(anonymous) 0xd85da6…c63700
4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$295
Unrealized P&L
-$232
Hit rate
70.3%
Resolved
130
Trades
1,123
lifetime
Volume
$22.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$1.03K
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-07
last 10-27 01:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Politics
55% 61% +$125
Other
45% 38% -$417
Tech
0% 0% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +419 $397 97¢ $406 +$9 09-17 16:34
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +171 $151 96¢ $164 +$13 08-21 01:49
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +89 $72 83¢ $74 +$2 08-15 13:57
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +88 $63 80¢ $71 +$8 08-15 13:56
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +40 $33 94¢ $37 +$4 08-17 19:02
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +42 $18 88¢ $37 +$19 08-21 10:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +37 $32 94¢ $35 +$3 08-17 19:02
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +29 $16 86¢ $25 +$9 09-24 06:25
israel withdraws from lebanon by december 31 2026 No +23 $20 96¢ $22 +$2 08-15 13:57
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +145 $92 15¢ $21 -$71 08-21 01:32
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 95¢ $15 +$1 08-21 01:32
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No +16 $18 91¢ $15 -$4 09-18 14:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +136 $131 11¢ $14 -$116 09-30 01:48
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +13 $12 97¢ $13 +$1 08-21 01:32
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No +13 $12 97¢ $13 +$0 08-21 01:32
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? No +12 $10 92¢ $11 +$1 08-16 12:16
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 08-16 13:35
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? No +8 $8 97¢ $8 +$0 07-28 20:16
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +8 $7 91¢ $8 +$1 09-16 14:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +116 $46 6¢ $8 -$38 08-30 19:43
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? No +5 $4 97¢ $5 +$1 08-12 21:38
will a 1 year enrichment moratorium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201635 Yes +30 $10 15¢ $4 -$6 08-17 16:40
will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636 Yes +29 $19 13¢ $4 -$15 09-22 10:38
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +4 -$5 86¢ $3 +$8 09-17 12:26
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 Yes +45 $38 6¢ $3 -$35 08-21 01:32
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637 Yes +20 $7 14¢ $3 -$4 08-08 18:09
will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639 Yes +15 $7 12¢ $2 -$5 08-17 16:40
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +11 $4 14¢ $1 -$3 09-23 10:54
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632 Yes +12 $17 6¢ $1 -$16 08-24 20:21
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 -$1 09-25 03:32