False-Mall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$343

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,352

lifetime

Volume

$444.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$329

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-07 07:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

60% 100% +$50

Politics

40% 50% $-394

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	90	$112.2K	74,874	44,776	+30,098	open	—	03-17 13:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	87	$40.2K	38,593	3,453	+35,140	open	—	04-03 19:33
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	32	$18.6K	11,381	11,381	+0	open	—	03-12 01:16
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$17.0K	18,000	0	+18,000	open	—	01-15 23:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	10	$13.5K	6,990	6,990	+0	open	—	06-21 19:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	24	$11.3K	8,220	8,220	+0	open	—	03-01 06:52
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$10.4K	5,300	5,300	+0	open	—	03-04 16:43
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	14	$9.3K	7,538	7,538	+0	open	—	05-29 17:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	8	$8.0K	3,950	4,650	-700	open	—	06-17 01:21
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	29	$7.2K	4,850	4,500	+350	open	—	03-30 05:44
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	14	$6.9K	4,300	3,800	+500	open	—	03-30 15:31
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	8	$6.8K	3,500	3,500	+0	open	—	05-31 01:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	44	$6.2K	6,450	6,450	+0	open	—	05-12 11:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	21	$5.6K	5,609	5,609	+0	open	—	05-29 21:45
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	9	$5.5K	2,809	2,809	+0	open	—	03-12 01:03
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	14	$4.9K	3,700	3,700	+0	open	—	02-28 08:48
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	12	$4.9K	4,600	815	+3,785	open	—	03-09 00:10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	9	$4.4K	4,700	1,100	+3,600	open	—	05-31 01:56
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	20	$4.1K	3,600	3,300	+300	open	—	04-02 21:37
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	19	$4.1K	4,800	4,500	+300	open	—	04-07 21:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$3.7K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	05-14 21:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$3.6K	6,049	3,000	+3,049	open	—	05-29 16:09
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	33	$3.6K	3,033	3,033	+0	open	—	03-16 12:06
Fed rate hike in 2026?	19	$3.5K	2,795	4,245	-1,450	open	—	08-04 21:23
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	6	$3.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-22 23:13
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	12	$3.3K	4,692	4,600	+92	Yes	$-428	05-05 09:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	11	$3.2K	3,000	2,350	+650	open	—	06-16 12:51
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	8	$3.2K	2,208	2,208	+0	open	—	03-29 15:16
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	1	$2.9K	2,999	0	+2,999	open	—	03-19 09:29
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	22	$2.7K	2,224	1,970	+254	open	—	03-31 08:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 07:07:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	300	44¢	$132	0x33ea89…
08-07 07:07:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	400	88¢	$351	0xf16071…
08-06 16:26:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xd2c8c0…
08-05 20:35:23	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0x450d18…
08-04 21:23:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	295	39¢	$115	0x988413…
08-04 15:48:36	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	300	76¢	$228	0x703a08…
08-04 15:40:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	500	83¢	$415	0xf0400b…
08-03 13:37:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x28eac5…
07-30 21:47:18	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	88¢	$440	0x6ac204…
07-30 09:37:20	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x1b7ff9…
07-30 06:56:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	500	73¢	$365	0x037257…
07-29 18:05:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xde32f8…
07-27 23:23:52	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x521d04…
07-27 23:18:24	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xb76fc8…
07-27 21:57:57	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x5a28f6…
07-27 21:39:55	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x3ff704…
07-27 21:34:51	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xc3ee0f…
07-27 20:53:12	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x35ae03…
07-27 20:08:22	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0x25c453…
07-27 17:32:01	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x715ad5…
07-27 17:05:27	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xf748d3…
07-27 17:02:57	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0xc63241…
07-27 09:41:55	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1,300	96¢	$1,243	0xae6910…
07-25 00:25:48	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	135	90¢	$122	0x75a318…
07-24 10:10:00	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x510979…
07-23 16:54:33	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	333	90¢	$300	0x0ad96c…
07-23 14:14:57	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	103	90¢	$93	0xb6fdb9…
07-23 13:58:39	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	16	90¢	$15	0x674cdf…
07-23 13:35:18	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	71	90¢	$64	0xb5c04e…
07-22 22:28:06	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	SELL	152	94¢	$143	0xafa3b8…
07-22 15:05:42	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	230	97¢	$223	0xa84c80…
07-22 15:04:54	Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	700	98¢	$682	0x83805a…
07-22 04:14:19	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x0c5cfd…
