Realized P&L
+$66
Unrealized P&L
-$26
Hit rate
95.7%
Resolved
13
Trades
567
lifetime
Volume
$19.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$3.10K
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 06-08 14:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
57% 70% +$77
Other
35% 0% $-7
Sports
5% 50% $-3
Crypto
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
OPEC dissolves in 2026? No +669 $622 92¢ $619 $-3 06-04 17:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +549 $500 94¢ $514 +$14 06-06 14:45
New pandemic in 2026? No +556 $500 88¢ $492 $-8 06-01 12:22
Trump out as President before 2027? No +333 $300 90¢ $298 $-2 06-01 13:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +381 $287 78¢ $295 +$8 06-08 14:40
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +294 $250 72¢ $210 $-40 06-02 12:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +235 $200 86¢ $204 +$4 06-01 12:52
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +203 $189 92¢ $186 $-3 06-01 13:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +158 $132 90¢ $143 +$11 06-06 15:01
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +54 $50 92¢ $50 +$0 06-03 13:41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +68 $50 68¢ $46 $-4 06-03 13:42
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +96 $25 26¢ $25 $-0 06-03 13:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +143 $20 12¢ $18 $-2 06-03 13:39