Faraway-Sail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$36

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

129

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$354

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-17

last 11-02 00:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Other

50% 28% +$31

Politics

22% 23% -$23

Sports

16% 22% -$17

Crypto

6% 27% +$4

Tech

6% 100% +$41

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	Yes		+7	$1	2¢	$0	-$1	07-09 06:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be at least 600 measles cases in the us by january 31 2026	2	$26	20	20	+0	No	+$14	01-31 06:58
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	1	$20	61	0	+61	No	+$41	07-20 05:52
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	2	$18	17	17	+0	Yes	+$16	04-13 01:54
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$13	5	25	-21	No	+$9	06-01 01:33
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$11	41	41	+0	No	+$1	02-11 03:58
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 12	2	$8	5	5	+0	Yes	+$2	02-13 01:40
FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?	2	$8	7	7	+0	No	+$6	04-24 05:31
highest temperature in toronto on january 24 neg 11c	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$3	01-25 01:08
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	2	$7	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	02-09 01:27
bad bunny video becomes most viewed sb halftime on youtube in 1st month	2	$7	30	30	+0	No	+$2	02-09 01:34
will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on february 3	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$3	02-03 16:44
will artemis ii launch by february 28	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	+$3	02-03 16:43
will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	2	$6	15	0	+15	Yes	+$9	03-27 04:17
highest temperature in toronto on january 24 neg 9c	5	$5	100	0	+100	No	-$5	01-24 05:37
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$5	62	0	+62	Yes	-$5	10-23 03:06
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$5	22	0	+22	No	-$5	01-24 04:34
will trump say tren de aragua this week march 1	1	$5	10	0	+10	No	+$5	02-22 04:03
trumprx launched by january 31 2026	1	$4	10	0	+10	No	+$6	01-17 22:24
will the number of us flights delayed on march 26 be less than 3000	2	$4	15	0	+15	No	-$4	03-26 07:02
will tom hanks be named in newly released epstein files by march 31	5	$4	600	0	+600	Yes	-$4	01-31 23:27
will la mudanza be played first at the super bowl halftime show	1	$4	50	0	+50	No	-$4	02-03 06:35
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$4	12	0	+12	Yes	+$8	03-25 01:29
no gatorade shower at super bowl lx	3	$4	150	0	+150	No	-$4	02-08 19:06
will anyone be kicked out of trumps state of the union address	2	$4	5	5	+0	Yes	$0	02-12 05:53
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$3	100	0	+100	No	-$3	01-20 05:40
will trump say unaffordable care act this week march 1	1	$3	6	0	+6	Yes	-$3	02-22 04:04
will trump say canada during the state of the union address	1	$3	5	0	+5	No	-$3	02-04 02:02
will trump say american dream during wef address on january 21	1	$3	10	0	+10	Yes	-$3	01-21 03:51
will trump say barack hussein obama this week march 1	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	-$3	02-22 04:03
will leavitt say border or ice 5 times during the next white house press briefing	1	$3	5	0	+5	Yes	+$2	02-16 06:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 00:57:01	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x930106…
11-02 00:56:54	Will Gemini Carbon debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 60% or higher?	No	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x5537d5…
10-23 03:06:05	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xd4784a…
09-23 04:55:52	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 29?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb5a0a6…
09-16 01:43:13	GTA VI released by October 31?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0x4919cd…
09-16 01:39:49	Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcb5823…
08-03 02:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8c2c26…
08-03 02:12:20	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 3?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbc9fa2…
07-27 03:30:22	will trump say state of the art in july 20260629200910959	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7de986…
07-27 03:30:12	will trump say six seven in july 20260629200910972	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xda7ea6…
07-20 05:52:03	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x2aad5f…
07-09 06:36:16	US congress stock trading ban before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3da368…
07-09 06:34:55	Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc7bb95…
06-15 00:55:49	ufc freedom 250 weather delay 20260610012652819	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x6820de…
06-15 00:31:57	will trump say ufc 3 times during ufc 250 20260610182827979	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd0f9e4…
06-01 01:38:08	Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto	Something	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe91e46…
06-01 01:33:45	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6da89a…
06-01 01:32:00	Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe52fef…
05-29 20:33:08	Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	42¢	$11	0x40161c…
05-22 22:45:16	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x1a7ad4…
05-22 22:41:30	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x43c754…
05-22 22:35:14	Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xaae463…
05-22 22:33:38	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x066cc5…
05-13 00:45:06	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x0e0c91…
05-13 00:42:02	Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)	Canadiens	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb4ec11…
05-11 04:00:53	Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x541256…
05-04 01:25:42	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x01ee2c…
05-01 21:23:12	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" at The Villages on May 1?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x4619ee…
05-01 13:00:32	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x9b192b…
05-01 12:49:28	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x892846…
05-01 12:46:12	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x7f7052…
05-01 09:48:12	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0xd1ce3d…
05-01 09:42:28	Will Trump's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0x2537b5…
04-29 02:43:34	James Comey arrested by May 15?	No	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x591af2…
