Homely-Amenity 0x0b644e…3549bd
whale hot 9W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$4.13K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.84K
Hit rate
93.1%
Resolved
62
Trades
1,176
lifetime
Volume
$735.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$626
Open exposure
$96.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 11:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
70% 72% +$3,329
Politics
26% 78% -$483
Tech
4% 100% +$147
Crypto
0% 100% +$638
Sports
0% 100% +$500
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +19,569 $19,016 98¢ $19.1K +$93 10-29 06:50
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +12,658 $12,291 98¢ $12.4K +$82 10-29 03:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -12,818 -$15,164 96¢ $-12325 +$2,840 09-18 20:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -11,177 -$8,815 82¢ $-9221 -$406 10-29 09:08
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -6,229 -$5,882 92¢ $-5712 +$170 10-27 16:51
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -5,120 -$4,920 96¢ $-4890 +$31 10-26 21:19
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +5,400 $2,975 78¢ $4.2K +$1,264 09-28 15:44
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? No +3,600 $3,420 94¢ $3.4K -$25 09-05 09:40
Clavicular sentenced to prison? No +3,400 $3,056 94¢ $3.2K +$157 09-22 01:30
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +3,600 $2,056 82¢ $3.0K +$896 09-25 18:31
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +2,618 $1,850 94¢ $2.5K +$624 10-28 13:07
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -3,000 -$2,310 78¢ $-2325 -$15 10-27 18:11
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -2,200 -$2,068 96¢ $-2101 -$33 10-05 18:53
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? No -2,250 -$2,040 92¢ $-2058 -$19 10-28 04:20
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -2,000 -$1,912 96¢ $-1920 -$8 10-26 20:35
US recession by end of 2026? No -2,000 -$1,840 94¢ $-1890 -$50 10-27 03:06
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -1,487 -$1,445 98¢ $-1452 -$7 10-26 21:28
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1,311 -$1,061 82¢ $-1073 -$12 10-27 18:02
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +1,000 $540 80¢ $795 +$255 09-17 14:14
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,834 $670 36¢ $670 -$1 10-29 12:22
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? No +500 $444 94¢ $470 +$26 07-07 19:24
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,500 $450 30¢ $442 -$8 10-29 03:29
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes +700 $455 63¢ $438 -$17 10-28 04:45
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,500 $331 24¢ $355 +$23 10-29 09:49
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $330 32¢ $315 -$15 10-27 12:28
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +1,000 $340 32¢ $315 -$25 10-27 03:48
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,500 $165 10¢ $150 -$15 10-29 09:49
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +163 $60 37¢ $60 $0 10-28 04:59
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $25 2¢ $24 -$2 10-28 05:13
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 -$30 73¢ $0 +$30 10-28 05:57