Fatal-Destination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$137

Unrealized P&L

-$4.82K

Hit rate

86.1%

Resolved

218

Trades

1,236

lifetime

Volume

$136.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

$693

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-14 22:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 86 days

Categories

Politics

43% 60% +$94

Other

36% 53% +$30

Sports

21% 80% -$262

Crypto

0% 54% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes		+21,000	$5,517	3¢	$693	-$4,824	10-14 22:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	57	$18.1K	10,400	9,400	+1,000	No	+$356	06-19 16:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	62	$17.0K	8,551	8,551	+0	No	+$51	05-24 05:02
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	160	$10.1K	51,825	30,825	+21,000	open	—	10-14 22:53
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	14	$8.2K	4,115	4,115	+0	No	+$15	05-15 06:37
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	35	$7.4K	8,210	2,210	+6,000	Knicks	-$1,239	05-20 02:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	33	$6.6K	3,507	3,507	+0	No	+$45	05-27 02:05
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	4	$6.2K	6,200	0	+6,200	Yes	+$18	06-21 16:33
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	22	$6.0K	4,795	4,367	+427	Invictus Gaming	+$154	05-09 10:15
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	19	$5.6K	3,828	2,000	+1,828	No	+$222	05-31 03:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	25	$4.7K	3,370	3,370	+0	Yes	-$98	05-20 18:10
Thunder vs. Lakers	23	$3.4K	3,282	224	+3,058	Thunder	+$79	05-10 02:41
lol al blg 2026 06 08 game3	9	$3.0K	1,510	1,510	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$57	06-08 11:59
lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game1	23	$2.4K	1,260	1,260	+0	Bilibili Gaming	+$73	06-06 09:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$2.3K	1,400	1,400	+0	No	+$90	05-29 15:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	29	$2.1K	20,950	950	+20,000	Yes	-$652	06-18 00:16
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	3	$2.0K	1,046	1,046	+0	Spurs	+$30	05-09 04:27
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	25	$2.0K	1,040	1,000	+40	Pistons	+$28	05-16 01:38
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?	8	$1.9K	1,916	0	+1,916	Yes	+$17	05-13 06:33
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	23	$1.9K	1,014	1,014	+0	No	+$105	07-23 03:54
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	11	$1.8K	1,151	1,151	+0	No	+$61	06-16 14:17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	38	$1.8K	4,200	4,200	+0	open	—	09-22 11:40
Spurs vs. Thunder	20	$1.5K	1,150	1,000	+150	Thunder	+$18	05-21 02:58
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	13	$1.5K	1,170	1,170	+0	No	+$59	06-11 03:35
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	39	$1.3K	1,610	1,110	+500	No	-$351	06-10 00:18
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	18	$1.1K	1,110	1,110	+0	Yes	+$232	06-05 01:03
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	18	$1.1K	1,255	20	+1,235	Spurs	+$113	05-16 03:41
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	2	$1.1K	500	600	-100	Pistons	+$6	05-16 01:38
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$991	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$9	05-11 12:24
Thunder vs. Spurs	15	$925	1,160	1,040	+120	Thunder	+$38	05-23 03:18
Thunder vs. Lakers	3	$920	1,000	0	+1,000	Thunder	+$80	05-12 04:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-14 22:53:46	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,168	8¢	$493	0x3e0c8f…
10-14 21:42:10	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	226	8¢	$18	0xc47a96…
10-14 19:12:27	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x515961…
10-14 18:33:16	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xdb57d3…
10-14 18:32:34	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	853	8¢	$68	0x355ca0…
10-14 18:30:46	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	8¢	$48	0xa250fe…
10-14 18:30:40	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	750	8¢	$60	0xb010b8…
10-14 18:30:40	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0x18cd79…
10-14 18:30:36	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	750	8¢	$60	0x5eb8b7…
10-14 18:30:34	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	433	8¢	$35	0x7a14d2…
10-14 18:30:28	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10,000	7¢	$700	0xbc1e35…
09-22 11:40:33	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0xed2ebc…
09-22 11:40:24	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$5	0xf3bf40…
09-22 11:40:15	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x38e6d8…
08-27 03:14:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x318b12…
08-22 18:14:37	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xaf5b8d…
08-22 18:14:28	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x9fa359…
08-22 18:13:27	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xaf913d…
08-22 18:13:19	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	6¢	$6	0x18c823…
08-21 08:07:03	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	6¢	$1	0x488cab…
08-21 08:06:55	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x75d886…
08-21 08:06:51	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x4f0b87…
08-21 08:06:46	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xbdf70d…
08-21 08:06:45	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x54dacd…
08-21 08:06:45	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x47f159…
08-21 08:06:45	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x210d76…
08-21 08:06:45	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x177cb3…
08-21 07:51:15	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	229	6¢	$14	0x7cd9bf…
