Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$133

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved

102

Trades

192

lifetime

Volume

$2.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$104

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 10-27 14:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 58% +$51

Other

37% 35% -$169

Politics

6% 50% -$18

Tech

3% 100% +$9

Sports

1% 33% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+183	$50	25¢	$46	-$4	10-14 14:08
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+278	$68	16¢	$43	-$25	10-27 14:08
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	-719	-$23	2¢	$-14	+$9	09-25 11:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	5	$195	386	386	+0	open	—	10-02 10:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$130	315	0	+315	No	-$130	04-23 04:35
will bitcoin reach 78k march 2 8	3	$110	713	535	+178	No	+$70	03-04 15:38
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	2	$76	63	63	+0	Yes	+$16	03-17 04:23
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$70	129	0	+129	No	-$70	03-05 18:57
will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	5	$69	277	277	+0	No	+$3	03-16 12:40
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$68	278	0	+278	open	—	10-27 14:08
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$66	43	43	+0	Yes	+$6	07-31 07:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 4	5	$65	77	77	+0	Yes	+$45	03-04 16:53
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	3	$55	46	46	+0	Yes	+$22	03-16 12:39
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	4	$54	199	66	+133	No	-$20	03-20 14:25
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 180 199	2	$53	444	444	+0	No	+$13	03-03 09:07
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	2	$52	182	182	+0	Yes	+$12	03-08 07:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$50	243	0	+243	No	-$50	04-02 15:13
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$50	183	0	+183	open	—	10-14 14:08
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$50	248	0	+248	No	-$50	04-14 15:06
bitcoin above 74k on march 18	2	$50	57	56	+1	No	+$11	03-18 10:47
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 280 299	4	$49	125	125	+0	No	+$19	02-25 13:57
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 340 359	3	$48	174	174	+0	No	+$18	02-26 06:04
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	1	$45	0	100	-100	Yes	-$55	02-28 07:33
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1360 1399	4	$45	173	173	+0	No	+$15	03-26 14:44
highest temperature in nyc on march 3 2026 40 41f	2	$41	66	66	+0	No	+$1	03-02 15:47
will ethereum reach 2200 in march 2026	1	$40	54	0	+54	Yes	+$14	03-05 15:15
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	2	$40	143	68	+75	Yes	+$74	04-08 02:44
north korea missile launch by february 28 534	3	$38	27	27	+0	No	+$4	02-25 14:10
bitcoin above 72k on march 3	2	$37	483	483	+0	No	+$17	03-01 15:24
bitcoin above 70k on march 3	3	$36	152	152	+0	No	+$16	03-01 06:32
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 140 159	3	$34	421	421	+0	No	+$9	03-03 21:24
will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	3	$34	111	111	+0	No	+$14	03-02 15:08
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	2	$30	413	0	+413	open	—	10-21 09:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 14:08:00	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	106	17¢	$18	0x9aa36f…
10-21 09:12:26	Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	301	7¢	$20	0xe1bddb…
10-14 14:08:18	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	183	27¢	$50	0x7bb2e0…
10-14 14:06:00	Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	9¢	$10	0x5067ab…
10-12 12:49:15	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0xfbfb43…
10-02 10:18:14	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	37¢	$28	0xa955c6…
09-25 11:37:23	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	214	36¢	$77	0x1732a0…
09-25 11:37:08	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	345	3¢	$9	0xb20a47…
09-25 11:34:57	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	Yes	SELL	374	4¢	$14	0x90836e…
09-25 11:34:41	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	97	36¢	$35	0xe0c179…
09-24 15:59:02	Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31?	Yes	BUY	106	3¢	$3	0xa5eac8…
09-17 07:55:22	will the senate pass the clarity act by october 31	Yes	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0xff2b48…
09-17 07:46:25	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	10¢	$10	0xed4ae3…
08-05 09:46:45	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	11¢	$15	0x0cd64d…
07-31 07:53:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	43	83¢	$36	0xa5a4c9…
07-30 11:26:47	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	102	12¢	$12	0x42fb76…
07-29 09:59:17	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	16¢	$40	0xb9ca34…
07-21 07:48:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xae608c…
07-17 12:18:28	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 England?	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x623a04…
07-16 09:15:50	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	81	4¢	$3	0xd6ca9d…
07-14 09:01:04	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals fabian ruiz gte1	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6f1f05…
07-11 22:44:01	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2e7bfd…
07-10 19:57:29	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0x965e5f…
07-10 09:25:53	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa67034…
07-09 20:50:07	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x4aa3de…
06-25 20:28:43	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xcee9b8…
06-24 19:09:22	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x6ca3b6…
06-22 16:59:55	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	0¢	$0	0x8a1c85…
06-16 10:30:12	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xa36ed8…
06-15 09:49:13	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0x3078f4…
06-15 09:43:31	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x398207…
06-15 09:40:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?	Yes	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x94c40c…
05-05 10:03:04	Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?	70k	BUY	60	49¢	$29	0xda5aa1…
04-23 04:35:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0x1b05dc…
