Criminal-Noun — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$26

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

96.2%

Resolved

Trades

479

lifetime

Volume

$28.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-22

last 07-01 08:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

85% 100% +$78

Other

14% 0% $-51

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

55 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+33	$3	11¢	$4	+$1	07-01 08:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	34	$3.5K	3,369	3,369	+0	open	—	05-30 00:42
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	33	$2.1K	1,282	1,282	+0	open	—	05-29 15:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	14	$1.9K	1,143	1,143	+0	open	—	05-26 22:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	12	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-29 17:54
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	9	$1.7K	2,000	1,400	+600	open	—	06-15 03:08
will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by december 31 20260623155722753	4	$1.3K	843	843	+0	open	—	06-24 10:33
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	5	$1.1K	708	708	+0	open	—	06-26 05:06
will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	26	$1.1K	772	772	+0	open	—	06-16 23:23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	6	$1.0K	650	650	+0	open	—	06-04 02:50
will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	18	$967	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-17 22:24
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	7	$874	800	800	+0	open	—	06-19 20:13
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	5	$678	397	397	-0	open	—	06-10 16:32
will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	5	$572	357	357	+0	open	—	06-24 15:35
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	3	$558	300	300	+0	No	+$38	05-12 11:27
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	8	$550	334	334	+0	open	—	05-22 11:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$486	266	266	+0	open	—	05-29 15:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$413	225	225	+0	open	—	05-14 21:49
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$394	200	200	+0	open	—	06-01 03:51
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	2	$390	200	200	+0	open	—	06-06 02:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	9	$384	164	264	-100	open	—	05-29 00:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	3	$375	200	200	+0	open	—	05-22 00:40
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 12 20260607232556274	2	$372	200	200	+0	open	—	06-10 16:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	3	$364	200	200	+0	open	—	05-20 19:04
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	4	$347	186	186	+0	open	—	05-12 04:41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	1	$337	0	338	-338	open	—	05-31 01:10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	4	$302	157	157	+0	No	+$11	05-11 03:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	2	$278	300	0	+300	open	—	05-22 15:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	7	$243	152	152	+0	open	—	04-26 06:56
starmer out by june 22 2026	7	$237	201	201	+0	open	—	06-20 20:58
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	6	$226	116	116	+0	No	+$6	05-09 03:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 08:04:25	Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xa930d0…
06-28 10:34:32	romanian pm bolojan out by july 31 20260623152813387	No	SELL	190	28¢	$53	0xed97a0…
06-27 11:54:59	romanian pm bolojan out by july 31 20260623152813387	No	BUY	190	26¢	$49	0x5a5c79…
06-26 05:06:31	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	483	84¢	$403	0x2127f1…
06-25 04:44:35	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	192	78¢	$149	0xa66125…
06-25 04:41:28	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	291	77¢	$224	0x9a1484…
06-24 15:35:02	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	Yes	SELL	357	94¢	$337	0x2049a8…
06-24 11:28:35	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	226	73¢	$165	0x991407…
06-24 11:20:44	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	Yes	BUY	99	77¢	$76	0x0e2656…
06-24 11:20:31	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x2990b1…
06-24 11:20:23	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	Yes	BUY	88	69¢	$60	0xb1736c…
06-24 10:33:47	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by december 31 20260623155722753	Yes	SELL	843	97¢	$818	0x095119…
06-24 06:14:41	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by december 31 20260623155722753	Yes	BUY	62	74¢	$46	0xbced2f…
06-24 06:12:28	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by december 31 20260623155722753	Yes	BUY	651	54¢	$352	0x16014f…
06-24 06:12:19	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by december 31 20260623155722753	Yes	BUY	130	53¢	$69	0xa1269d…
06-24 06:11:26	will the next prime minister of romania be appointed by july 31 20260623155722752	Yes	BUY	120	53¢	$64	0x9b84aa…
06-24 06:10:04	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	BUY	226	68¢	$155	0x62f270…
06-20 20:58:32	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	141	71¢	$100	0x1c8a1c…
06-20 20:34:05	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x999650…
06-20 20:32:01	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x073e4d…
06-20 20:31:28	starmer out by june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	11	61¢	$6	0x07c2ce…
06-20 20:30:23	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	SELL	60	35¢	$21	0x65f74d…
06-20 20:28:35	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x731e87…
06-20 20:28:04	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x39ae73…
06-20 16:09:34	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0xba1112…
06-20 15:00:14	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x131fef…
06-20 14:55:20	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	56	89¢	$50	0xa8c878…
06-20 14:55:19	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	89¢	$34	0xefedf5…
06-20 07:51:52	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xe42c22…