08-21 04:38:42	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	6¢	$8	0xd2dfdf…
08-21 04:04:36	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x5af903…
08-20 22:31:57	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xa3de1e…
08-20 18:27:03	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0xf9cbba…
08-20 18:26:52	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	6¢	$1	0xf9ea8c…
08-20 18:26:48	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xcc0674…
08-20 18:26:46	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x933506…
08-20 18:26:43	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x91a02e…
08-20 18:26:42	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x1ddf1a…
08-20 11:20:43	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x56be30…
08-20 11:20:34	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xb0b75d…
08-20 06:00:58	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	6¢	$9	0xc7f582…
08-12 15:47:42	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0x7393c1…
07-30 14:51:08	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x3d4221…
07-28 23:10:01	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	673	11¢	$74	0x5285f2…
07-28 23:01:56	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	301	11¢	$33	0x6b6467…
07-28 23:01:55	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x833f12…
07-23 05:26:04	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	11¢	$110	0x9b6e04…
07-23 03:54:46	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	500	98¢	$490	0x3b5d72…
07-20 05:59:39	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	97	93¢	$90	0xe83489…
07-20 03:02:46	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x1f3f4e…
07-19 19:14:15	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	67	57¢	$38	0x8c579e…
07-19 19:14:13	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xe0d539…
07-19 19:14:13	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0xc2405b…
07-19 19:14:13	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x6c1603…
07-18 16:37:33	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xb75da1…
07-15 18:39:10	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x0ba43d…
07-15 14:46:44	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	37¢	$74	0x240616…
07-15 14:39:20	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0xf28b29…
07-14 21:42:07	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x748f64…
07-14 21:42:05	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x77871f…
07-14 21:42:02	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xd54679…
07-14 21:41:46	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	69	30¢	$21	0x4661ea…
07-14 21:39:50	Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	21	30¢	$6	0xc83611…
07-14 21:01:59	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x527bb1…
07-14 20:54:56	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4fce09…
07-14 20:54:40	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xee6b07…
07-14 20:43:29	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xf822ec…
07-14 16:25:22	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,000	39¢	$389	0x0c9d18…
07-14 12:55:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x06dad7…
07-13 09:38:01	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	210	21¢	$43	0x954182…
07-12 10:53:41	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x88f45c…
07-12 08:40:29	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	997	11¢	$110	0x29012c…
07-12 07:09:46	Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	200	36¢	$73	0x6b0c9c…
07-12 03:32:04	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0xbbbd1a…
07-12 02:59:53	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x42fd03…
07-12 02:58:40	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x7ffc1d…
07-12 02:47:08	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x654251…
07-11 23:17:22	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xa15853…
07-11 19:28:07	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc25950…
07-11 11:07:28	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x058c51…
07-11 11:01:31	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0xd7a4c1…
07-11 10:58:29	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x72b13a…
07-11 10:54:59	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xab4f53…
07-11 10:50:50	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x46278e…
07-11 10:45:05	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0x7d92f9…
07-11 10:07:08	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0xae16fe…
07-10 14:01:53	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0xb44ac8…
07-10 04:19:55	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x53f3d8…
07-09 23:09:04	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0x37e289…
07-09 11:17:53	lol blg hle1 2026 07 09	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x05cca5…
07-09 09:00:14	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	13¢	$130	0x6ad77b…
07-09 03:38:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x4b9b64…
07-07 09:56:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xc7766a…
07-06 05:47:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x2c5bd4…
07-06 03:27:10	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	57	8¢	$5	0xf3294d…
07-06 03:16:14	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x72b176…
07-06 03:15:53	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	22	8¢	$2	0x241316…
07-05 21:11:49	Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x7137be…
07-05 15:54:40	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x0e7afa…
07-05 10:40:05	Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x39cc60…
07-05 08:39:43	lol hle1 g2 2026 07 05 game3	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x160af4…