Fatal-Destination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$370

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

907

lifetime

Volume

$109.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$120

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 08-12 15:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

46% — —

Other

32% 55% +$152

Sports

22% 83% +$218

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	54	$17.7K	9,997	9,400	+597	open	—	06-19 16:12
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	54	$14.1K	6,079	8,082	-2,003	open	—	05-24 05:02
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	14	$8.2K	4,115	4,115	+0	open	—	05-15 06:37
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	117	$7.8K	50,029	825	+49,204	open	—	08-12 15:47
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	35	$7.4K	8,210	2,210	+6,000	open	—	05-20 02:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	33	$6.6K	3,507	3,507	+0	open	—	05-27 02:05
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	22	$6.0K	4,795	4,367	+427	Invictus Gaming	+$154	05-09 10:15
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	19	$5.6K	3,828	2,000	+1,828	open	—	05-31 03:14
Thunder vs. Lakers	23	$3.4K	3,282	224	+3,058	Thunder	+$79	05-10 02:41
lol al blg 2026 06 08 game3	9	$3.0K	1,510	1,510	+0	open	—	06-08 11:59
lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game1	23	$2.4K	1,260	1,260	+0	open	—	06-06 09:51
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$2.3K	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	05-29 15:20
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	3	$2.0K	1,046	1,046	+0	Spurs	+$30	05-09 04:27
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	25	$2.0K	1,040	1,000	+40	open	—	05-16 01:38
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	28	$2.0K	20,750	950	+19,800	open	—	06-18 00:16
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	22	$1.9K	1,006	1,014	-7	open	—	07-23 03:54
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	11	$1.8K	1,151	1,151	+0	open	—	06-16 14:17
Spurs vs. Thunder	20	$1.5K	1,150	1,000	+150	open	—	05-21 02:58
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	39	$1.3K	1,610	1,110	+500	open	—	06-10 00:18
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	18	$1.1K	1,255	20	+1,235	open	—	05-16 03:41
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)	2	$1.1K	500	600	-100	open	—	05-16 01:38
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$991	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-11 12:24
Thunder vs. Lakers	3	$920	1,000	0	+1,000	Thunder	+$80	05-12 04:18
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	15	$864	2,200	2,800	-600	open	—	06-08 20:57
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	4	$701	727	0	+727	Thunder	+$16	05-10 02:50
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	16	$648	500	500	+0	open	—	07-09 03:38
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$577	400	400	+0	open	—	05-24 01:27
Thunder vs. Spurs	14	$555	160	1,040	-880	open	—	05-23 03:18
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	6	$508	511	0	+511	open	—	05-19 03:38
israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	7	$486	400	344	+56	open	—	06-26 17:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 15:47:42	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0x7393c1…
07-30 14:51:08	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	10¢	$100	0x3d4221…
07-28 23:10:01	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	673	11¢	$74	0x5285f2…
07-28 23:01:56	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	301	11¢	$33	0x6b6467…
07-28 23:01:55	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x833f12…
07-23 05:26:04	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	11¢	$110	0x9b6e04…
07-23 03:54:46	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	500	98¢	$490	0x3b5d72…
07-18 16:37:33	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xb75da1…
07-15 18:39:10	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	England	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x0ba43d…
07-14 20:54:40	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xee6b07…
07-14 12:55:02	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x06dad7…
07-12 10:53:41	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 team to advance	France	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x88f45c…
07-12 08:40:29	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	997	11¢	$110	0x29012c…
07-12 02:58:40	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x7ffc1d…
07-11 23:17:22	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	England	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xa15853…
07-11 19:28:07	israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260627173804885 499 947 776 521	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc25950…
07-11 11:07:28	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x058c51…
07-11 11:01:31	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0xd7a4c1…
07-11 10:58:29	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0x72b13a…
07-11 10:54:59	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$59	0xab4f53…
07-11 10:50:50	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x46278e…
07-11 10:45:05	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0x7d92f9…
07-11 10:07:08	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0xae16fe…
07-10 14:01:53	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0xb44ac8…
07-10 04:19:55	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x53f3d8…
07-09 23:09:04	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	12¢	$120	0x37e289…
07-09 11:17:53	lol blg hle1 2026 07 09	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x05cca5…
07-09 09:00:14	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	13¢	$130	0x6ad77b…
07-09 03:38:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x4b9b64…
07-07 09:56:59	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xc7766a…
07-06 05:47:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x2c5bd4…
