
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$67	98	98	+0	No	$-1	04-19 11:59
btc updown 5m 1775112600	3	$65	92	87	+5	open	—	04-02 06:53
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$58	291	291	+0	open	—	03-24 02:01
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	03-24 02:04
will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	03-26 23:40
will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	03-09 03:04
btc updown 5m 1775109900	2	$51	51	49	+2	open	—	04-02 06:08
btc updown 5m 1771604700	2	$51	26	26	+0	open	—	02-20 16:28
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	07-13 04:42
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2	$50	25	25	-0	open	—	07-22 02:08
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	2	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	07-15 23:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	07-20 09:07
will ethereum reach 3400 in march 2026	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	03-19 02:14
btc updown 5m 1775008500	6	$44	55	52	+3	open	—	04-01 01:59
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	05-02 08:33
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	2	$42	21	21	+0	open	—	04-26 00:36
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$42	22	22	+0	Yes	$-0	04-22 14:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	04-13 00:15
spx opens up or down on february 17 2026	3	$36	35	35	+0	open	—	02-15 03:26
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$36	18	18	+0	open	—	04-07 04:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	05-09 01:30
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	06-01 02:27
btc updown 5m 1773886500	4	$31	35	35	+0	open	—	03-19 02:19
Human moon landing in 2026?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	07-19 12:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 11:39:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0x3ee3de…
07-22 11:38:57	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	13	97¢	$13	0xae0b21…
07-22 02:08:48	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xaa1217…
07-22 02:08:30	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x445964…
07-21 07:54:33	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0x2cfe5f…
07-20 09:07:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x37e6b2…
07-19 12:15:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xfd38ba…
07-19 12:15:25	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xd5ce8c…
07-19 12:15:16	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x9c8d1c…
07-18 10:05:33	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x6c62a8…
07-18 10:05:13	Human moon landing in 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x0990af…
07-15 23:52:41	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0xb30480…
07-14 01:08:04	Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xef1b62…
07-13 04:42:46	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x785fed…
07-05 01:50:11	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb960b0…
06-19 23:26:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x65606a…
06-18 07:17:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8810f9…
06-16 00:01:06	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x6a0df9…
06-12 07:44:33	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xbcf6ce…
06-01 03:14:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x794f25…
06-01 02:27:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?	No	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0xd9f32d…
05-30 00:29:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$15	0x5036a4…
05-28 02:43:11	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x665e23…
05-28 02:43:06	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xeeefe2…
05-25 00:26:18	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x983192…
05-21 09:08:30	Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xede745…
05-18 11:29:14	Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xfecf3c…
05-14 09:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0x54b73d…
05-14 09:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x421a70…
05-09 01:30:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0x3f8b63…
05-05 14:15:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	18	96¢	$18	0x7c5ae4…
05-02 08:33:20	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xd01782…
04-29 04:57:04	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x2e0402…
04-26 00:36:42	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$21	0x02e011…
04-26 00:36:06	Crude Oil all time high by April 30?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xfc63f6…
04-26 00:35:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xbeb6bf…
04-22 14:05:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x56ac63…
04-22 14:01:30	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	22	94¢	$21	0x38f5e8…
04-19 12:00:06	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0xad958a…
04-19 11:59:08	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	98	34¢	$33	0x2eccb4…
04-17 07:11:42	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	98	35¢	$34	0xaa84d8…
04-17 07:10:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x273f3d…
