Cruel-Patient 0xa8d487…1b0a2f
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
246
lifetime
Volume
$6.70K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$570
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 07-01 13:48
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
59% — —
Politics
34% — —
Tech
7% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? No +249 $225 96¢ $239 +$14 06-22 02:30
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Yes -600 $-84 12¢ $-75 +$9 06-10 17:00
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -350 $-101 20¢ $-68 +$33 06-05 23:28
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +248 $85 26¢ $63 $-22 07-01 13:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +250 $104 16¢ $41 $-63 06-18 17:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +150 $40 23¢ $34 $-6 06-07 18:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +30 $24 100¢ $30 +$6 06-08 08:55
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +65 $7 16¢ $11 +$3 06-25 08:41
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +14 $8 58¢ $8 $-0 06-14 11:44