Zesty-Trash — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.43K

Unrealized P&L

+$715

Hit rate

72.3%

Resolved

1,684

Trades

10,297

lifetime

Volume

$1.29M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$125

Open exposure

$1.88K

4 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 10-27 03:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

63% 44% -$6,328

Politics

28% 100% +$1,555

Sports

4% 45% -$1,232

Tech

3% 100% +$73

Crypto

2% 71% -$503

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026?	No	+1,941	$1,684	95¢	$1.8K	+$159	06-22 22:07
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	-41	-$584	94¢	$-39	+$545	10-25 10:22
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	+0	-$10	98¢	$0	+$10	05-26 15:24
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	+0	$0	74¢	$0	+$0	07-10 06:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	312	$79.8K	42,034	42,918	-884	No	+$306	06-01 06:15
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	318	$66.4K	34,131	34,702	-571	No	+$144	06-01 01:34
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	229	$39.3K	20,257	20,657	-400	No	+$24	05-27 10:10
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	118	$31.8K	14,769	17,925	-3,156	No	-$5	05-30 08:58
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	318	$29.0K	16,082	13,556	+2,526	Yes	+$49	05-29 03:58
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	80	$28.8K	16,230	16,230	+0	No	+$246	05-26 21:51
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	94	$27.0K	15,263	14,863	+400	No	+$308	05-23 18:51
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	174	$26.2K	18,831	18,831	+0	No	+$288	05-27 16:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	54	$21.1K	11,226	10,026	+1,200	No	+$31	05-29 21:42
will openais valuation hit high 1pt0t by december 31 846 461	88	$19.2K	10,865	11,830	-966	Yes	+$49	09-05 20:07
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	176	$18.5K	9,476	9,267	+210	No	+$13	05-30 05:23
will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	123	$18.3K	11,220	9,131	+2,089	Yes	+$368	07-09 17:12
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	89	$17.4K	11,609	7,884	+3,726	Yes	+$449	08-13 06:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	53	$16.2K	8,286	8,286	+0	No	+$11	05-22 20:56
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	52	$15.8K	8,122	8,122	+0	No	+$11	05-26 14:37
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	109	$13.1K	7,255	7,155	+100	Yes	+$106	05-22 06:53
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	42	$13.0K	7,465	7,465	+0	open	—	10-23 17:36
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	73	$12.3K	6,621	6,621	+0	open	—	05-26 15:24
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	46	$11.9K	6,400	6,400	+0	Yes	+$67	06-08 18:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	20	$9.7K	5,400	5,400	+0	No	+$50	05-28 04:43
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	33	$9.3K	4,784	4,784	+0	No	+$5	05-21 02:53
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	110	$9.2K	5,588	5,629	-41	open	—	10-25 10:22
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	35	$7.8K	4,124	4,124	+0	No	+$5	05-28 12:14
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	23	$7.0K	3,685	3,522	+163	Yes	+$12	05-29 17:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	12	$6.7K	3,400	3,400	+0	No	+$4	05-27 10:55
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 225,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	34	$6.6K	3,386	3,386	+0	Yes	+$17	05-21 03:08
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?	33	$6.5K	3,335	3,335	+0	Yes	+$8	05-19 17:50
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	89	$6.5K	3,277	3,273	+4	Yes	+$16	05-31 16:10
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?	20	$5.6K	3,120	3,120	+0	Yes	+$38	05-27 17:00
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	45	$4.9K	2,445	2,445	+0	Yes	+$5	05-22 15:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:20:15	JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	No	SELL	111	96¢	$106	0x138a4c…
10-25 23:47:33	JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x38baf2…
10-25 10:22:14	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	156	95¢	$148	0x9d0d29…
10-24 19:10:32	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	121	95¢	$115	0x59a7d9…
10-24 16:29:57	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	2,645	95¢	$2,513	0x5facce…
10-24 04:18:09	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x5e9efd…
10-23 17:36:59	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	1,459	94¢	$1,372	0x390019…
10-23 00:50:50	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x333f8b…
10-23 00:17:32	Will the Labor Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2d2cc2…
10-23 00:12:27	Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	SELL	154	100¢	$154	0xfbc993…
10-22 23:53:54	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	81	93¢	$75	0x14ae40…
09-20 23:27:49	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x2fdbba…
09-14 21:07:01	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	165	93¢	$154	0x7ac3cd…
09-10 16:49:49	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	40	91¢	$37	0xb3fe20…
09-05 20:07:19	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4,770	85¢	$4,054	0xd93fac…
09-05 09:46:10	JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x8fb09e…
09-03 03:13:21	JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x22dee5…
09-03 01:06:28	JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x42395b…
09-02 10:07:15	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	200	85¢	$170	0x09e752…
09-01 21:17:48	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x52d3e0…
09-01 21:17:46	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	40	92¢	$37	0x2371a1…
09-01 20:27:39	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	30	85¢	$26	0xd388da…
08-25 21:35:16	Will the Labor Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x209af2…
08-25 19:35:15	JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$0	0xea8706…
08-25 19:35:06	JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	No	SELL	200	95¢	$190	0xf0a9b6…
08-24 18:43:25	JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x794cc6…
08-24 11:01:18	JD Vance out as VP by December 31?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xe099a9…