04-17 07:09:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 17, 2026?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xc928e8…
04-17 07:09:20	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0xca0995…
04-17 07:09:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$34	0x8e099f…
04-17 07:08:06	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x39bdff…
04-15 05:17:02	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xb6d9d5…
04-13 00:15:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xe796e3…
04-13 00:15:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x65ce59…
04-10 09:46:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x365ffb…
04-10 09:46:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xabba5c…
04-10 09:46:13	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xd02950…
04-08 07:02:53	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x8ad6fa…
04-07 04:31:31	nba uta nop 2026 04 07	Jazz	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x065af5…
04-07 04:31:23	nba cha bos 2026 04 07	Hornets	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x83d413…
04-07 04:31:07	nba mil bkn 2026 04 07	Nets	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x983a60…
04-07 04:30:29	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x4ad528…
04-07 04:30:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xeed35c…
04-05 15:28:11	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xdc60de…
04-05 15:27:57	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x7ec594…
04-02 07:08:43	btc updown 5m 1775113500	Up	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0xa7ef9e…
04-02 07:07:01	btc updown 5m 1775113500	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xbbcd27…
04-02 07:02:05	btc updown 5m 1775113200	Up	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x7280dc…
04-02 07:01:13	btc updown 5m 1775113200	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8cfaf8…
04-02 06:53:01	btc updown 5m 1775112600	Down	SELL	87	46¢	$40	0x706ece…
04-02 06:52:29	btc updown 5m 1775112600	Down	BUY	73	27¢	$20	0x036d84…
04-02 06:50:19	btc updown 5m 1775112600	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x12370f…
04-02 06:46:53	btc updown 5m 1775112300	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x4ab84e…
04-02 06:46:03	btc updown 5m 1775112300	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x0e1ab2…
04-02 06:42:47	btc updown 5m 1775112000	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x9ec6e2…
04-02 06:42:03	btc updown 5m 1775112000	Down	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0x6beaab…
04-02 06:41:25	btc updown 5m 1775112000	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x601f81…
04-02 06:36:17	btc updown 5m 1775111700	Up	SELL	26	24¢	$6	0xd92151…
04-02 06:35:53	btc updown 5m 1775111700	Up	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0x7a9052…
04-02 06:31:13	btc updown 5m 1775111400	Up	SELL	19	49¢	$9	0xf550ae…
04-02 06:30:29	btc updown 5m 1775111400	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x13fcfa…
04-02 06:28:31	btc updown 5m 1775111100	Up	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x3a681f…
04-02 06:27:37	btc updown 5m 1775111100	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xd9a394…
04-02 06:26:45	btc updown 5m 1775111100	Up	SELL	16	48¢	$8	0x85a9de…
04-02 06:25:35	btc updown 5m 1775111100	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x58b03b…
04-02 06:08:13	btc updown 5m 1775109900	Down	SELL	49	61¢	$30	0x83d9a0…
04-02 06:07:39	btc updown 5m 1775109900	Down	BUY	51	41¢	$21	0x1a9eed…
04-01 02:01:49	btc updown 5m 1775008800	Down	BUY	27	13¢	$4	0x5b7d07…
04-01 02:01:23	btc updown 5m 1775008800	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x321ec1…
04-01 02:00:43	btc updown 5m 1775008800	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb8efce…
04-01 02:00:31	btc updown 5m 1775008800	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xfe3bfd…
04-01 02:00:17	btc updown 5m 1775008800	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x166503…
04-01 01:59:17	btc updown 5m 1775008500	Up	SELL	14	11¢	$1	0x14622b…
04-01 01:57:11	btc updown 5m 1775008500	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xb1233c…
04-01 01:56:15	btc updown 5m 1775008500	Down	SELL	39	58¢	$23	0x621a7d…
04-01 01:55:49	btc updown 5m 1775008500	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x2ec178…
04-01 01:55:41	btc updown 5m 1775008500	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x7a625b…
04-01 01:55:29	btc updown 5m 1775008500	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x7f4c54…
04-01 01:53:21	btc updown 5m 1775008200	Up	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0xde016a…
04-01 01:52:51	btc updown 5m 1775008200	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xe9a134…
04-01 01:47:19	btc updown 5m 1775007900	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xb138a8…
04-01 01:47:05	btc updown 5m 1775007900	Up	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x33e86b…
04-01 01:46:29	btc updown 5m 1775007900	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x2cdc07…
04-01 01:45:43	btc updown 5m 1775007900	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x0cb5d9…
04-01 01:45:25	btc updown 5m 1775007900	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x0c6598…