Realized P&L
-$29.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.47K
Hit rate
75.0%
Resolved
392
Trades
6,062
lifetime
Volume
$1.37M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$227
Open exposure
$64.6K
26 positions
First seen
2026-03-07
last 10-26 17:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 110 days
Categories
Other
64% 66% -$20,340
Politics
34% 73% -$11,116
Crypto
1% 79% +$2,224
Sports
1% 54% -$944
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$680
Tech
0% 100% +$121
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -37,159 -$34,505 82¢ $-30656 +$3,849 10-16 01:42
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 Yes +16,350 $13,795 94¢ $15.5K +$1,656 10-15 16:24
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3,000 $2,760 92¢ $2.7K -$15 10-26 17:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +2,000 $1,860 100¢ $2.0K +$130 10-01 16:25
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,400 $924 92¢ $1.3K +$357 07-13 00:25
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +1,400 $622 87¢ $1.2K +$596 08-07 21:15
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +1,247 $894 89¢ $1.1K +$215 07-29 05:05
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +1,000 $930 100¢ $1000 +$70 10-23 14:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? No +1,000 $947 99¢ $986 +$39 10-21 22:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +866 $726 94¢ $810 +$84 10-15 14:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +813 $732 99¢ $802 +$70 10-02 03:09
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +800 $634 96¢ $764 +$130 07-16 18:30
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +800 $444 95¢ $764 +$320 08-06 16:00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +800 $714 94¢ $748 +$34 07-19 21:49
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +733 $609 98¢ $721 +$113 10-13 15:58
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +700 $676 99¢ $693 +$17 10-26 16:54
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +719 $537 86¢ $615 +$78 07-21 19:11
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +581 $498 85¢ $494 -$4 10-26 02:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +400 $364 100¢ $400 +$36 10-19 15:50
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +437 $328 86¢ $378 +$50 07-21 18:41
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +300 $258 84¢ $254 -$4 10-08 11:40
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,500 $190 16¢ $241 +$50 07-02 12:03
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +1,000 $642 20¢ $200 -$442 05-04 17:54
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +200 $160 96¢ $191 +$31 08-06 09:31
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -447 -$72 14¢ $-60 +$11 06-21 06:23
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +40 $35 95¢ $38 +$3 06-30 23:11