Realized P&L
+$66
Unrealized P&L
-$99
Hit rate
95.7%
Resolved
13
Trades
643
lifetime
Volume
$29.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$46
Open exposure
$3.67K
14 positions
First seen
2026-02-13
last 07-20 18:14
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
56% 70% +$77
Other
39% 0% $-7
Sports
3% 50% $-3
Tech
2%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1,156 $1,012 72¢ $838 $-174 06-20 17:48
New pandemic in 2026? No +831 $752 94¢ $777 +$25 06-26 02:38
Trump out as President before 2027? No +333 $300 92¢ $308 +$8 06-01 13:04
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +271 $230 88¢ $237 +$7 07-02 12:02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +235 $200 94¢ $222 +$22 06-01 12:52
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +230 $200 92¢ $210 +$10 07-01 00:20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -212 $-204 96¢ $-203 +$1 07-02 12:43
US military draft authorized in 2026? No +212 $197 95¢ $202 +$5 06-14 12:36
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +208 $190 90¢ $186 $-4 06-30 23:56
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +238 $149 68¢ $161 +$12 07-02 12:45
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +179 $150 74¢ $131 $-19 07-01 14:38
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +161 $125 78¢ $126 +$1 07-01 15:26
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +163 $32 22¢ $35 +$3 06-29 07:41
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No -29 $-31 98¢ $-28 +$3 07-02 12:45