Realized P&L
-$1.19K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.91K
Hit rate
80.3%
Resolved
8
Trades
4,500
lifetime
Volume
$1.03M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$229
Open exposure
$15.8K
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-02 08:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
53% 33% $-1,027
Politics
43% 75% $-157
Crypto
2%
Tech
2% 0% $-9
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 216 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +11,442 $9,966 96¢ $11.0K +$1,023 07-02 08:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +3,340 $2,519 100¢ $3.3K +$813 07-01 22:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +5,232 $-2,597 26¢ $1.4K +$3,983 07-01 15:27
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +884 $181 12¢ $106 $-75 06-01 12:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -611 $-222 $-2 +$220 06-11 18:20
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? Yes +5 $2 20¢ $1 $-1 06-01 07:26
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +6 $50 $0 $-50 06-15 21:23