07-22 00:39:01	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x572b23…
07-21 17:13:58	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0xb613e4…
07-20 14:29:01	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	600	1¢	$4	0x3a8481…
07-19 22:48:49	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	200	10¢	$21	0xea73d0…
07-19 22:48:09	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xe00349…
07-17 22:41:36	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0x5bad10…
07-16 07:45:23	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	150	55¢	$82	0x7fc7b8…
07-15 16:51:52	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	500	89¢	$445	0x7dd7f3…
07-15 13:40:14	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x46af40…
07-15 13:39:50	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1fae81…
07-15 10:17:43	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x8df3f9…
07-14 22:16:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	Yes	BUY	500	18¢	$90	0x7f2031…
07-14 21:12:05	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	No	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x5012ad…
07-14 16:34:37	Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0xfc4bb8…
07-14 13:53:11	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	300	48¢	$144	0xbb78d9…
07-14 12:35:34	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x8ffd14…
07-14 12:33:04	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x542b35…
07-14 12:32:49	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	91	45¢	$41	0x4ef2e5…
07-09 23:42:37	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	300	27¢	$81	0xd796ba…
07-08 07:30:41	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	700	50¢	$350	0x836244…
07-08 07:30:20	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	800	50¢	$400	0xc65271…
07-07 19:54:55	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	472	100¢	$471	0x07a58d…
07-07 18:45:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	200	28¢	$56	0x748f19…
07-07 18:35:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	128	30¢	$39	0x0fca96…
07-07 18:34:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	72	31¢	$22	0x462d4e…
07-07 18:26:11	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	72	22¢	$16	0xfe3aca…
07-02 22:09:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	BUY	600	15¢	$90	0xd01aac…
06-30 22:17:10	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x7677cb…
06-26 14:14:27	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	946	48¢	$454	0x6f4579…
06-26 13:48:30	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	54	48¢	$26	0xd210b9…
06-21 19:38:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	No	SELL	4,990	100¢	$4,985	0xcdde8b…
06-21 10:00:53	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0x1b5106…
06-21 09:59:19	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	334	38¢	$127	0xb01cf8…
06-21 06:23:01	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	700	97¢	$680	0x706195…
06-17 18:59:52	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	49¢	$245	0x748024…
06-17 18:48:17	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	500	52¢	$260	0x296d9b…
06-17 18:47:50	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	49¢	$245	0xc0e490…
06-17 01:21:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	2,950	100¢	$2,944	0xf97201…
06-16 12:59:54	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	No	SELL	442	17¢	$75	0x1b8621…
06-16 12:54:21	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	No	SELL	58	17¢	$10	0x5c0b16…
06-16 12:51:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	500	83¢	$415	0xb821ea…
06-16 12:39:28	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	No	SELL	120	16¢	$19	0x1c80a3…
06-16 08:32:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	97¢	$972	0x4ad9dd…
06-16 07:33:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,000	96¢	$963	0xc0d075…
06-16 07:26:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	950	96¢	$917	0xdf731d…
06-16 07:24:42	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	700	87¢	$612	0x0b916c…
06-15 16:45:10	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	No	BUY	500	41¢	$205	0xca5f38…
06-15 13:06:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	500	62¢	$310	0x178352…
06-15 08:01:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	500	71¢	$355	0x9e919d…
06-15 01:22:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	500	63¢	$315	0xb70971…
06-15 01:06:36	will donald trump publicly insult benjamin netanyahu by june 30 2026	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0xbb9679…
06-14 22:16:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	540	77¢	$415	0x72064d…
06-14 22:16:07	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	160	77¢	$124	0x2899b4…
06-14 21:39:09	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by july 31	No	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x6064be…
06-14 21:38:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	SELL	600	2¢	$12	0x4bbad2…
06-14 21:35:54	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	No	SELL	300	51¢	$154	0xd1dc19…
06-14 21:30:31	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	No	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0x583030…
06-14 21:28:18	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	500	63¢	$315	0x3f5607…
06-14 21:21:27	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	SELL	300	17¢	$51	0x64eb37…
06-14 21:18:10	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	SELL	300	92¢	$276	0xadd0b7…
06-14 21:18:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	Yes	BUY	500	77¢	$384	0x439e08…
06-14 21:00:45	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	400	71¢	$284	0x0974ef…
06-14 19:07:04	will iran close its airspace by june 14 20260609184136052	No	BUY	300	61¢	$184	0xf6c57f…
06-14 16:43:54	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x2e5753…
06-14 12:34:03	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	No	SELL	18	52¢	$10	0xe6b17e…
06-14 12:18:45	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xf8a9e4…
06-14 12:18:40	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x7f28ee…