Criminal-Noun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

96.2%

Resolved

Trades

517

lifetime

Volume

$33.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-22

last 07-22 14:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

83% 100% +$78

Other

16% 0% $-51

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+33	$3	8¢	$3	$-0	07-01 08:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	34	$3.5K	3,369	3,369	+0	open	—	05-30 00:42
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	33	$2.1K	1,282	1,282	+0	open	—	05-29 15:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	14	$1.9K	1,143	1,143	+0	open	—	05-26 22:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-29 17:54
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	9	$1.7K	2,000	1,400	+600	open	—	06-15 03:08
iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	4	$1.4K	749	749	+0	open	—	07-13 08:11
will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by december 31 20260623155722753	4	$1.3K	843	843	+0	open	—	06-24 10:33
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	5	$1.1K	708	708	+0	open	—	06-26 05:06
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	26	$1.1K	772	772	+0	open	—	06-16 23:23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	6	$1.0K	650	650	+0	open	—	06-04 02:50
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	3	$1.0K	600	600	+0	open	—	07-20 10:02
will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	18	$967	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-17 22:24
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	4	$947	500	500	+0	open	—	07-11 07:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	7	$874	800	800	+0	open	—	06-19 20:13
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	15	$750	474	474	+0	open	—	07-04 04:10
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	5	$678	397	397	-0	open	—	06-10 16:32
will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	5	$572	357	357	+0	open	—	06-24 15:35
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	3	$558	300	300	+0	No	+$38	05-12 11:27
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	8	$550	334	334	+0	open	—	05-22 11:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$486	266	266	+0	open	—	05-29 15:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$413	225	225	+0	open	—	05-14 21:49
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$394	200	200	+0	open	—	06-01 03:51
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	2	$390	200	200	+0	open	—	06-06 02:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	9	$384	164	264	-100	open	—	05-29 00:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	3	$375	200	200	+0	open	—	05-22 00:40
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	2	$372	200	200	+0	open	—	06-10 16:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	3	$364	200	200	+0	open	—	05-20 19:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	4	$347	186	186	+0	open	—	05-12 04:41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	1	$337	0	338	-338	open	—	05-31 01:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	4	$302	157	157	+0	No	+$11	05-11 03:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 14:02:13	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0x4d36fd…
07-22 08:46:28	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 24 20260718000915874	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x9fe015…
07-21 19:06:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x431e1d…
07-21 11:37:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	142	15¢	$21	0xd56292…
07-20 10:02:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	600	82¢	$494	0xadf1c4…
07-18 19:47:28	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	No	BUY	100	87¢	$87	0x1589a3…
07-17 11:27:27	will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 17 2026 20260708165455692	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0x5aea07…
07-16 21:46:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x6d2ab4…
07-16 11:42:25	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0x9fb8de…
07-16 11:36:35	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	300	85¢	$255	0xcdcf81…
07-14 15:30:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0x939be8…
07-14 15:12:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	77	40¢	$31	0xbae962…
07-13 21:42:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	42	37¢	$16	0xede5b1…
07-13 08:11:13	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	SELL	749	100¢	$749	0x050061…
07-11 08:00:23	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	39	86¢	$34	0xff5ef0…
07-11 07:59:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x5f868c…
07-11 07:58:44	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	60	86¢	$52	0xec0231…
07-11 07:58:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x19db08…
07-11 07:51:10	iran commits not to attack ships in hormuz by sunday 20260710215434348	No	BUY	650	86¢	$559	0xe92b43…
07-11 07:40:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	400	98¢	$394	0x0fd82b…
07-10 12:47:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x57bef5…
07-08 02:34:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0xe18728…
07-06 22:17:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	500	91¢	$455	0x2ebb74…
07-04 04:10:11	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xaf031c…
07-03 18:05:59	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	200	82¢	$163	0xf1acd2…
07-03 17:57:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	SELL	274	64¢	$176	0xd38355…
07-03 17:52:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0x32ac21…
07-03 17:49:26	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x8d7c69…
07-03 17:49:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x2102ae…
07-03 17:44:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x626670…
07-03 17:29:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x336c0e…
07-03 17:27:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb892f6…
