Realized P&L
+$122
Unrealized P&L
+$67
Hit rate
86.2%
Resolved
712
Trades
1,391
lifetime
Volume
$17.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$479
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-03
last 11-09 00:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 107 days
Categories
Crypto
61% 87% -$100
Other
25% 67% +$180
Politics
10% 75% +$37
Sports
2% 54% +$2
Tech
2% 69% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +24 $12 98¢ $23 +$11 09-13 13:29
Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +26 $16 72¢ $19 +$3 10-29 19:15
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +18 $11 99¢ $18 +$7 11-07 06:15
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? No +24 $18 74¢ $18 +$0 11-06 04:09
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? Yes +19 $15 92¢ $17 +$2 08-20 18:00
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? Yes +20 $15 86¢ $17 +$2 09-17 00:13
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31 No +18 $15 94¢ $17 +$2 08-10 11:10
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +21 $16 80¢ $17 +$1 10-11 14:12
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +17 $10 99¢ $17 +$6 10-25 02:53
Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes +27 $16 62¢ $17 +$1 10-04 04:51
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +24 $16 68¢ $16 +$0 11-05 01:39
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +22 $16 74¢ $16 +$0 11-04 13:51
Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? No +16 $11 98¢ $16 +$5 10-12 11:08
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +18 $11 86¢ $16 +$4 10-31 05:03
No one announced as next James Bond? No +16 $11 94¢ $15 +$4 10-23 08:14
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? No +15 $11 100¢ $15 +$4 11-04 01:17
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +23 $15 68¢ $15 +$0 09-13 22:40
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? Yes +26 $16 58¢ $15 -$1 09-21 08:03
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +24 $16 62¢ $15 -$1 10-26 07:26
Will María Corina Machado win the next Venezuelan presidential election? Yes +22 $16 68¢ $15 -$1 11-05 20:02
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +17 $15 88¢ $15 +$0 08-12 23:27
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +16 $11 94¢ $15 +$4 11-01 15:42
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +20 $15 74¢ $15 $0 09-01 09:44
will ohio enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2028 No +21 $16 69¢ $15 -$1 10-05 08:01
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +15 $10 98¢ $15 +$4 09-26 07:13
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +18 $11 83¢ $15 +$4 10-03 04:15
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +17 $11 84¢ $15 +$3 10-20 04:03
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +17 $11 84¢ $14 +$3 11-04 16:49
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +20 $16 66¢ $13 -$3 09-22 05:14
Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +16 $11 85¢ $13 +$2 10-11 14:24