Realized P&L
-$14
Unrealized P&L
+$132
Hit rate
65.7%
Resolved
163
Trades
595
lifetime
Volume
$6.45K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$1.23K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 11-09 16:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Other
48% 73% -$37
Sports
39% 59% +$7
Politics
13% 63% +$20
Crypto
0% — —
Tech
0% 0% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? No +314 $263 93¢ $292 +$29 11-09 01:32
Sweden snap election called in 2026? No +174 $130 84¢ $147 +$17 11-09 11:24
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +170 $61 60¢ $103 +$41 11-09 16:00
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V? No +90 $73 93¢ $84 +$11 11-06 23:19
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD? No +80 $72 94¢ $76 +$4 11-09 08:12
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +70 $64 98¢ $68 +$5 08-02 01:29
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +70 $64 95¢ $66 +$2 10-24 23:38
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +64 $47 96¢ $61 +$14 11-01 03:23
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? No +50 $46 91¢ $46 -$1 09-11 20:54
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +40 $38 98¢ $39 +$1 09-11 22:27
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $33 65¢ $32 -$1 09-28 13:54
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? No +30 $29 97¢ $29 +$0 09-08 22:31
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +30 $4 75¢ $22 +$19 09-14 00:13
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 09-22 11:11
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$1 07-16 00:02
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 09-08 22:33
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No +20 $18 97¢ $19 +$2 07-18 02:00
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? No +20 $18 96¢ $19 +$1 09-08 22:34
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +15 $12 89¢ $13 +$2 08-04 00:17
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + C? Yes +20 $9 60¢ $12 +$3 11-09 00:14
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 08-04 00:16
Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government? No +30 $25 27¢ $8 -$17 09-14 00:14
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C? Yes +50 $7 14¢ $7 $0 09-19 16:35
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +46 $13 8¢ $4 -$9 10-24 19:04
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No -3 -$6 98¢ $-3 +$4 08-18 12:06
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L? Yes +28 $0 6¢ $2 +$1 10-02 19:12
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -5 -$3 34¢ $-2 +$1 05-04 14:30
Will the Centre Party (C) be in the next Swedish government? No +8 $5 17¢ $1 -$3 11-07 15:42
Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No -1 -$8 100¢ $-1 +$7 09-20 01:38
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S? Yes +25 $4 4¢ $1 -$2 11-07 00:06