Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$838
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,597
lifetime
Volume
$739.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$463
Open exposure
$52.5K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-20 13:10
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
52%
Politics
48%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +23,700 $17,134 70¢ $16.7K $-426 07-20 00:59
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +11,998 $10,188 86¢ $10.3K +$71 07-15 18:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +17,880 $7,438 50¢ $9.0K +$1,591 07-19 20:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +13,487 $8,585 66¢ $9.0K +$384 07-19 16:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +6,450 $4,213 99¢ $6.4K +$2,169 07-07 10:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2,250 $3,174 50¢ $1.1K $-2,061 07-07 13:40
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +10 $4 41¢ $4 +$0 07-19 21:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -127 $888 $-1 $-890 06-20 14:11