Realized P&L
+$230
Unrealized P&L
-$125
Hit rate
64.6%
Resolved
135
Trades
515
lifetime
Volume
$29.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$57
Open exposure
$2.02K
18 positions
First seen
2026-06-02
last 10-29 17:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Other
52% 25% -$159
Politics
20% 50% -$681
Crypto
15% 50% +$227
Sports
11% 50% +$821
Tech
2% 67% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +820 $616 82¢ $676 +$61 10-26 18:43
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +405 $150 52¢ $213 +$63 08-04 15:25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +300 $216 58¢ $176 -$40 10-26 19:50
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +170 $105 94¢ $161 +$55 07-26 08:24
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +200 $142 74¢ $149 +$7 10-27 01:06
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +400 $228 29¢ $114 -$114 07-03 05:31
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? No +200 $122 55¢ $111 -$12 10-28 22:35
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +100 $90 94¢ $94 +$4 10-16 05:42
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +100 $74 86¢ $86 +$12 10-26 23:43
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +500 $101 16¢ $80 -$21 06-30 16:24
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +100 $50 46¢ $46 -$4 08-12 17:33
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +700 $112 6¢ $38 -$73 06-20 22:07
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +320 $77 12¢ $37 -$40 10-04 23:30
us government removes public access to a major chinese ai model in 2026 20260703203328223 Yes +100 $25 16¢ $16 -$9 07-26 11:22
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 Yes +90 $45 14¢ $12 -$33 08-04 20:21
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +100 $22 12¢ $12 -$10 08-07 20:05
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? Yes +100 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 08-09 12:56
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 -$31 16¢ $1 +$32 07-30 10:16