04-21 20:47:12	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x53357d…
04-14 15:06:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x235d9c…
04-14 13:06:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0x8d5dfc…
04-08 02:44:43	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	Yes	SELL	68	29¢	$20	0xbfec8e…
04-02 19:26:07	will the super mario galaxy movie score at least 45 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	SELL	49	10¢	$5	0x899d3f…
04-02 15:29:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x7e13a3…
04-02 15:27:49	will the super mario galaxy movie score at least 45 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	49	21¢	$10	0xd34aa6…
04-02 15:23:49	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x844163…
04-02 15:13:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0xb9061b…
04-01 07:36:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0x4500a1…
03-26 14:44:25	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1360 1399	Yes	SELL	42	24¢	$10	0xd3db03…
03-20 14:25:05	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x576e8d…
03-20 14:01:49	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1360 1399	Yes	SELL	45	17¢	$8	0x567acf…
03-20 10:43:13	khamenei of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 20 39	Yes	SELL	13	56¢	$7	0x940cc5…
03-18 19:22:07	khamenei of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 20 39	Yes	SELL	26	34¢	$9	0x4eb16f…
03-18 10:47:57	bitcoin above 74k on march 18	No	SELL	56	53¢	$30	0x0fd410…
03-18 09:49:15	bitcoin above 76k on march 18	No	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xba51cd…
03-17 18:52:17	bitcoin above 76k on march 18	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x56c2b3…
03-17 18:51:55	bitcoin above 74k on march 18	No	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xac7057…
03-17 08:34:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xcd04cb…
03-17 04:23:33	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	SELL	63	74¢	$46	0xb76efb…
03-16 13:40:19	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1360 1399	Yes	SELL	86	15¢	$13	0x946899…
03-16 12:40:19	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	69	12¢	$8	0x4d6756…
03-16 12:39:49	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0x791135…
03-16 12:39:25	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	23	83¢	$19	0x2fcddc…
03-16 12:35:33	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	69	12¢	$8	0x4faabe…
03-16 12:34:35	will prince andrew record an interview by march 31	Yes	SELL	46	2¢	$1	0x64c708…
03-16 06:38:37	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	139	14¢	$19	0x79de32…
03-16 06:35:07	will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	23	83¢	$19	0x5defe6…
03-15 19:43:39	khamenei of tweets march 17 march 24 2026 20 39	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x1b8a4f…
03-15 19:42:09	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	SELL	66	25¢	$17	0x401a0d…
03-12 15:25:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x9968f3…
03-12 15:23:29	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0x023230…
03-12 15:18:55	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x837f09…
03-08 20:25:29	sea mil int 2026 03 08 int	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xbee265…
03-08 20:25:15	sea mil int 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xb01cf6…
03-08 07:32:03	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	Yes	SELL	182	18¢	$32	0xe075bb…
03-06 12:35:49	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0x6cf75b…
03-05 18:59:31	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0x806bbf…
03-05 18:57:27	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	62	33¢	$20	0xc7abf7…
03-05 15:20:15	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	BUY	63	48¢	$30	0xa79dbf…
03-05 15:15:19	will ethereum reach 2200 in march 2026	Yes	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0xa86b3d…
03-05 14:30:15	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x6e0868…
03-05 14:30:03	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xd2d2f1…
03-04 20:11:41	will trump cut off trade with spain	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xde8600…
03-04 20:07:43	internet access restored in iran by march 14 2026	Yes	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0xee6e65…
03-04 18:59:17	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 200 219	Yes	SELL	127	13¢	$16	0xf55075…
03-04 16:53:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 4	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x7de72c…
03-04 16:10:21	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 4	Yes	SELL	14	82¢	$12	0x6219d0…
03-04 15:38:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 4	Yes	SELL	29	67¢	$19	0x3fe6d8…
03-04 15:38:21	will bitcoin reach 78k march 2 8	Yes	SELL	178	23¢	$40	0x5750f5…
03-04 14:35:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 4	Yes	SELL	19	49¢	$9	0xfd51d3…
03-04 13:25:05	will bitcoin reach 78k march 2 8	Yes	SELL	357	14¢	$50	0x8cd383…
03-04 08:13:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 4	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xff499e…
03-03 21:24:19	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 140 159	Yes	SELL	123	5¢	$6	0x590398…
03-03 21:23:15	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 140 159	Yes	SELL	298	5¢	$15	0x2b2455…
03-03 21:20:59	Will Elon Musk post 1840-1919 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	476	3¢	$13	0xf2f93c…
03-03 21:15:53	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 260 279	Yes	SELL	116	1¢	$2	0x874581…
03-03 21:15:33	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 320 339	Yes	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0x55b644…
03-03 15:35:57	donald trump of truth social posts february 27 march 6 80 99	Yes	SELL	72	0¢	$0	0xd4d3d1…
03-03 09:11:11	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 140 159	Yes	BUY	421	3¢	$13	0xf21b80…
03-03 09:09:59	will bitcoin reach 78k march 2 8	Yes	BUY	713	3¢	$20	0x2a6bcd…
03-03 09:07:11	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 180 199	Yes	SELL	444	7¢	$33	0xc1823e…
03-02 15:48:15	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	176	12¢	$21	0x36ee1a…
03-02 15:47:41	highest temperature in nyc on march 3 2026 40 41f	Yes	SELL	66	32¢	$21	0x35ac29…
03-02 15:46:29	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	102	12¢	$12	0xf54e17…