Realized P&L
-$188
Unrealized P&L
+$158
Hit rate
73.8%
Resolved
249
Trades
723
lifetime
Volume
$39.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$54
Open exposure
$2.49K
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 11-06 05:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 83 days
Categories
Politics
52% 66% -$239
Other
41% 59% +$246
Sports
5% 23% -$150
Tech
1% — —
Crypto
1% 45% -$45
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
New pandemic in 2026? No +831 $752 98¢ $814 +$62 06-26 02:38
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -451 -$336 88¢ $-395 -$59 09-03 13:44
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +271 $230 98¢ $264 +$34 07-02 12:02
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +238 $149 88¢ $211 +$62 07-02 12:45
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +208 $190 95¢ $198 +$8 06-30 23:56
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +179 $150 92¢ $163 +$13 07-01 14:38
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +167 $100 68¢ $112 +$12 06-10 22:44
US military draft authorized in 2026? No -110 -$120 98¢ $-109 +$11 11-06 05:15
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -105 -$104 98¢ $-103 +$1 07-02 12:43
Trump out as President before 2027? No -97 -$116 98¢ $-94 +$21 11-06 05:15
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +324 $81 4¢ $13 -$68 06-29 07:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -12 -$72 98¢ $-12 +$60 11-04 02:31