Realistic-Payoff 0x88fe0c…02f516
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.50K
Unrealized P&L
-$54
Hit rate
21.4%
Resolved
6
Trades
104
lifetime
Volume
$32.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$309
Open exposure
$666
3 positions
First seen
2026-01-29
last 07-03 01:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
51% 100% +$102
Politics
23% 0% $-515
Pop-Culture
17% — —
Sports
5% 0% $-1,089
Crypto
2% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +2,941 $500 15¢ $426 $-74 06-29 21:21
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? Yes +857 $120 20¢ $167 +$47 06-29 21:28
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? Yes +227 $100 32¢ $73 $-27 06-20 11:08