07-05 15:54:40	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	England	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x0e7afa…
07-05 08:39:43	lol hle1 g2 2026 07 05 game3	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x160af4…
07-05 06:29:07	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	323	13¢	$42	0xdf67ce…
07-04 23:08:44	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	805	13¢	$105	0xb328eb…
07-04 22:04:17	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x30f0eb…
07-04 19:23:55	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,648	13¢	$214	0x294da9…
07-04 18:32:41	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x809d9b…
07-04 18:28:52	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0x25fdda…
07-04 17:42:17	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	SELL	204	99¢	$201	0x4e0d18…
07-04 15:54:10	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0xd85bd4…
07-04 12:40:20	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x7f3003…
07-04 10:36:20	lol blg t1 2026 07 04	T1	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xb8a333…
07-04 10:35:40	lol blg t1 2026 07 04	T1	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x7b7bee…
07-04 10:23:46	lol blg t1 2026 07 04	T1	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x2a394e…
07-04 10:23:38	lol blg t1 2026 07 04	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x09c94d…
07-04 10:20:26	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xda7d8f…
07-04 10:12:56	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	13¢	$4	0x553ac7…
07-04 10:08:07	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x8cc06d…
07-04 09:42:50	lol blg t1 2026 07 04	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x58c333…
07-04 09:30:47	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xbb19a7…
07-04 08:27:07	lol blg t1 2026 07 04 game4	T1	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3c6664…
07-04 08:13:31	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0xc28cb1…
07-04 08:01:08	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xbbcc04…
07-04 02:19:07	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x810e71…
07-04 02:18:43	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xdcdabf…
07-04 02:18:26	fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 team to advance	Colombia	BUY	94	91¢	$86	0x133491…
07-04 00:33:25	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x11b89e…
07-04 00:32:37	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x1b21cf…
07-03 14:07:37	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,898	13¢	$247	0x39f6cc…
07-03 13:14:55	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	14¢	$140	0xbf1482…
07-03 00:40:01	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xfff3d1…
07-03 00:25:56	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xa54d10…
07-02 21:51:04	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x9d0745…
07-02 13:33:53	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	15¢	$150	0xccb91c…
07-02 08:11:49	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x177f59…
07-02 01:13:55	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x5059db…
07-01 17:28:37	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	100	70¢	$70	0x78cca4…
07-01 04:08:37	israel closes its airspace by august 31	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x31a8e0…
06-30 22:45:46	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x3bf15d…
06-30 03:52:46	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 team to advance	Morocco	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x9ff07c…
06-29 19:37:10	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	13¢	$260	0x75a8de…
06-29 19:37:10	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	14¢	$280	0x47865d…
06-29 00:42:20	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	225	16¢	$36	0x98c45a…
06-28 16:20:26	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x8682c3…
06-28 13:50:53	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x201c9d…
06-28 13:13:40	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	727	16¢	$116	0xcd8ed4…
06-28 12:48:35	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	16¢	$24	0xd83e7d…
06-28 11:10:20	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	16¢	$4	0x9e89fd…
06-28 08:25:25	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	16¢	$13	0x0f9ccc…
06-28 08:18:31	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	16¢	$13	0x86a769…
06-28 05:52:19	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	469	16¢	$75	0x40f42e…
06-28 05:27:05	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xf4c945…
06-28 03:50:41	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	200	67¢	$134	0x445653…
06-28 02:53:26	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x176486…
06-28 00:34:34	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x45248a…
06-28 00:29:56	Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd16628…
06-27 23:49:02	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	16¢	$6	0xe4f0f2…
06-27 22:33:59	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x51ecf2…
06-27 22:25:52	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	16¢	$17	0xdbb6ce…
06-27 16:42:38	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x9a9121…
06-26 19:23:16	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$0	0x7472a8…
06-26 19:16:25	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x2413e2…
06-26 19:15:07	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0x1ca07c…
06-26 19:14:58	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	150	89¢	$133	0xc08d76…
06-26 19:13:05	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x1529c1…
06-26 19:12:47	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x77b809…
06-26 19:12:47	Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	No	BUY	392	89¢	$347	0x27800a…
06-26 17:40:49	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	33	9¢	$3	0x0f7181…
06-26 17:39:08	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x2edc03…