Realized P&L
-$29.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.16K
Hit rate
75.1%
Resolved
395
Trades
6,067
lifetime
Volume
$1.38M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$227
Open exposure
$68.3K
24 positions
First seen
2026-03-07
last 10-29 04:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 112 days
Categories
Other
64% 66% -$20,293
Politics
34% 74% -$11,010
Crypto
1% 79% +$2,224
Sports
1% 54% -$944
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$680
Tech
0% 100% +$121
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
45 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -37,159 -$34,505 82¢ $-30656 +$3,849 10-16 01:42
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +20,097 $17,364 98¢ $19.6K +$2,230 10-29 04:20
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3,000 $2,760 94¢ $2.8K +$45 10-26 17:34
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? No +2,000 $1,860 100¢ $2.0K +$133 10-01 16:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +1,471 $1,440 100¢ $1.5K +$31 10-27 17:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1,400 $924 90¢ $1.3K +$343 07-13 00:25
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 No +1,400 $622 88¢ $1.2K +$603 08-07 21:15
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +1,247 $894 91¢ $1.1K +$240 07-29 05:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? No +1,000 $947 100¢ $995 +$48 10-21 22:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +866 $726 99¢ $857 +$131 10-15 14:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? No +813 $732 100¢ $812 +$80 10-02 03:09
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 No +800 $444 98¢ $788 +$344 08-06 16:00
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +800 $714 96¢ $764 +$50 07-19 21:49
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +800 $634 94¢ $756 +$122 07-16 18:30
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +733 $609 99¢ $724 +$115 10-13 15:58
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +719 $537 86¢ $619 +$82 07-21 19:11
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +581 $498 88¢ $509 +$10 10-26 02:53
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +437 $328 86¢ $378 +$50 07-21 18:41
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +300 $258 86¢ $258 +$0 10-08 11:40
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,500 $190 16¢ $241 +$50 07-02 12:03
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes +1,000 $642 20¢ $195 -$447 05-04 17:54
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +200 $160 96¢ $193 +$33 08-06 09:31
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -447 -$72 14¢ $-60 +$11 06-21 06:23
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +40 $35 93¢ $37 +$2 06-30 23:11