Revolving-Pitcher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

423

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

$32

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 07-02 06:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

51% — —

Other

30% 0% $-1

Politics

7% — —

Sports

7% 0% $-0

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No		+36	$32	88¢	$32	+$0	07-02 06:31
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No		+0	$-0	97¢	$0	+$0	06-23 10:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
mlb hou sea 2026 04 10	4	$227	115	115	+0	open	—	04-11 04:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	4	$206	107	107	+0	open	—	04-17 07:44
ethereum above 2000 on april 13	6	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	04-13 12:21
ethereum above 2200 on april 21	2	$196	99	99	+0	open	—	04-21 14:54
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 10am et	2	$194	98	98	+0	open	—	04-10 14:57
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 1am et	3	$175	88	88	+0	open	—	03-22 05:57
ethereum up or down march 17 2026 11pm et	3	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	03-18 04:23
btc updown 15m 1775830500	3	$160	80	80	+0	open	—	04-10 14:30
btc updown 15m 1774070100	2	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	03-21 05:29
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 12am et	3	$159	80	80	+0	open	—	03-23 04:54
atp poljica ivanise 2026 03 23	5	$157	80	80	+0	open	—	03-24 10:05
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	3	$155	100	100	+0	open	—	05-29 16:24
arg riv1 ros 2026 03 22 riv1	2	$149	75	75	+0	open	—	03-23 03:05
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	6	$148	80	80	+0	open	—	03-08 03:18
ethereum up or down march 21 2026 4am et	2	$148	76	76	+0	open	—	03-21 08:59
bitcoin up or down on march 25 2026	6	$145	500	500	+0	open	—	03-25 11:41
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 6am et	37	$145	73	73	+0	open	—	03-22 10:53
mlb atl ari 2026 04 02	2	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	04-03 03:53
btc updown 15m 1774173600	2	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	03-22 10:13
bitcoin up or down march 20 2026 4am et	4	$139	70	70	+0	open	—	03-20 08:58
btc updown 15m 1774071900	7	$137	70	70	+0	open	—	03-21 05:59
bitcoin above 64k on april 2	2	$137	70	70	+0	open	—	04-02 13:37
ethereum up or down march 22 2026 4am et	4	$136	69	69	+0	open	—	03-22 08:55
lol gen g2 2026 03 21	2	$135	70	70	+0	open	—	03-21 13:12
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$135	69	69	+0	open	—	03-21 04:43
highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 12c	3	$129	84	82	+2	open	—	04-11 07:03
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$126	64	64	+0	open	—	04-07 09:38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	9	$123	66	66	+0	open	—	04-20 11:44
nhl tb sea 2026 03 17	5	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	03-18 04:34
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 7am et	2	$119	60	60	+0	open	—	03-17 11:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 06:31:29	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	88¢	$32	0x7e88b3…
06-30 21:57:49	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0xdef180…
06-28 11:33:55	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x912c06…
06-27 09:19:44	bitcoin above 58k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x83afb7…
06-24 10:47:41	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	BUY	38	82¢	$31	0xd7ffd7…
06-24 10:47:40	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xd4b10d…
06-24 10:47:40	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xbd7b04…
06-23 10:53:38	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x895c27…
06-23 02:45:20	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x81a496…
06-22 08:50:14	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0xfb1d1f…
06-21 16:54:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x412cc4…
06-20 11:51:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by june 24	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x19d224…
06-20 10:38:07	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x764d99…
06-20 10:19:44	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$38	0x160a64…
06-15 07:26:36	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x25642f…
06-14 07:25:15	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	Yes	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x1162ad…
06-13 03:45:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	49	83¢	$41	0x0b605d…
06-12 03:36:04	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x5b9ad9…
06-11 07:01:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0xe69e50…
06-10 06:39:48	bitcoin above 64k on june 10 2026	No	BUY	65	98¢	$64	0xf88e72…
06-09 11:46:12	bitcoin above 60k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	77	98¢	$76	0xc8f41d…
06-08 11:01:51	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0xb6e159…
06-08 04:03:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x3c3331…
06-05 08:30:39	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x75a0e2…
06-04 12:25:21	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 15	No	SELL	87	39¢	$34	0xdb78a7…
06-04 04:16:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0xce5396…
06-01 14:35:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	80	87¢	$70	0x91bcc8…
05-31 15:05:06	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	BUY	40	41¢	$16	0xd06143…
05-31 15:03:00	Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?	No	BUY	47	39¢	$18	0x0a95bf…
05-31 08:11:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0xe49849…
05-29 16:24:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0xc46815…
05-29 09:08:26	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	87	78¢	$68	0x0055e6…
05-29 09:06:47	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xd311c7…