04-29 02:42:50	James Comey charges dropped by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x8a49bb…
04-29 02:39:50	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x8827df…
04-29 02:38:40	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0a21a4…
04-27 08:33:22	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe81faa…
04-27 06:58:24	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe2d82c…
04-27 05:18:14	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x868ebe…
04-27 03:56:42	Will Trump post "Blockade" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3d8f7c…
04-27 03:54:14	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xa3f730…
04-27 03:53:46	Will Trump say "Marble" or "Granite" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8cb478…
04-27 03:40:22	Will "Trump" or "Obama" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x431807…
04-27 03:40:10	Will "Six Seven" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8180fb…
04-27 03:40:00	Will "No No No" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8887d7…
04-26 06:25:06	Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf7c142…
04-26 06:20:44	Will Trump say "Winston" or "Churchill" during King Charles visit?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x790399…
04-26 06:20:02	Will Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x995b81…
04-26 06:18:20	Will Trump post "Hoax" or "Scam" on Truth Social this week?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc3f1e0…
04-24 22:33:14	will metas q1 headcount be above 76000	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xe3291b…
04-24 05:31:40	FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x18fea2…
04-23 03:24:38	Will ICEMAN debut No.1 on Billboard 200?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb6b687…
04-21 07:19:18	will no qualifying event occur on april 21	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x3f1dd4…
04-21 03:31:30	will no qualifying event occur on april 21	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x303b6d…
04-21 02:21:30	will no qualifying event occur on april 21	Yes	BUY	85	2¢	$2	0x4f4d54…
04-20 04:59:58	FDA approves Sanofi’s Subcutaneous Sarclisa?	No	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb2ec7e…
04-20 00:31:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5f49ab…
04-19 22:18:52	will bitcoin dip to 74k on april 19	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8c3c39…
04-19 21:55:58	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd8d601…
04-19 03:24:20	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2d7e5f…
04-19 02:26:16	Kash Patel out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbfa8d2…
04-19 02:06:42	Will Google say "Alphabet" during earnings call?	No	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xcfc33b…
04-18 18:20:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x1b7b5a…
04-17 01:44:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc1e916…
04-16 02:11:50	will trumps remarks not air 493	Yes	BUY	68	3¢	$2	0xf8046e…
04-13 01:54:03	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x712b74…
04-09 00:40:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	334	0¢	$1	0xa7dfea…
04-08 02:24:33	will doly begum win the by election for the seat of scarborough southwest in the house of commons of canada	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xce3be9…
04-08 02:19:53	will danielle martin win the by election for the seat of universityrosedale in the house of commons of canada	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x45e582…
04-08 01:57:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x1325b6…
04-08 01:56:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x81525a…
04-05 20:58:07	highest temperature in toronto on april 6 2026 5c	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xe5509d…
04-05 20:57:49	highest temperature in toronto on april 6 2026 4c	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x993d00…
04-05 20:44:57	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x1da6fa…
03-31 05:17:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x30766d…
03-27 04:17:39	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x00bce2…
03-27 02:55:17	will the dhs shutdown end after march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe613f9…
03-26 07:02:23	will the number of us flights delayed on march 26 be less than 3000	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x503beb…
03-26 02:46:11	will the number of us flights delayed on march 26 be less than 3000	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x70f5eb…
03-26 01:11:45	will nathalie sinclair desgagn win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa42c92…
03-26 01:04:41	will the dhs shutdown last 90 days or more 828 938	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5675d5…
03-26 01:04:37	will the dhs shutdown last 80 days or more 431	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x774e54…
03-26 00:51:01	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfa1557…
03-25 01:54:59	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x38c6b6…
03-25 01:36:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa3666a…
03-25 01:29:17	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x7bf068…
03-23 01:09:29	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xcb0346…
03-22 21:55:55	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xd39522…
03-22 21:04:45	Will Karoline Leavitt be less than 5 minutes late to the next press briefing?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x1bf484…
03-08 16:28:57	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa5cfa6…
02-22 04:19:00	will trump say transgender this week march 1	No	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x5e2616…
02-22 04:04:14	will trump say unaffordable care act this week march 1	No	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x8152b7…
02-22 04:03:48	will trump say tren de aragua this week march 1	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xa3d08e…
02-22 04:03:28	will trump say barack hussein obama this week march 1	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf13b6e…
02-16 06:05:03	will leavitt say border or ice 5 times during the next white house press briefing	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x465144…
02-13 01:40:03	will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 12	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4f6358…
02-12 05:53:09	will anyone be kicked out of trumps state of the union address	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x21978f…
02-12 05:52:57	will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	Yes	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xf9feeb…
02-12 05:50:15	will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 125m and 150m views in its first 7 days	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xaceb5f…