Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
72.5%
Resolved
2
Trades
90
lifetime
Volume
$607
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$78
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-09
last 06-15 13:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
47% 50% $-2
Other
31%
Crypto
13%
Sports
6%
Tech
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
40 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No -12 $-10 99¢ $-11 $-1 05-31 04:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No -11 $-10 99¢ $-11 $-1 06-09 17:24
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 90¢ $10 $-0 06-12 19:40
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 84¢ $10 $-0 06-08 10:25
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? Yes -11 $-6 79¢ $-9 $-3 06-12 17:21
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 $-0 06-11 06:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +14 $8 62¢ $9 +$1 06-13 18:24
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 +$0 06-15 13:57
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +4 $4 80¢ $3 $-0 06-06 14:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -1 $-2 80¢ $-1 +$1 06-11 18:50