05-29 05:38:54	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x747eee…
05-28 06:17:25	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x282461…
05-25 14:02:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$6	0x3afe50…
05-25 14:02:25	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29	89¢	$25	0x633628…
05-23 04:54:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x691981…
05-22 09:10:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	60	91¢	$55	0xed4f94…
05-20 09:31:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0xaef84f…
05-19 07:03:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xbda568…
05-19 05:55:47	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xdfd013…
05-16 15:55:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x58e4af…
05-16 15:43:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xd1ed30…
05-12 02:52:50	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	70	72¢	$51	0xdddb3a…
05-06 03:44:12	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x44077c…
05-06 03:33:02	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x8d9fbe…
05-05 06:42:56	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0x6d6fc0…
05-05 06:33:18	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x7f1b81…
05-05 06:31:22	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x0edfa3…
05-05 06:00:56	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	59	33¢	$19	0x1cac3f…
05-05 05:59:24	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 5?	Down	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0xe10a0b…
04-29 05:41:20	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0xe5e715…
04-29 05:37:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$39	0x368c49…
04-28 07:25:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xc32b7c…
04-27 13:19:18	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x10dccb…
04-27 13:10:48	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0xd074f4…
04-24 05:30:44	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x0c8e39…
04-24 03:43:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0xe13a53…
04-22 03:43:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x231d8c…
04-21 14:54:08	ethereum above 2200 on april 21	Yes	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x6451b0…
04-21 05:18:34	ethereum above 2200 on april 21	Yes	BUY	99	98¢	$97	0x14ca16…
04-20 11:44:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	93¢	$21	0x764981…
04-20 11:38:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x818d95…
04-20 11:09:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x304807…
04-20 11:08:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x59e790…
04-20 11:03:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x2f948a…
04-20 11:00:44	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	93¢	$20	0xb2fc33…
04-20 10:12:56	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0xcd3a71…
04-19 04:20:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0x9c86c3…
04-19 04:12:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	93¢	$17	0xfcb2c0…
04-19 04:12:00	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0xe82eb6…
04-17 13:31:12	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 360 379	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x457d8c…
04-17 07:44:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x21bb89…
04-17 03:46:34	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x892800…
04-17 03:25:40	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 360 379	No	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xb22ce0…
04-17 03:25:08	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x9df730…
04-16 07:57:26	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x038192…
04-16 07:57:12	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	14	89¢	$12	0xd0b269…
04-13 12:21:47	ethereum above 2000 on april 13	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x0c1725…
04-13 09:39:47	ethereum above 2000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x6b29e8…
04-13 06:53:49	ethereum above 2000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x7bc9a2…
04-13 06:52:01	ethereum above 2000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x13f73c…
04-13 05:54:51	ethereum above 2000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x93f357…
04-13 05:40:13	ethereum above 2000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0b4ba0…
04-12 15:45:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x9e85c5…
04-11 07:03:09	highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 12c	Yes	SELL	82	99¢	$81	0xadb160…
04-11 05:11:47	highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0xda9b22…
04-11 05:09:33	highest temperature in seoul on april 11 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	44	56¢	$24	0x2ac387…
04-11 04:47:23	mlb hou sea 2026 04 10	Seattle Mariners	SELL	93	99¢	$92	0x0f9ac2…
04-11 04:47:17	mlb hou sea 2026 04 10	Seattle Mariners	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xf82a35…
04-11 04:45:23	mlb hou sea 2026 04 10	Seattle Mariners	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x37b461…
04-11 04:44:09	mlb hou sea 2026 04 10	Seattle Mariners	BUY	70	98¢	$68	0xba7845…
04-10 14:57:07	bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xffc127…
04-10 14:48:25	bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0xa01d1d…
04-10 14:30:11	btc updown 15m 1775830500	Up	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x56e6d9…
04-10 14:28:03	btc updown 15m 1775830500	Up	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf7b42a…
04-10 14:28:03	btc updown 15m 1775830500	Up	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xbda7ab…
04-09 05:39:51	nhl edm sj 2026 04 08	Oilers	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6157bd…
04-09 04:11:29	nhl edm sj 2026 04 08	Oilers	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1596c8…