06-19 20:13:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	600	71¢	$426	0x59a81c…
06-19 19:03:38	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	113	70¢	$79	0x91f4b8…
06-19 19:03:29	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	87	70¢	$61	0x53942f…
06-19 06:37:37	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	44¢	$87	0xea7eac…
06-18 16:23:59	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0xcb8641…
06-18 15:29:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0x227718…
06-18 15:23:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x712bec…
06-18 00:22:46	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 19 2026 20260615222831704	No	BUY	425	1¢	$4	0x550251…
06-17 22:24:50	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	SELL	575	43¢	$249	0x6757ed…
06-17 22:24:40	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	SELL	200	44¢	$88	0x5aee67…
06-17 22:24:07	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	SELL	200	44¢	$88	0x247d1b…
06-17 22:22:46	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x028a9f…
06-17 22:21:46	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x4aa753…
06-17 22:19:31	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x12e8b5…
06-17 22:16:47	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xff2c1c…
06-17 22:16:47	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x070948…
06-17 22:10:04	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	539	53¢	$288	0xdd24ad…
06-17 22:07:49	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	133	53¢	$70	0xb3f0e9…
06-17 22:07:08	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x43926b…
06-17 22:07:01	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xaa8e0c…
06-17 22:06:59	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xa47ed7…
06-17 22:06:55	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x533571…
06-17 22:01:14	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x43be5a…
06-17 21:58:43	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	117	45¢	$53	0xcf6c41…
06-17 21:57:02	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xbc50d1…
06-17 09:10:11	will the us iran deal be physically signed by june 30 20260615222831705	Yes	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x6a6b0b…
06-17 08:30:58	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	SELL	138	20¢	$28	0x107b52…
06-16 23:23:11	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	772	93¢	$718	0x676fd8…
06-16 23:11:53	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xe85778…
06-16 22:57:31	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xfd6c3d…
06-16 22:00:29	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	BUY	37	63¢	$23	0x944b2f…
06-16 21:02:41	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	600	1¢	$4	0xa28bb4…
06-16 17:20:50	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xcffa88…
06-16 17:19:14	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x7e7bd5…
06-16 17:19:08	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0x26e383…
06-16 17:15:55	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x83c2dd…
06-16 17:15:43	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xd09c2e…
06-16 17:15:35	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	44	46¢	$20	0x04b27b…
06-16 17:15:08	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	64	45¢	$29	0xdfa095…
06-16 17:12:16	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x97df97…
06-16 17:12:10	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	116	47¢	$54	0xad2a2e…
06-16 17:09:50	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xbef752…
06-16 17:09:43	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x20644c…
06-16 17:09:22	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x5d2f0a…
06-16 17:08:04	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0x5c9c0b…
06-16 17:07:19	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xfa81a8…
06-16 17:02:38	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xa399c7…
06-16 16:59:04	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x953472…
06-16 16:56:47	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x631a2c…
06-16 16:56:11	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x3aa714…
06-16 16:55:49	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x49fc25…
06-16 16:55:22	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4e8bfe…
06-16 16:54:02	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x1dba1a…
06-16 16:41:17	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	55	54¢	$30	0x620ae2…
06-16 16:40:47	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0xb908bf…
06-16 15:06:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0x180ab5…
06-16 15:02:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xb7bd0e…
06-16 15:00:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x8b320f…
06-16 12:23:33	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xbf9616…
06-16 11:53:18	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0d7e6a…
06-16 10:30:22	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 17 20260615191216216	No	BUY	80	64¢	$51	0xd65aa6…
06-16 09:55:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x1b4aaf…
06-15 20:54:34	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by june 15 20260613202440142	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x2eb61d…
06-15 14:54:09	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by june 15 20260613202440142	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x70b5a1…
06-15 11:41:06	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	79	45¢	$36	0x8d8ee9…
06-15 03:23:16	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x870df5…
06-15 03:21:31	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x560f28…
06-15 03:21:16	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0x4869e1…
06-15 03:08:09	will jd vance sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950068	Yes	SELL	65	76¢	$50	0x5edeae…
06-15 03:08:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	825	0¢	$3	0xcdc607…
06-15 03:07:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	175	0¢	$1	0xe00a54…