07-03 17:27:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xa8bb3e…
07-03 17:26:50	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0xb75d4f…
07-03 17:24:58	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x584c67…
07-03 17:23:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x2ea23e…
07-03 17:21:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x3adcb3…
07-03 17:21:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	61	79¢	$49	0x21dddc…
07-01 08:04:25	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xa930d0…
06-28 10:34:32	romanian pm bolojan out by july 31 20260623152813387	No	SELL	190	28¢	$53	0xed97a0…
06-27 11:54:59	romanian pm bolojan out by july 31 20260623152813387	No	BUY	190	26¢	$49	0x5a5c79…
06-26 05:06:31	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	483	84¢	$403	0x2127f1…
06-25 04:44:35	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	192	78¢	$149	0xa66125…
06-25 04:41:28	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	291	77¢	$224	0x9a1484…
06-24 15:35:02	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	Yes	SELL	357	94¢	$337	0x2049a8…
06-24 11:28:35	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	226	73¢	$165	0x991407…
06-24 11:20:44	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	Yes	BUY	99	77¢	$76	0x0e2656…
06-24 11:20:31	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x2990b1…
06-24 11:20:23	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	Yes	BUY	88	69¢	$60	0xb1736c…
06-24 10:33:47	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by december 31 20260623155722753	Yes	SELL	843	97¢	$818	0x095119…
06-24 06:14:41	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by december 31 20260623155722753	Yes	BUY	62	74¢	$46	0xbced2f…
06-24 06:12:28	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by december 31 20260623155722753	Yes	BUY	651	54¢	$352	0x16014f…
06-24 06:12:19	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by december 31 20260623155722753	Yes	BUY	130	53¢	$69	0xa1269d…
06-24 06:11:26	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	Yes	BUY	120	53¢	$64	0x9b84aa…
06-24 06:10:04	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	226	68¢	$155	0x62f270…
06-20 20:58:32	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	141	71¢	$100	0x1c8a1c…
06-20 20:34:05	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x999650…
06-20 20:32:01	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x073e4d…
06-20 20:31:28	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	11	61¢	$6	0x07c2ce…
06-20 20:30:23	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	SELL	60	35¢	$21	0x65f74d…
06-20 20:28:35	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x731e87…
06-20 20:28:04	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x39ae73…
06-20 16:09:34	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0xba1112…
06-20 15:00:14	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x131fef…
06-20 14:55:20	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	89¢	$50	0xa8c878…
06-20 14:55:19	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	89¢	$34	0xefedf5…
06-20 07:51:52	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xe42c22…
06-19 20:13:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	600	71¢	$426	0x59a81c…
06-19 19:03:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	113	70¢	$79	0x91f4b8…
06-19 19:03:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	87	70¢	$61	0x53942f…
06-19 06:37:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	44¢	$87	0xea7eac…
06-18 16:23:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0xcb8641…
06-18 15:29:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x227718…
06-18 15:23:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x712bec…
06-18 00:22:46	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	No	BUY	425	1¢	$4	0x550251…
06-17 22:24:50	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	SELL	575	43¢	$249	0x6757ed…
06-17 22:24:40	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	SELL	200	44¢	$88	0x5aee67…
06-17 22:24:07	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	SELL	200	44¢	$88	0x247d1b…
06-17 22:22:46	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x028a9f…
06-17 22:21:46	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x4aa753…
06-17 22:19:31	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x12e8b5…
06-17 22:16:47	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xff2c1c…
06-17 22:16:47	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x070948…
06-17 22:10:04	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	539	53¢	$288	0xdd24ad…
06-17 22:07:49	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	133	53¢	$70	0xb3f0e9…
06-17 22:07:08	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x43926b…
06-17 22:07:01	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xaa8e0c…
06-17 22:06:59	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xa47ed7…
06-17 22:06:55	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x533571…
06-17 22:01:14	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x43be5a…
06-17 21:58:43	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	117	45¢	$53	0xcf6c41…
06-17 21:57:02	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xbc50d1…
06-17 09:10:11	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x6a6b0b…
06-17 08:30:58	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	138	20¢	$28	0x107b52…
06-16 23:23:11	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	772	93¢	$718	0x676fd8…
06-16 23:11:53	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xe85778…
06-16 22:57:31	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xfd6c3d…
06-16 22:00:29	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	BUY	37	63¢	$23	0x944b2f…
06-16 21:02:41	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	600	1¢	$4	0xa28bb4…
06-16 17:20:50	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xcffa88…