Realized P&L
+$55.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$25.4K
Hit rate
70.6%
Resolved
95
Trades
3,067
lifetime
Volume
$1.38M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$449
Open exposure
$243.5K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-25 21:03
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Other
52% 65% +$13,762
Politics
48% 78% +$41,790
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
58 active days in 12wk • peak 89 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -38,632 -$37,208 98¢ $-37685 -$477 09-09 18:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +39,341 $26,192 90¢ $35.2K +$9,018 09-25 16:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +27,230 $23,063 100¢ $27.2K +$4,139 09-22 10:04
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +21,487 $14,325 92¢ $19.7K +$5,336 08-06 15:18
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +27,500 $19,875 57¢ $15.8K -$4,062 10-22 11:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +18,816 $13,288 82¢ $15.5K +$2,235 10-05 21:23
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +19,000 $15,490 73¢ $13.9K -$1,620 10-15 06:57
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +16,350 $10,548 76¢ $12.5K +$1,959 10-02 10:18
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117 No +14,200 $11,272 86¢ $12.3K +$1,011 08-18 08:00
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +12,098 $10,268 94¢ $11.4K +$1,165 07-15 18:42
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +11,500 $10,025 94¢ $10.8K +$727 09-07 05:28
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +12,000 $5,520 72¢ $8.6K +$3,060 08-06 16:08
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +11,985 $6,246 70¢ $8.4K +$2,203 10-09 02:50
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +8,904 $4,007 70¢ $6.3K +$2,271 08-10 07:23
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +18,750 $2,144 15¢ $2.9K +$753 07-11 02:29
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +25,298 $2,384 10¢ $2.4K +$32 08-17 21:24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +2,960 $2,284 53¢ $1.6K -$715 08-28 18:44
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +750 $600 99¢ $740 +$140 10-15 12:39
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? Yes +400 $314 94¢ $376 +$62 10-17 23:11
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +200 $160 86¢ $171 +$11 08-12 09:10
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +100 $87 72¢ $72 -$14 10-03 20:56
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +0 $1,802 11¢ $0 -$1,802 07-07 13:40