08-24 00:50:28	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x001d96…
08-23 03:50:27	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	BUY	45	92¢	$42	0x686dd6…
08-22 20:06:30	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x0b8cae…
08-21 04:37:34	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	BUY	97	81¢	$79	0xba6e05…
08-21 02:07:13	Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xeb1b3e…
08-21 02:07:07	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	BUY	60	85¢	$51	0x8fb48e…
08-21 02:04:09	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	BUY	70	85¢	$59	0x2f7b8a…
08-21 01:57:15	Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xb225f2…
08-21 01:57:04	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0x2fa5c8…
08-21 01:48:46	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x086fc3…
08-21 01:48:45	Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x73d1c3…
08-21 00:16:01	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x826a4d…
08-19 17:51:39	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xda82df…
08-17 01:11:10	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	47	95¢	$45	0x5f1529…
08-15 21:52:27	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0xdbb164…
08-14 09:00:13	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	77	95¢	$73	0xef4f7b…
08-13 06:54:31	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	259	93¢	$241	0xd94771…
08-13 04:45:13	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	SELL	53	94¢	$50	0xcc2262…
08-13 04:30:33	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x53c5c3…
08-13 04:30:31	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x71d876…
08-13 04:30:28	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	SELL	1,303	94¢	$1,225	0x1dfa34…
08-13 02:19:46	will anthropics valuation hit high 3pt0t by december 31	Yes	SELL	1,474	22¢	$324	0xf789c4…
08-13 02:14:30	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	SELL	9,983	6¢	$599	0x8e6f6a…
08-12 16:09:09	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xd1851a…
08-11 20:12:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	82	89¢	$73	0x5bf351…
08-11 14:11:40	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0x9cf24b…
08-10 11:57:01	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	3,000	89¢	$2,670	0xbcefdc…
08-08 09:28:10	Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x1a4d76…
08-07 02:07:54	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xd4155e…
08-04 09:29:26	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	SELL	103	95¢	$98	0x61a2ad…
07-31 16:24:56	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x109f5c…
07-31 13:34:14	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x502877…
07-31 03:44:21	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0x804651…
07-27 22:14:45	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xc2b1a9…
07-27 22:11:27	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	BUY	66	98¢	$64	0x70d687…
07-19 21:53:07	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0xbb8043…
07-17 18:30:15	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	62	91¢	$56	0x7bc9c6…
07-13 19:04:35	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x5db23d…
07-12 14:31:10	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x043f08…
07-11 12:42:26	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	SELL	158	93¢	$147	0x4459d2…
07-10 06:31:10	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	SELL	1,108	42¢	$465	0xd83793…
07-10 06:30:47	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	SELL	131	42¢	$55	0x7431db…
07-10 06:30:46	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	SELL	1,026	42¢	$431	0x9233de…
07-09 17:12:31	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	BUY	400	89¢	$356	0xc02396…
07-09 17:05:38	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	BUY	400	90¢	$360	0x3b34f0…
07-08 22:17:46	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	BUY	149	92¢	$137	0x4188ff…
07-08 20:18:32	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	BUY	400	93¢	$372	0xbe627d…
07-08 17:00:49	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	BUY	400	94¢	$376	0x27473f…
07-08 10:27:16	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	490	90¢	$441	0x9d23e8…
07-07 21:48:20	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	SELL	293	92¢	$270	0x272aae…
07-07 21:43:43	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	SELL	2,609	92¢	$2,400	0xbf8310…
07-07 18:36:35	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	SELL	1,087	92¢	$1,000	0xe200eb…
07-07 18:28:14	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	SELL	62	92¢	$58	0x4a4de7…
07-07 17:03:19	will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xbedf33…
07-07 08:06:46	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6459e5…
07-07 08:06:29	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf199af…
07-07 08:06:04	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd6eec7…
07-07 08:05:55	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe78bbf…
07-07 08:05:52	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x088652…
07-07 08:05:40	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbf0165…
07-07 08:05:40	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7ff7b9…
07-07 08:05:22	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf21db1…
07-07 08:05:22	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x43ec4f…
07-06 23:15:50	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xff4e42…
07-05 17:07:32	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt25t by december 31 429	Yes	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0x670c8a…
07-05 15:18:50	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0xc97905…
07-05 15:18:44	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	BUY	44	98¢	$43	0xdc73ff…
07-05 15:18:44	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x304988…
07-04 20:45:34	Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x80c681…
07-04 20:43:08	Will the Labor Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x62373e…
07-04 02:39:20	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	No	BUY	23	95¢	$22	0x380559…
07-03 18:43:23	Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xdef785…
07-03 18:39:35	will openais valuation hit high 900b by december 31 942 235	Yes	SELL	347	91¢	$316	0x03181d…